Welfare
Member
Didn't Welfare calculate 105K??
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=175328355&postcount=405
It can get more accurate than that, so we should wait for a leak.
Didn't Welfare calculate 105K??
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=175328355&postcount=405
I remember a number somewhere north of 100K, but IIRC, it wasn't the most accurate estimation. Either way, I'm off by at least 10K for the 3DS.Didn't Welfare calculate 105K??
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=175328355&postcount=405
Also, here are my predictions without a Sony price cut.
August - MS
September - Sony
October - MS
November - Sony
December - eek... um... well... MS, I guess.
With a PS4 price cut, December is Sony.
Still no rankings, what is the hold up?
I'm going to requote myself, since I'm even more confident in my November prediction now after the Star Wars bundle announcement.
Still no rankings, what is the hold up?
Accurate 3DS numbers have not been leaked.
I'm willing to go with your 3DS prediction of 105K, if you're still good on it. We've been doing well to have any kind of public type numbers for the systems, so it doesn't have to be perfect to work. We have a % from Nintendo, so that's pretty good, I think.
We have a % from Nintendo, so that's pretty good, I think.
Edit:
NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Jul-2015
1. PS4 - 229K
2. XB1 - 181K
3. 3DS - 85K
4. WIU - 47K
Just got Wedbush predictions today, and I've been mostly offline on my computer that does the rankings over the weekend.
I'm willing to go with your 3DS prediction of 105K, if you're still good on it. We've been doing well to have any kind of public type numbers for the systems, so it doesn't have to be perfect to work. We have a % from Nintendo, so that's pretty good, I think.
Edit:
NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Jul-2015
1. PS4 - 229K
2. XB1 - 181K
3. 3DS - 85K
4. WIU - 47K
105k was got from using 153k for February 2014 and using 1.35x. Going on the safer side I went with the prediction archives 155k. A 1.34x increase would mean July was 99k and 1.345x increase would be 104k.
I personally went with 104k
July 2015 Overall 2015 Top (6/7)
01. freefornow 119.54 allan-bh 607.46
02. Hammer24 118.30 madp0k 595.32
03. theprodigy 115.47 freefornow 595.18
04. Final Verdict 111.31 donny2112 592.61
05. CorporateClown 109.78 Welfare 591.51
06. Megadragon15 107.72 shinra-bansho 581.09
07. 5Twist 107.27 Final Verdict 580.21
08. Road 105.08 theprodigy 578.02
09. jayu26 104.60 Road 577.43
10. madstarr12 103.60 michaelius 577.41
11. Maniel 102.75 Untalkative_Bunny 577.13
12. allan-bh 102.48 Chobel 574.53
13. Randolph Freelander 102.42 RexNovis 573.83
14. Welfare 102.15 vinnygambini 572.43
15. michaelius 101.95 archnemesis 572.36
16. Prototype Viktor 101.69 Javin98 571.62
17. donny2112 101.36 jayu26 570.96
18. vinnygambini 101.16 BlackBuzzard 570.17
19. Javin98 101.11 astrogamer 569.83
20. BlackBuzzard 101.06 Trust me, I'm a PhD 567.97
21. Mister Megative 100.95 Megadragon15 566.35
22. ScatheZombie 100.54 Sangetsu-II 563.35
23. Elios83 100.07 CorporateClown 562.47
24. Rymuth 100.07 doicare 559.54
25. 1st Course 100.00 Bruno MB 554.71
26. ZachzOOming 99.99 KillerMan91 554.60
27. gtj1092 99.70 1st Course 551.18
28. Primethius 99.46 Rymuth 551.13
29. Bioshocker 99.35 John Bender 550.93
30. Sangetsu-II 99.31 noobie 550.90
31. andy_lhc 99.26 Ombala 550.53
32. shinra-bansho 99.21 Tratorn 549.77
33. Kill3r7 99.13 Kill3r7 548.10
34. Tratorn 99.07 Crimson_Gold 544.19
35. NateDrake 99.06 slavesnyder 543.91
36. Elandyll 99.04 skedar897 542.34
37. madp0k 98.91 Darth Smurf X 541.60
38. Crimson_Gold 98.91 Pillville 541.50
39. Trust me, I'm a PhD 98.89 Asd202 541.05
40. archnemesis 98.84 Elandyll 540.35
41. Ombala 98.72 Jamix012 539.60
42. noobie 98.56 Prototype Viktor 536.23
43. MasterSheen 98.54 TheCarrotKiller 535.59
44. TheCarrotKiller 98.37 Elios83 534.62
45. anexanhume 97.81 pitseleh 534.60
46. Pillville 97.38 prag16 532.52
47. RexNovis 97.00 jjonez18 532.24
48. astrogamer 96.81 Zero-Crescent 528.77
49. jjonez18 96.62 aaronwt 524.96
50. Bruno MB 96.34 mejin 524.30
Okay, cool. I went back to what was used in predictions, and I got basically the same thing. 34% is ~100K and 35% is ~108K. Going with 105K for predictions, then, since I like to do multiples of 5K, when there's not a clear cut value. Thanks!
Okay, cool. I went back to what was used in predictions, and I got basically the same thing. 34% is ~100K and 35% is ~108K. Going with 105K for predictions, then, since I like to do multiples of 5K, when there's not a clear cut value. Thanks!
NeoGAF Prediction Results - July 2015
Units
1. freefornow - 22,000
2. Hammer24 - 24,000
3. theprodigy - 27,000
4. CorporateClown - 30,000
4. Final Verdict - 30,000
6. Megadragon15 - 31,000
7. 5Twist - 32,000
7. madstarr12 - 32,000
9. Road - 33,000
10. NateDrake - 35,000
11. 1st Course - 36,000
11. BlackBuzzard - 36,000
11. Welfare - 36,000
83. Chobel - 108,000
Damn it! I dropped the ball hard in this one
Congratulations freefornow, and as always thank you Donny for doing this!
16. Maniel - 40,000
NeoGAF Prediction Results - July 2015
69. Wynnebeck - 86,000
We in this! I beat Rex im happy
Thanks for doing this as always Donny.
Congrats!!Wow, thought WiiU would keep me out of a top 10.
Thanks to Donny for continued effort. And thanks to all those who contribute with numbers/analysis/speculation etc.
Yes, I did quite well this month! And I'm still in the top 20 for 2015 overall. Now August is gonna be tough. Also, this is one of the rare months where GAF Aggregate did surprisingly well. Anyway, congratulations freefornow and thanks donny for doing this!NeoGAF Prediction Results - July 2015
Units
22. Javin98 - 45 000