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May 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes June 10

Microsoft does exclude handhelds from their comparisons. It neither supports 3DS being higher nor provides evidence against 3DS being higher. Just FYI.
Oh I know, just saying that people thought before that 3DS topped 360 because of the PR saying top selling "console".
 

Madouu

Member
I think the most interesting thing to see will be Animal Crossing's impact on 3ds sales. I don't expect it to be that great personally, which is a shame but we shall see.

This month, not much to see apart from 3ds finally being number 1 I guess and the decent but not amazing sales of DKCR3D.
 

DaBoss

Member
At least 3DS is doing OK. All current of these 7 year old platforms need a price drop stat. A new model may have been a good idea.

And man, my predictions are going to be off by quite a bit.

Also, if DKCR3D charted, that can't mean good things.
 

Hammer24

Banned
OK; distilling the info from the NPD thread and rounding to full 1K´s I come up with:

[3DS] 115K
[360] 114K
[PS3] 85K
[WII] 36K
[WIU] 35K
[PSV] 15K
[PSP] 4K


Good enough to run with these? If so, I´d be 23K off.
 

DrWong

Member
OK; distilling the info from the NPD thread and rounding to full 1K´s I come up with:

[3DS] 115K
[360] 114K
[PS3] 85K
[WII] 36K
[WIU] 35K
[PSV] 15K
[PSP] 4K


Good enough to run with these? If so, I´d be 23K off.

Yeah good enough, now give me da points... ^^
 

doicare

Member
In any other month being off by only 29k~ would be enough to win the month, at worst top 5. This month it's not even good enough for top 10 lol.
 

donny2112

Member
Since these weren't posted earlier ...

NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - May-2013

1. 360 - 111K
2. 3DS - 100K
3. PS3 - 88K
4. WIU - 32K
5. PSV - 14K


Planning on using the below for predictions, then, unless someone in the know throws up a big stop sign.

3DS =114,001 (to maintain the cardinal ordering)
360 = 114K
PS3 = 85K
WIU = 35K
PSV = 15K

No one spoke up to say otherwise in the NPD thread, so using these for the results. :)

NeoGAF Prediction Results - May 2013

Units

1. prag16 - 15,001
2. MasterSheen - 20,001
3. AnimeSlash - 21,001
4. Hammer24 - 22,001
5. shinra-bansho - 23,001
6. GAF_Agg - 23,201
7. skedar897 - 23,999
8. IceDoesntHelp - 25,001
8. Sweenix - 25,001
10. Colonel Mustard - 26,001
11. Road - 27,001
11. kswiston - 27,001
13. DrWong - 28,001
13. ItWasMeantToBe19 - 28,001
13. Jonsoncao - 28,001
16. doicare - 29,001
16. noobie - 29,001
18. Elios83 - 30,001
18. Gestault - 30,001
18. confuziz - 30,001
21. pitseleh - 31,999
22. Pachter - 32,699
23. Brakara - 33,001
23. andy_lhc - 33,001
25. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 34,001
26. DaBoss - 35,001
26. Goldmund - 35,001
26. Megadragon15 - 35,001
29. pieatorium - 37,001
30. Gianni Merryman - 38,001
30. idlewild_ - 38,001
32. Bruno MB - 39,001
32. CorporateClown - 39,001
34. Aquamarine - 40,001
35. donny2112 - 41,001
36. BlackJace - 43,001
36. jvm - 43,001
36. metalslimer - 43,001
39. kefka2030 - 44,001
40. dreamghost - 44,999
41. Zero-Crescent - 45,001
42. archnemesis - 50,001
43. Heavy - 52,001
43. allan-bh - 52,001
45. Jesse2040 - 55,001
45. freefornow - 55,001
47. michaelius - 65,001
48. digoutyoursoul - 72,001
49. need4speed - 106,001


Points
Code:
     May 2013                        Overall 2013 Top (4/5)
01.  prag16                 111.24   ItWasMeantToBe19       379.63
02.  MasterSheen            107.87   archnemesis            378.17
03.  skedar897              107.55   donny2112              373.06
04.  AnimeSlash             106.30   shinra-bansho          369.50
05.  Hammer24               103.28   Bruno MB               359.77
06.  shinra-bansho          102.68   Goldmund               356.52
07.  Jonsoncao              102.11   Jonsoncao              352.12
08.  DrWong                 101.38   doicare                351.75
09.  DaBoss                  99.96   Road                   350.18
10.  IceDoesntHelp           96.76   DaBoss                 350.04
11.  jvm                     96.34   allan-bh               348.81
12.  Sweenix                 96.28   Megadragon15           348.61
13.  allan-bh                95.54   MasterSheen            338.54
14.  Road                    94.74   Hiro_Kunimi_80         338.25
15.  Hiro_Kunimi_80          94.58   confuziz               337.50
16.  Colonel Mustard         94.25   jvm                    334.11
17.  kswiston                93.71   skedar897              330.00
18.  noobie                  93.08   kswiston               327.30
19.  confuziz                93.05   DrWong                 327.27
20.  Megadragon15            92.98   CorporateClown         325.46
21.  doicare                 91.80   prag16                 323.60
22.  Gianni Merryman         90.69   BlackJace              323.58
23.  Pachter                 90.54   idlewild_              322.65
24.  BlackJace               90.48   pieatorium             320.87
25.  idlewild_               90.29   Elios83                320.57
26.  ItWasMeantToBe19        90.26   metalslimer            316.79
27.  Brakara                 89.91   Zero-Crescent          316.56
28.  Gestault                89.87   Colonel Mustard        313.41
29.  Elios83                 89.82   Hammer24               311.25
30.  dreamghost              89.48   Gianni Merryman        310.50
31.  Goldmund                89.15   Pachter                308.97
32.  Aquamarine              88.97   michaelius             307.55
33.  Bruno MB                88.94   Jesse2040              301.86
34.  CorporateClown          88.75   dreamghost             298.61
35.  metalslimer             88.32   Brakara                289.84
36.  kefka2030               88.31   perfectchaos007        287.79
37.  donny2112               87.39   Drago                  284.28
38.  pitseleh                87.28   sacrificengineer       283.54
39.  andy_lhc                86.99   rayner                 281.36
40.  archnemesis             86.90   pitseleh               280.49
41.  pieatorium              86.19   Strike                 256.22
42.  Zero-Crescent           84.16   Aquamarine             243.16
43.  freefornow              82.74   andy_lhc               242.80
44.  michaelius              81.16   airmangataosenai       242.55
45.  Heavy                   80.32   noobie                 232.30
46.  Jesse2040               80.14   nhlducks35             225.97
47.  digoutyoursoul          72.03   CouldBeWorse           223.78
48.  need4speed              63.18   Baconsammy             214.56
49.                                  Jamix012               212.98
50.                                  UberTag                210.90

Congratulations, prag16! :D

Edit:
48 out of 49 < 100K in Units. Wow. Good job, everybody!
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
As I suspected, ranking the 3DS and 360 correctly was important. I was terrible on units, and not nearly so terrible on points. :)

Very interesting month. Next month will be even more so!

Thanks everyone, for taking part, and thanks donny2112 for doing the hard work to make the thread.
 

DaBoss

Member
Congrats prag16!

I should have had more confidence in everything though a bonus is I guessed the PS3 correctly.
 

allan-bh

Member
As I suspected, ranking the 3DS and 360 correctly was important. I was terrible on units, and not nearly so terrible on points. :)


Same thing with me. I think it was my worst month on units. Ranking 3DS above Xbox 360 saved me.

And Congrats prag16!
 
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