Media Create Sales: Week 16, 2015 (Apr 13 - Apr 19)

Mar 16, 2014
266
0
0
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 516.000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 143.000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 201.000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 53.000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 36.000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 67.000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 46.000

Btw did we ever get results from last month?
 
Jul 29, 2010
4,240
66
655
End of 4/25 Comgnet preorder ranking. Bolded titles with +5 or more since yesterday. Golden Week @ work for Nintendo for comgnet.

[3DS] PUZZLE & DRAGONS SUPER MARIO BROS EDITION - 154pt (+7)
[3DS] Youkai Watch Busters white dog Corps - 117pt (+7)

[PSV] Kancolle (Limited Edition) - 108pt (+2)
[Wii] Dragon Quest X ancient dragon lore online - 78pt (+10)
[WiiU] Dragon Quest X ancient dragon lore online - 62pt (+6)
[WiiU] Xenoblade Chronicles X - 61pt (+8)

[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project mirai Deluxe - 45pt (+3)
[PSV] IA / VT (Oia / visual Tracks) -COLORFUL - 37pt (+0)
[3DS] Fire Emblem if (Combined) - 36pt (+7)
[PS4] FINAL FANTASY XIV Heavensward (Combined) - 27pt (+0)
[PSV] Persona 4 DANCING ALL NIGHT Crazy Value Pack - 19pt (+1)
[WiiU] Splatoon - 14pt (+2)
[PSV] Makaigami Trillion - 14pt (+1)
[PS4] Witcher 3 Wild Hunt - 14pt (+2)
[PSV] Cross Anjou angel and dragon of Rondo tr -. 11pt (sorry about this one? What title is this)

Fire Emblem If seems to be doing pretty well on preorders fairly early. (Also if folks are finding the comgnet posts annoying I can stop and leave it to Mpl90's good comparisons...)
 
Mar 19, 2009
51,003
0
0
Toronto, Canada
PlayStation Store Best Sellers: January 1st, 2015 - March 31st, 2015

PSP/PS Vita
  1. [PSP] Yu-Gi-Oh! Arc-V Tag Force Special (Konami)
  2. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition (Mojang)
  3. [PSV] God Eater 2: Rage Burst (Bandai Namco)
  4. [PSV] Digimon Story: Cyber Sleuth (Bandai Namco)
  5. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song (Bandai Namco)
  6. [PSV] Gundam Breaker 2 (Bandai Namco)
  7. [PSV] Senran Kagura: Estival Versus (Marvelous)
  8. [PSV] Stranger of Sword City: Black Palace (Experience)
  9. [PSV] Atelier Escha & Logy Plus (Koei Tecmo)
  10. [PSV] Call of Duty: Black Ops Declassified (Square Enix)
  11. [PSV] Samurai Warriors 4-II (Koei Tecmo)
  12. [PSV] Terraria (Spike Chunsoft)
  13. [PSV] Killzone: Mercenary (Sony Computer Entertainment)
  14. [PSV] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z: Jigoku-hen (Bandai Namco)
  15. [PSV] Photo Kano Kiss (Kadokawa)
  16. [PSV] Helldivers (Sony Computer Entertainment)
  17. [PSV] Metal Gear Solid: HD Collection (Konami)
  18. [PSP] SD Gundam G Generation Overworld (Bandai Namco)
  19. [PSV] God Eater 2 (Bandai Namco)
  20. [PSV] Soul Sacrifice Delta (Sony Computer Entertainment)

PS4
  1. Dragon Quest Heroes (Square Enix)
  2. Bloodborne (Sony Computer Entertainment)
  3. Battlefield Hardline (Electronic Arts)
  4. Resident Evil: Revelations 2 (Capcom)
  5. Dragon Ball Xenoverse (Bandai Namco)
  6. Minecraft: PlayStation 4 Edition (Mojang)
  7. Resident Evil HD Remaster (Capcom)
  8. Far Cry 4 (Ubisoft)
  9. God Eater 2: Rage Burst (Bandai Namco)
  10. Yakuza 0 (Sega)
  11. Final Fantasy Type-0 HD (Square Enix)
  12. Dead or Alive 5: Last Round (Koei Tecmo)
  13. Evolve (2K)
  14. Senran Kagura: Estival Versus (Marvelous)
  15. Grand Theft Auto V (Rockstar)
  16. Battlefield 4 (Electronic Arts)
  17. Disgaea 5 (Nippon Ichi Software)
  18. Samurai Warriors 4-II (Koei Tecmo)
  19. Dragon Age: Inquisition (Electronic Arts)
  20. Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn (Square Enix)

PS3
  1. Minecraft: PlayStation 3 Edition (Mojang)
  2. Dragon Quest Heroes (Square Enix)
  3. Resident Evil: Revelations 2 (Capcom)
  4. Dragon Ball Xenoverse (Bandai Namco)
  5. Sword Art Online: Lost Song (Bandai Namco)
  6. Pro Evolution Soccer 2015 (Konami)
  7. Gundam Breaker 2 (Bandai Namco)
  8. Battlefield Hardline (Electronic Arts)
  9. Professional Baseball Spirits 2015 (Konami)
  10. Yakuza 0 (Sega)
  11. Samurai Warriors 4-II (Koei Tecmo)
  12. Battlefield 4 (Electronic Arts)
  13. Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn (Square Enix)
  14. Bladestorm Nightmare (Koei Tecmo)
  15. Far Cry 4 (Ubisoft)
  16. Shining Resonance (Sega)
  17. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3 (Bandai Namco)
  18. Powerful Pros Baseball 2014 (Konami)
  19. Grand Theft Auto V (Rockstar)
  20. Dead or Alive 5: Last Round (Koei Tecmo)

There's also a list of best selling IAPs, but meh.
 
Nov 30, 2011
9,772
0
0
Sweden
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 585.000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 85.000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 95.450
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 75.000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 48.000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 64.500
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 38.500
 

HGH

Banned
Aug 6, 2014
1,196
0
0
[PSV] Cross Anjou angel and dragon of Rondo tr -. 11pt (sorry about this one? What title is this)

Fire Emblem If seems to be doing pretty well on preorders fairly early. (Also if folks are finding the comgnet posts annoying I can stop and leave it to Mpl90's good comparisons...)
Cross Ange, a mecha game based on a recent anime(also kinda controversial).
 
Nov 20, 2013
5,196
0
315
Thinking about it, even if Bravely Second (slightly?) underperforms, Square Enix could pull a Bamco (Project X Zone) and greenlight a sequel with the western audience in mind.

Thats probably giving them too much credit, but hey GLASS HALF FULL
 
Jan 21, 2008
7,602
0
0
Brazil
sites.google.com
Prediction League February 2015 Results

Congratulations to:

- metalslimer, for winning by units!
- FluxWaveZ, for winning by mean error %!


Code:
BY UNITS                                   BY MEAN ERROR %                           
                                                                         
  1      154,629  metalslimer                1    20.41%  FluxWaveZ      
  2      162,813  BlowoverKing               2    20.78%  Bruno MB       
  3      182,983  Road                       3    20.90%  metalslimer    
  4      184,384  FluxWaveZ                  4    21.57%  zeromcd73      
  5      188,237  Orgen                      5    21.77%  Orgen          
  6      193,255  Crema                      6    25.87%  KuwabaraTheMan 
  7      199,629  zeromcd73                  7    26.90%  DrWong         
  8      204,255  KuwabaraTheMan             8    27.61%  random25       
  9      216,427  Bruno MB                   9    27.94%  Road           
 10      229,002  Mpl90                     10    30.95%  BlowoverKing   
 11      243,611  random25                  11    31.45%  Yeshua         
 12      260,053  DrWong                    12    31.75%  Mpl90          
 13      263,587  suppadoopa                13    32.81%  1st Course     
 14      284,129  Jamix012                  14    33.01%  Jamix012       
 15      287,723  sörine                    15    33.36%  Eolz           
 16      295,053  Eolz                      16    33.45%  Crema          
 17      300,237  Yeshua                    17    36.30%  sörine         
 18      309,851  u_neek                    18    38.93%  u_neek         
 19      321,629  1st Course                19    40.84%  suppadoopa     
 20      334,990  strangedopamine           20    46.81%  small44        
 21      389,629  small44                   21    48.23%  strangedopamine
 
 
21                                      |FAMITSU  |BlowoverK|suppadoop|random25 |Crema    |small44  |u_neek   |KuwabaraT|Orgen    |Eolz     |Jamix012 |Yeshua   |sörine   |strangedo|DrWong   |FluxWaveZ|metalslim|1st Cours|Road     |Mpl90    |zeromcd73|Bruno MB 
[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record     |    67101|    78000|    75000|   100000|    40000|   120000|    95000|    60000|    58000|    46000|    38000|    50000|    43834|    31000|    57000|    40000|    55000|    45000|   111111|   100432|    50000|    77500
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse             |   111912|    67000|    50000|    80000|    55000|    60000|    60000|    70000|    77000|    73000|    80000|    50000|    48931|    50765|    76000|    85777|    75000|    65000|   111111|    92213|    80000|    60000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II             |   108092|   107000|   200000|   100000|   120000|   120000|   110000|   180000|   101000|   184000|   111000|    75000|   167499|   184444|   173000|   130042|   120000|   130000|   111111|    77895|   135000|   110000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask |   311521|   269000|   350000|   200000|   260000|   150000|   175000|   245000|   204000|   198000|   169000|   180000|   182437|   185000|   215000|   220022|   240000|   165000|   222222|   186033|   228000|   195000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst        |   252899|   290000|   300000|   200000|   280000|   350000|   180000|   266000|   233000|   210000|   189000|   200000|   258455|   234432|   201000|   270000|   240000|   175000|   222222|   246400|   215000|   220000
[PS4] The Order 1886                    |    26288|        0|    10000|    20000|    45000|    12000|    45000|    30000|    36000|    29000|    12500|    30000|    18860|     9886|    27000|    26886|    17000|    20000|    11111|    12500|    24000|    23500
 
TOTAL ABS. DIFF.                        |         |  162,813|  263,587|  243,611|  193,255|  389,629|  309,851|  204,255|  188,237|  295,053|  284,129|  300,237|  287,723|  334,990|  260,053|  184,384|  154,629|  321,629|  182,983|  229,002|  199,629|  216,427
MEAN ERROR %                            |         |   30.95%|   40.84%|   27.61%|   33.45%|   46.81%|   38.93%|   25.87%|   21.77%|   33.36%|   33.01%|   31.45%|   36.30%|   48.23%|   26.90%|   20.41%|   20.90%|   32.81%|   27.94%|   31.75%|   21.57%|   20.78%
Code:
STATISTICS                              |  FAMITSU|  GAF_AVG|      MIN|      MAX|    UNDER|     OVER|  CLOSEST BY      
[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record     |   67,101|   65,280|   31,000|  120,000|      62%|      38%|   60,000 KuwabaraTheMan
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse             |  111,912|   69,847|   48,931|  111,111|     100%|         |  111,111 Road
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II             |  108,092|  130,809|   75,000|  200,000|      24%|      76%|  107,000 BlowoverKing
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask |  311,521|  211,367|  150,000|  350,000|      95%|       5%|  350,000 suppadoopa
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst        |  252,899|  237,167|  175,000|  350,000|      67%|      33%|  258,455 sörine
[PS4] The Order 1886                    |   26,288|   21,916|    9,886|   45,000|      62%|      38%|   26,886 FluxWave
 
Jan 27, 2013
7,639
0
0
Thinking about it, even if Bravely Second (slightly?) underperforms, Square Enix could pull a Bamco (Project X Zone) and greenlight a sequel with the western audience in mind.

Thats probably giving them too much credit, but hey GLASS HALF FULL
I won't bet on it.T_T Considering how even the first BD is brought to the west by Ninty rather than S-E themselves.T_T
 
Apr 5, 2006
46,932
1
0
In a situation like Project X Zone, how would funding for that work?
Does Bandai Namco give it directly to Monolith Soft, is Nintendo putting up some for Monolith Soft? Would the budget be higher than if Bandai Namco were to go internally or if Monolith Soft were independent?
 
May 24, 2010
371
0
0
30
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 500000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 200000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 120000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 70000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 50000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 50000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 50000
 
Jan 5, 2012
14,866
569
520
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 650000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 120000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 70000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 50000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 45000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 50000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 25000
 
Dec 4, 2014
1,319
0
0
Stockholm, Sweden
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 594000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 121000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 152000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 67000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 42000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 31000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 63000
 
Jun 1, 2014
10,184
1
405
UK, sometimes France
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 232k
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 113k
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 191k
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 64k
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 45k
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 86k
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 57k
 
Nov 17, 2011
4,152
0
0
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 417K
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 143K
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 167K
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 69K
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 45K
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 71K
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 53K
 
Jun 12, 2012
14,205
0
0
Code:
STATISTICS                              |  FAMITSU|  GAF_AVG|      MIN|      MAX|    UNDER|     OVER|  CLOSEST BY      
[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record     |   67,101|   65,280|   31,000|  120,000|      62%|      38%|   60,000 KuwabaraTheMan
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse             |  111,912|   69,847|   48,931|  111,111|     100%|         |  111,111 Road
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II             |  108,092|  130,809|   75,000|  200,000|      24%|      76%|  107,000 BlowoverKing
[B][3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask |  311,521|  211,367|  150,000|  350,000|      95%|       5%|  350,000 suppadoopa[/B]
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst        |  252,899|  237,167|  175,000|  350,000|      67%|      33%|  258,455 sörine
[PS4] The Order 1886                    |   26,288|   21,916|    9,886|   45,000|      62%|      38%|   26,886 FluxWave
All of the best GAF Guesses were close to actual number....except Majora's Mask heh
 
Jun 6, 2012
5,419
0
0
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 420000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 98000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 60000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 39000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 35000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 60000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 38000
 
Oct 10, 2007
4,117
0
0
www.wiitalia.it
Thinking about it, even if Bravely Second (slightly?) underperforms, Square Enix could pull a Bamco (Project X Zone) and greenlight a sequel with the western audience in mind.

Thats probably giving them too much credit, but hey GLASS HALF FULL
Considering that 3DS will be dead in late 2016 onwards, SQEX could probably bring the IP on mobile, since Western markets are shifting towards these platforms from handheld.
 

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
12,188
0
0
so XCX officially releases in 2 days...wonder when we'll get a report on that
Whenever we get numbers for week 18. Not quite sure when that'll be since there'll be GW right in the middle of it all (April 29th to May 5th, actual holidays are April 29th / May 3-4-5th). So maybe May 6th (same day as Nintendo financials btw). But my money's on May 7th or 8th.

As for this week's numbers, 4Gamer.net posted that notice:

次回の「ゲームソフト週間販売ランキング+」は,2015年4月29日が祝日となるため,4月30日0:00に掲載を予定しています。
So April 30th at 12AM instead of April 29th at 10PM... two hours late then. No idea about Famitsu, didn't see any notice on their website, but since April 29th's a public holiday, they're probably going to be late too.
 
True, I agree with your larger points, but those are western properties at its core (developed & catered to that audience); the same could not be said for Final Fantasy or Dragon Quest for that matter where Japan's critical and commercial success are its priority.

I think that's why Square Enix diversified the way it did with the Eidos acquisition as they saw the writing on the wall; they needed to be a global player to thrive in the gaming medium - FF, KH, DQ were not going to provide that leg-up; Tomb Raider, Hitman, and Deus Ex did.

It's so odd to speak about the marketplace currently, where a decade ago Japan was leading the charge, and Final Fantasy & Kingdom Hearts were some of the biggest properties in gaming; now the opposite could be said where the West is leading the industry with the likes of those mentioned above.
To be fair, no Japanese company has been able to capitalize that market. Only Nintendo has 10m+ sellers worldwide. But I do think FF Record Keeper can be put in that category, at least in a comparable way, given how successful is.
Right, I mean, there's not a great example of another third party Japanese company doing a better job.

I think Capcom had the opportunity to be that company, but ended up blowing it in the end. Resident Evil 5 did 6.7 million copies, a lot of that with healthy legs (as many major blockbusters have), and still managed to get 6.1 million copies of Resident Evil 6 shipped out the door despite the horrendous critical rating: http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/million.html

If they had nailed an ~85-90+ type game, the sales upside could have been very significant. Regardless, this was a very strong follow-up on Resident Evil 4 which did 3.9 million between the PS2 and GCN versions (and 2 million later on the Wii edition, but it's harder to tell how many of those were repurchases).

We also saw a good rise in many of their early generation titles like Devil May Cry 4 at 3 million (up from 1.7 million for DMC3) and Street Fighter IV at 3.3 mlilion (up from Street Fighter Alpha 3 at 1 million - a 1998 game - as the last SF title to break the 1 million mark prior).

Their new IPs had solid starts for the time as well with Dead Rising 2 getting up to 2.9 million and Lost Planet 2 hitting 1.8 million.

After that though everything starts performing notably worse, most franchises take a downward spiral, and their best new IP following is Dragon's Dogma at only 1.3 million, which is lower than even Dead Rising 1 at 1.8 million or Lost Planet 1 (360 version only) at 1.5 million.

These days they can barely even release a major retail game on consoles.

Namco has limited success where the goal is "big" sales (like 1-2 million) for little titles. Konami saw PES fall to pieces and Metal Gear was static (though if they had released a game like Ground Zeroes back in 2011-2012 I think there would have been large potential). Sega barely exists in the console market anymore. Koei Tecmo might as well be a non-entity on the worldwide scale. Square Enix at least still has some brand strength sitting around and unlike the other mentioned companies does have a successful Western division to try and take advantage of console polarization.

And yes, I'd also agree that we have seen many of these publishers end up having success in the places where their own market polarized. Monster Hunter is a major title on 3DS (though Capcom is *really* just riding on this at this point). Square Enix has acquired a number of mobile hits while still having a respectable traditional presence. Koei Tecmo is getting bigger signings than ever. Namco's seas of smaller games strategy is working both in traditional and mobile. Sega is very happy with their mobile performance as well and expanded strongly into PC digital in the West.

However, I can't help but feel there was a collectively missed opportunity for at least one of them to actually keep their Japanese branches chugging overseas, but perhaps in the end it doesn't matter.
 
Jan 3, 2013
10,863
0
455
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 550000
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 85000
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 95000
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 90000
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 25000
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 55000
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 45000
 
Aug 10, 2012
5,977
0
0
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 500k
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 130k
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 130k
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 65k
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 50k
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 70k
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 40k
 
Apr 8, 2010
2,736
0
0
The marketplace has changed greatly, as you brought up, and Square Enix knows the era of selling 10 million copies of each new entry of Final Fantasy is quite frankly over.

As a result, they diversified their portfolio to reflect those changes:

- HD Games (Final Fantasy XV - 6 million WW estimate)
- Online Games (Final Fantasy XIV - 500k subscribers)
- Mobile Games

I'm not surprised nor shocked that Bravely Default didn't sell as much as its predecessor. It took too long for the sequel to get out, and frankly the original game left much to be desired - it would of been better it were have been re-purposed as a mobile game.
which era was that since it never happened?
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
May 21, 2006
17,232
2
0
As I mentioned earlier, one cannot expect a Final Fantasy mainline game to sell as it previously has back in the PS2 (21 million JP) & PS3 era (11 million JP) - the marketplace has changed vastly since then. Each mainline game X (almost 3 million), XIII (2 million+) have declined in Japan, in part due to the console install base (and critical reception).
Haven't posted in one of these threads in a few years, but why are you using LTD console sales to extrapolate something software sales when software sells 80%+ of its sales in the first year? Shouldn't you use Life-to-Release figures for each game? What was the PS2 at when FFX released? What was the PS2 at when FFXII released? What was the PS3 at when FFXIII released? I'm also not convinced the overall hardware number is even relevant because attach rate doesn't stay consistent across install base and software sales don't scale linearly with it. Some of this is because some people buy hardware and then drop out from being an active consumer (or buy multiple units of hardware), while some of it is that late buyers are different types of consumers than early buyers.

We will most likely see the same thing happen with the PS4, where LTD will most likely be half of the PS3, and XV will suffer as a result (1.2 million is my guess).
What will the PS4 be at when FFXV releases?
 
Jan 27, 2013
7,639
0
0
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 520k
[WIU] Xenoblade X (33 days) - 100k
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 3 (32 days) - 100k
[PS4] Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD (18 days) - 30k
[PS4+XBO] The Witcher 3 (11 days) - 50k
[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai Deluxe (4 days) - 75k
[WIU] Splatoon (4 days) - 80k[/QUOTE]
 
Mar 16, 2014
266
0
0
Some might find this interesting, matching some Famitsu estimates with official PSN best sellers.

PSP/PSV
1. [PSP] Yu-Gi-Oh! Arc-V Tag Force Special (Konami) ~122,654 as of March 22nd
2. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition (Mojang) ~141,348 as of March 22nd
3. [PSV] God Eater 2: Rage Burst (Bandai Namco) ~18,264 as of February
4. [PSV] Digimon Story: Cyber Sleuth (Bandai Namco) ~10,000 as of March 22nd
5. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song (Bandai Namco) ?
6. [PSV] Gundam Breaker 2 (Bandai Namco) ~10,666 as of January

PS4
1. Dragon Quest Heroes (Square Enix) ~30,700 as of March 22nd
2. Bloodborne (Sony Computer Entertainment) ?
3. Battlefield Hardline (Electronic Arts) ~11,900 as of March 22nd
4. Resident Evil: Revelations 2 (Capcom) ~30,700 as of March 22nd
5. Dragon Ball Xenoverse (Bandai Namco) ~10,043 as of February
6. Minecraft: PlayStation 4 Edition (Mojang) ~60,279 as of March 22nd (missing February sales)
7. Resident Evil HD Remaster (Capcom) ?
8. Far Cry 4 (Ubisoft) ~6,673 as of February
9. God Eater 2: Rage Burst (Bandai Namco) ~6,760 as of February
 
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
Tsutaya's Ranking Week 17 2015

01./00. [3DS] Bravely Second: End Layer <RPG> (Square Enix)
02./01. [3DS] Style Savvy 3: Kira Kira Code <ETC> (Nintendo)
03./02. [PS4] Dying Light <ADV> (Warner Entertainment Japan)
04./05. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition (Mojang AB)
05./00. [PS3] BlazBlue: Chrono Phantasma Extend <FTG> (Arc System Works)
06./04. [PS3] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3 (Bandai Namco Games)
07./00. [PS4] Hyperdimension Neptunia Victory II <RPG> (Compile Heart)
08./00. [PS4] Toukiden: Kiwami <ACT> (Koei Tecmo)
09./00. [PS4] Tropico 5 <SLG> (Square Enix)
10./00. [PS4] BlazBlue: Chrono Phantasma Extend <FTG> (Arc System Works)

11./37. [3DS] Assassination Classroom: Korosensei Daihouimou!! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
12./06. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song (Bandai Namco Games)
13./07. [PSV] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z: Tengoku-Hen <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games)
14./12. [PS3] Yakuza 0 (Sega)
15./08. [PSV] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3 (Bandai Namco Games)
16./10. [PS3] Pro Baseball Spirits 2015 (Konami)
17./09. [PS3] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z: Tengoku-Hen <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games)
18./11. [PS4] Bloodborne (Sony Computer Entertainment)
19./13. [PS3] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 (Capcom)
20./18. [PS4] Battlefield: Hardline (Electronic Arts)
 
Jul 29, 2010
4,240
66
655
Tsutaya's Ranking Week 17 2015

01./00. [3DS] Bravely Second: End Layer <RPG> (Square Enix)
02./01. [3DS] Style Savvy 3: Kira Kira Code <ETC> (Nintendo)
03./02. [PS4] Dying Light <ADV> (Warner Entertainment Japan)
04./05. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition (Mojang AB)
05./00. [PS3] BlazBlue: Chrono Phantasma Extend <FTG> (Arc System Works)
06./04. [PS3] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3 (Bandai Namco Games)
07./00. [PS4] Hyperdimension Neptunia Victory II <RPG> (Compile Heart)
08./00. [PS4] Toukiden: Kiwami <ACT> (Koei Tecmo)
09./00. [PS4] Tropico 5 <SLG> (Square Enix)
10./00. [PS4] BlazBlue: Chrono Phantasma Extend <FTG> (Arc System Works)

11./37. [3DS] Assassination Classroom: Korosensei Daihouimou!! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
12./06. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song (Bandai Namco Games)
13./07. [PSV] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z: Tengoku-Hen <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games)
14./12. [PS3] Yakuza 0 (Sega)
15./08. [PSV] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3 (Bandai Namco Games)
16./10. [PS3] Pro Baseball Spirits 2015 (Konami)
17./09. [PS3] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z: Tengoku-Hen <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games)
18./11. [PS4] Bloodborne (Sony Computer Entertainment)
19./13. [PS3] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 (Capcom)
20./18. [PS4] Battlefield: Hardline (Electronic Arts)
To add to the Tsutaya post:
Comgnet Ranking Week 17 2015
01. [3DS] Bravely Second - 138pt
02. [PS3] BLAZBLUE CHRONOPHANTASMA EXTEND - 77Pt

03. [3DS] Style Savvy 3: Kira Kira Code - 58pt
04. [PS4] Hyperdimension Neptunia Victory II (Limited Edition) - 51Pt
05. [PS4] Hyperdimension Neptunia Victory II (Normal Edition) - 48Pt

06. [Vita] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition - 26Pt
07. [3DS] Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Tipping Stars - 25pt
08. [WiiU] Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Tipping Stars - 21pt
09. [PS4] Dying Light - 17pt
10. [3DS] Assassination Classroom: Korosensei Daihouimou!! - 16pt
11. [3DS] Theathrhythm Dragon Quest - 14pt
12. [PS4] BLAZBLUE CHRONOPHANTASMA EXTEND - 13Pt
13. [PS3] 3rd Super Robot Wars Z Tengoku hen - 12pt
14. [Vita] Phantasy Star Nova - 11pt
15. [Vita] Sword Art Online - Lost Song - (Normal Edition) - 11pt
16. [PS4] Toukiden: The Age of Demons poles - 11pt
17. [PS4] Tropico 5 - 10pt

18. [PS3] Minecraft (English) - 10pt
19. [PS3] Hatsune Miku -Project DIVA F 2nd - 10pt
20. [3DS] Final Fantasy Explorers - 10pt

Btw does comgnet have Mario v. DK at a huge discount or something? Both versions have been decently charting there when at least the Wii U version basically has no presence in any larger tracker.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
YSO predictions

Week 18, 2015 (Apr 27 - May 3)

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons: Super Mario Bros. Edition < 180k
[WIU] Xenoblade Chronicles X < 90k
[WIU] Dragon Quest X: Inishie no Ryuu no Denshou Online < 90k
[WII] Dragon Quest X: Inishie no Ryuu no Denshou Online < 90k
[WIU] Hardware - 15-20k
 
Jun 1, 2014
10,184
1
405
UK, sometimes France
PREDICTION LEAGUE MAY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Apr 27 to May 31):

[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Super Mario Bros. (33 days) - 55000
Did you forget a 0 ?

What will the PS4 be at when FFXV releases?
Probably 2M+ . Maybe 2,2M? Who knows, when does FFXV releases anyway? Early 2016 right?