Well I would have won the bet, my belief was that the game would easily sell 5 million and looking at the figures, I ain't wrong. It's nothing special of a game and that's seen with the huge drop in the UK, it's not going to have those crazy TLOU legs. UC4 definitely won't do 10 million if that's what you mean, the hardcore have got the game and it ain't gonna do 4x its first week unless you count pack ins later on.
UC4 will sell more than games that are worse quality wise such as your Bloodbornes or Splatoons and less than TLOU worldwide. I think that sounds about right to me and shows some people have decent taste in games.
You said that it wouldn't do much more then 5 million. It sold 2.7 million in its first week and has had a fairly typical drop in the UK for how high it launched.
In what world would you have won the bet? I wasn't calling you out on it reaching 5 million lifetime. I was calling you out on the part where you said it wouldn't do much more. It's not a bold statement or prediction to make in saying that UC4 won't be the worst selling UC title. But not selling much more then 5 million? That's bet worthy.
BOLD PREDICTION INCOMING:
Gears 4 should easily sell 1 million lifetime.