Oh well, I might as well make mine now. I still reserve the right to change them based on transfers up until the deadline, you never know what might happen (Rooney to United and Owen to Newcastle were last day transfers) and some teams completely change with just a couple of good buys. I won't change because of form or even long-term injuries though.
1 Chelsea
2 Man Utd
3 Liverpool
4 Arsenal
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5 Tottenham
6 Newcastle
7 Blackburn
8 West Ham
9 Portsmouth
10 Everton
11 Reading
12 Bolton
13 Aston Villa
14 Wigan
15 Charlton
16 Middlesbrough
17 Fulham
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18 Man City
19 Watford
20 Sheffield United
It's actually really difficult to pick some things this season.
1 Chelsea
If they'd strengthened like normal, I wouldn't have felt so sure. But they've really gone out of their way this year to get the best, bringing in Shevchenko, Kalou, Ballack, Obi Mikel and maybe soon Ashley Cole. I know they've lost players too, but some wouldn't have gotten in the team anyway and with the new signings neither would the rest.
I do think they're weakening their own chances for no reason though. They've decided to have an even smaller squad than normal, just so they won't have stars wanting to leave at the end of the season as they've spent too long on the bench. Who cares if people want to leave, they just sign someone new (and generally better), it hasn't hurt them so far. I'm also unsure about Mourinho's desire to switch to an AC Milan system with no wingers (even players who are wingers will have to play more central in the team). If it doesn't work, will he be willing to change or just stick with it until it (hopefully) works?
2 Man Utd
I realise looking at the top 5 I have the exact same positions as last year, but I really do think they'll end up here again, I haven't based it on last year.
I like United's squad a lot. They might only have signed Kuszczack and Carrick so far this year, but whether it's Hargreaves, Senna or even Diarra, it seems inevitable another midfielder is joining them. Anyone else is the icing on the cake, but I'm basing this on the assumption they won't buy another striker, for example. Yes, they've lost Van Nistelrooy, but I genuinely don't see them suffering much from it.
It's not just their new signings, it's the players returning. They were strong last year, and that was without Heinze, Scholes, Solskjaer and Smith, for the most part. Those returning, plus the 3 signings, make them the second best team in the country for me.
3 Liverpool
I almost surprise myself with this one. Not so long ago I really thought if they got a right winger and a new strikeforce, which they have, I'd have them 2nd and chasing Chelsea hard. And I do think that, in the actual games between sides, Liverpool are the most likely to beat Chelsea out of the teams in the Premiership. Simply because I think they have the right players to deal with them and mess with them.
Now though, I wonder about Pennant. I think he's a good player, but does having him out there rather than Gerrard necessarily make Liverpool stronger? If he's there, then Gerrard's in the middle, and assuming they're playing a 4-4-2, that means one of Sissoko or Xabi Alonso missing out. Now if Pennant is just going to be a squad player for sub appearances or playing against teams where a natural winger will be a big advantage, that's fine, but I suspect that won't be his role, and I think Gerrard, Alonso and Sissoko is stronger than Pennant, Gerrard, Alonso/Sisokko. So it could be a step back.
I can't argue that their strikeforce has improved dramatically. They began last season with Crouch, Morientes, Cisse and Pongolle. Now their main 4 are Bellamy, Kuyt, Crouch and Fowler. So I do think they're a better team, overall, they;re certainly a better squad...I'm still just not sure they're past United yet.
4 Arsenal
Again, I think they're stronger than last year. On the whole. Unfortunately, they could be 15 points better than last year and would still only just match Liverpool in 3rd...and of course, Liverpool have since improved too.
I don't even think Arsenal have improved as a squad, in terms of the names there. I mean, to lose Campbell, Bergkamp and Pires, and only bring in Rosicky (as a player likely to play first team football freqeuntly, some youngsters have come too)? He seems like a good player, but I will be so impressed if he can make up for Pires. Not that I'm saying hanging onto Pires would have been any better, he is getting on, just that I'm unsure if he's been adequately replaced.
You might even still lose Reyes and Cole before the season starts, and I'm no longer all that certain Wenger will buy replacements. He trusts his youngeters, which is great, but if you always trust youngsters then you'll always be losing points as they get their feet.
Still, that's where they have improved: youngsters coming through into the first team. They had to find their feet last year, and they did eventually, but they can show that quality from the off this time round. So long as they can stick with the players who did so well last year, rather than trying to blood even more in such large numbers, this is a good thing.
My main problem with Arsenal is...I still see the same weaknesses as there were in the past. Silva just isn't good enough, and better players in that position have been available, but they've passed by. Toure's an excellent centre back, and Senderos is good, but it still strikes me as a weak position. Wenger obviously knows this as he's tried to buy there, but he seems to be of the opinion that if he can't get a bargain, he ain't paying. Sometimes you just ahve to suck it up and pay even over the odds for someone, to make the team better as a whole. Finally...do they have a plan B? Can they go down the wings and cross the ball when they can't go through the middle? Are they willing to play a long ball games when the midfield is packed? I'm not sure.
5 Spurs
Spurs have had one hell of a good pre-season. They've lost Carrick, sure, but I like the look of Zokora a lot. Still don't have a left winger, when good ones have been possible, and I think that'll remain their main weakness. They're also a bit short on numbers in some positions, particularly up front, though the players they do have are good. I don't know if they're going to get any more points than last year, but at the same time I'm not sure anyone chasing them will surpass their total.
Perhaps I'm ignoring their great pre-season, I just can't see how that squad is good enough to make the top 4.
6 Newcastle
Owen might be out for the entire season now, which is a major problem, but I still think they'll do well. They had such a good time under Roeder, often without Owen or Shearer, and I think they'll continue.
I like their midfield a lot, but they certainly need to make a couple more signings minimum. I'm basing this position on the assumption that they'll pick up either a striker or a centre back. They have to, surely.
7 Blackburn
Last year I underestimated Blackburn, not wanting to seem biased even though I did think they'd do better than I said. Hopefully this year I've not gone the other way and are too optimistic.
Yes, we lost Bellamy. Yes I'd have preferred to keep him, No I don't think we're a weaker team. I'm relying on Roberts and McCarthy to back up my belief that those two together are better than Bellamy plus whichever striker we used with him last year.
I still might knock Blackburn down a couple of places depending on transfers. We have a European campaign coming up and a small squad, we just need greater numbers. I still want a right winger, though I haven't heard anything on that front for a while, but defensive cover is crucial. Ooijer might still make it, which would be perfect.
If we lose Neill and don't sign other defenders, I'm putting us down to 10th Sparky! I mean it!
Mark Hughes is my main reason for faith, more so than any individual player.
8 West Ham
Ashton is a blow, but they have other good forwards. He'll probably still manage to play 2/3 of the season anyway. Signed a few defenders and a good goalkeeper, as conceding goals was definitely their weakness. Can beat anyone on their day, but will also lose points to easier teams than ones they've beaten so well.
9 Portsmouth
They have lots of money, did well last year, made a couple of good signings and I expect them to get a better striker in too. They'll probably be even stronger after January.
10 Everton
They basically spent all their money on Johnson and Lescott, putting all their eggs into one basket. Better hope those two perform. Not sure about the loan deal for Howard, he's no Martyn. They had a good run last year, following a bad one, I expect it to be a bit more mixed up this year. Saw them agaisnt a rubbish Celtic and they were only as good as them, so I'm unsure if they can do better than this.
11 Reading
I'm expecting a Wigan style really good start, then average form until they drift down to 11th. No one will be sure of beating them though. Definitely the strongest side coming up.
12 Bolton
Maybe this is the year the bubble bursts. They've let a lot of players go, not many have come in, and Fat Sam has stored all his money in his fat cheeks for a striker. Unfortunately, no well known strikers want to go. He's likely to end up with a 10th choice, and I hope he doesn't waste his money on someone not worht it. Not when it's basically the only position being bought this year. Bad form towards the end of last year plus bad pre-season form plus missing out on the England job might still be hanging round them.
13 Villa
O'Neill is great. Money is great. I just don't think the first season is where we'll truly see the new Villa, the manager will need time to get his players working right and they've not got much time to spend any funds. And even if they do, so many players have already been signed this transfer window that they probably won't get the strength they could have.
14 Wigan
Heskey? Come on! They've let Roberts and Bullard go and brought in Heskey and Landzaat. Doesn't seem equal to me. They seemed to lose something last season after a great start, I'm not sure they can recapture it. I don't think they'll face much threat of relegation, if anything they might drop to this position from a better start, but some of the teams below them are unknowns so....who knows?
15 Charlton
Here's an unknown. Curbishley's gone, the man who could always ensure a md-table finihs, not to mention and end of season collapse. But does that means Dowie won't be able to keep them up? Or does it mean he'll finally cure them of the collapse? I like the frontline of Hasselbaink and Bent, his other signings make me think quanitity not quality. I'm so not sure of this position.
16 Middlesbrough
This is even more of an unknown. Who knows how good or bad Southgate is as a manager? Some players are naturals and do fantastically well immediately. Some are complete flops. His transfers have been rubbish so far, I reckon they're weaker than last year and even a more experienced manager like McClaren had trouble keeping them going. It's hardly encouraging that he wants Emerton, as whenever I hear it I shrug and say "Take him if you like, he's not bad but nothing special".
17 Fulham
They had such amazing home form last year and such atrocious away form that I'm unsure which is the real Fulham. Perhaps they'll be mid-table certainties, perhaps they'll go down in flames. Instead I've put them just above the relegation zone...regardless of if they keep Malbranque. Can't say I understand Bullard going to them over Wigan, maybe they offered more money, but he's a good signing.
18 Man City
Seriously, I didn't know who to relegate with the other two. I don't think any third team is going to go down, everyone else will be so far ahead that the Premiership will say they'll just relegate two this year. I don't think Man City are that bad, it's just a strong league. The impact of Pearce's passion has run out for me, now we have to see if he can actually manage tactically...and I don't think he can. It's strange to relegate a team with so many good strikers, but I've seen better sides go down.
19 Watford
They could have been 20 just as easily, just a feeling that got them 19th. The Premiership's too strong for them.
20 Sheffield United
See above. Maybe it's just their strip, but they make me think of Sunderland. Don't think they'll be that embarrassing....but down.
That was short.