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PoliGAF 2016 |OT12| The last days of the Republic

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royalan

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Boke1879

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It sounds like there's probably at least 12,000 people there based on his follow up tweet (I have been in this arena dozens of times). It is a lot of people. On the other hand, there are 2.1 million people living in the area.

It's so crazy that people think crowds predict elections.

I'm just more amused that Trump just says shit. He said "21,000 people" Like he just knew. At this point I have to question the validity of anything that comes out of that mans mouth.
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
no we aren't. Where do people come up with this stuff?

2004: (Kerry/Bush)

Popular vote 2,938,095 2,793,847
Percentage 50.92% 48.42%

2008: (Obama/McCain)

Popular vote 3,276,363 2,655,885
Percentage 54.47% 44.15%

2012: (Obama/Romney)

Popular vote 2,990,274 2,680,434
Percentage 51.97% 46.59%


2012 was a weak year but Obama still outperformed kerry in 04, and Clinton is polling around Obama's 2008 numbers.

The center of the state where the republicans are has a declining population. Steel is dead, coal is dead. All of the growth is in the pittsburgh and philadelphia metro areas, which are younger, more diverse, and more educated than the rest of the state and trend heavily democratic.

You are trending Red vs. the national average. Sorry for the late response, just saw this.

It's not saying PA is a lost cause, but PA is trending more republican than the country as a whole is.
 
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