-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
Trump takes lead over Clinton among likely voters [CNN]
- Thread starter Anfony O
- Start date
- Status
DontBeThatGuy
Member
In a just world, it's not even close, let alone any polls showing a Trump lead or gaining significant favorables. I mean, wtf is wrong with these people, he hasn't changed. People better start caring, and taking this shit seriously, because it's far from being in the bag.
Orbis Tabula
Member
I mean, that's not how polls work. No matter how just of a world you'd like to imagine, you're going to have times when the subset of people you select is not representative of the population at large. You can't just say "this shouldn't be happening!" This notion of a world where Trump loses every poll, and loses by more each time is just absolutely divorced from how anything works.
His Majesty
Banned
I'm watching from the European sidelines but reading GAF I had the impression that Trump's campaign was done?
ManDudeChild
Member
Mostly the elderly.
That poll might as well be the only one as far as the media is concerned because its certainly the only one you're gonna hear about for the rest of the day.
Sir Alemeth
Member
Fuck polls.
Rigged as all hell. Fuck this shit.
Rigged as all hell. Fuck this shit.
Monocle
Member
I mean, put yourself in the shoes of a kid who is about to graduate at the top of her class when she's deported along with her whole family. Not so funny when your life is destroyed by some populist shithead's racist policies.
You'll probably hear about the one that has her +1 in Texas.
DontBeThatGuy
Member
Yeah, you're probably right, still can't help but feel anxious about all this shit, especially with how terrible the media is.
Funky Papa
FUNK-Y-PPA-4
Shinra will probably smack me across the face later, but I'm not ready to call it yet. While minorities hate Trump's guts, he has tapped an immense reservoir of disenfranchised voters, while Clinton is massively disliked across the nation and Democrats are known to be complacent. The current media circus doesn't help one bit.
I'm not sure if it'll be a close race or a landslide, but I think we should ready our butts for some potential randomness.
CarpeDeezNutz
Member
A/S/L?
The crying call of Trump supporters the last couple of weeks. We should be better than that.
This. The hand wringing in this thread is embarrassing.
Great news, perhaps this will be a wake up call for all of those who think Clinton will win by a landslide and decide not to bother voting.
Although, I partially want Trump to win. Nothing changes for me, except that the internet forums will be a much more interesting read while eating big buckets of popcorn.
Although, I partially want Trump to win. Nothing changes for me, except that the internet forums will be a much more interesting read while eating big buckets of popcorn.
Skewed polls or something. /s
Most of the electorate has what they believe are legitimate concerns about a Clinton presidency. A majority of these concerns have been debunked, but since these issues voters have with Hillary are now part of the national daily conversation, they're very hard for Clinton and Democrats to erase.
The fact is, the most recent polls directly relate to the decreasing excitement of a Clinton presidency since the convention.
That said, as a Clinton supporter, I have a hard time seeing Trump win each and every swing state on Election Day.
Haha.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=3#explore-paths
Ways to win:
Clinton 1021
Trump 1
Tie 2
The alt right thing didn't stick because when people googled it they just found edgy teens, and dumb memes.
Ways to win:
Clinton 1021
Trump 1
Tie 2
The alt right thing didn't stick because when people googled it they just found edgy teens, and dumb memes.
Unless he pulls a miracle or gets lucky he won't win.He's struggling with the same issues unpopular conservative parties deal with in elections like the recent federal election in Canada.He can not appeal to anyone beyond his base so he usually polls in a reaĺly low and narrow range in polls.Hilary polls high enough usually to get a clear lead over him in the majority of polls. There have been moments where the race tightens a bit like now but hilary pulls way ahead again eventually.
Always-honest
Banned
And to think about the potential of this country.
But instead people rather shout "Yeehaw!" like some fundamentalist and drag the country in a downwards spiral of diarrhea.
But instead people rather shout "Yeehaw!" like some fundamentalist and drag the country in a downwards spiral of diarrhea.
The data on the poll is here:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/05/rel13a.-.2016.post-labor.day.pdf
33% surveyed are older than 65, 39% of surveyed are under 45.
Well, having a cow over one outlier poll that isn't very productive either. I really don't see how this poll even properly represents demographics when Clinton is winning with minorities and women in this poll but still somehow loses.
Ihyll puts it better:
ArchedThunder
Banned
Poll likely means nothing, but I can hope that young people get scared by it and GO OUT AND VOTE.
Spiritreaver
Member
I'm okay with this honestly. i was tired of people going "Well I'll vote for Hillary if it's close, but looking at the polls now it looks like I'm safe to vote Stein!"
I know, it's nuts. She's behind by 15 points on honesty and trustworthiness, losing independents by 20 although many of these people are Republicans. Losing married women too
iRAWRasaurus
Banned
One poll doesn mean much IMO. Also what state was this poll in?
It's not one poll. A lot of recent national polls have been near even with maybe a slight Clinton edge.
Rasmussen was +1 Trump. Ipsos +1 Clinton. Fox news +2 Clinton
Lagspike_exe
Member
Trump is still a very viable candidate despite suppression of his campaign being done by the establishment. Hillary has done a lot of grave things, which makes her a perfect target for an October surprise. Not to mention her health problems.
Romney was a mainstream candidate who didn't bring anything new to the table. Trump is tapping into a larger white base.
Romney was a mainstream candidate who didn't bring anything new to the table. Trump is tapping into a larger white base.
Right? Can Trump really jump ahead by 15 here? Either the poll is bogus or there are even more Republicans too embarrassed to call themselves that. I'm thinking a bit of both.
Allforce
Member
I've participated in 2 very detailed phone surveys already via cell phone and both were cold calls. I told both they could call again when they asked if I'd participate.
I went all in for Trump on one and all in on Hillary for another so I guess I'm the "margin of error" on any where Trump is leading because I'm not voting for that bucket of slime.
darkhunger
Member
And Obama won it in 2008 by a bit too.
the perception of her health problems maybe
DontBeThatGuy
Member
First off, this is garbage. Secondly, you don't live in the US. Thirdly, he may be tapping into a certain white male demographic, but is also turning off a significant portion of college-educated whites, especially woman, and is dead in the water among minorities, more so than any other candidate ever has been.
13 going on 30?
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
Apparently Clinton is up 1 in Texas in this poll.
Lmao
Lmao
CrocMother
Banned
I've been saying forever that these poll threads should be banned unless it's something especially credible. They basically exist to fuel the 24 hour media cycle.
No, the Clinton up by 1 in Texas is a different poll.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...458832-7152-11e6-9705-23e51a2f424d_story.html
It's just as much of an outlier as this CNN poll, but won't get even a fraction of the coverage. Because the media needs its horse race.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked