Bobby Roberts
Banned
So 65-70 then
Wait, what does it take for IT to double the previous opening weekend record? I think that's my high-water mark for that movie now.
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Wkd BO 0811-1317 - Annabelle conjures up #1, Dark Tower Falls
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
So 65-70 then
Wait, what does it take for IT to double the previous opening weekend record? I think that's my high-water mark for that movie now.
BronsonLee
Member
We operate on Price is Right rules here so I've clearly won
I wasn't exaggerating when I made that Wolf Warrior 2 over Avatar domestic thread a couple of weeks ago!
Star Wars is safe though. Wolf Warrior 2 is looking to settle between $800-850M I think.
Gentleman Jack
Member
The lowest bid possible is 1, not zero. So go edit your prediction again.
The only thing you've won is an L
It made like $1.5 million domestically.
That's like 99.8% : 0.2% international/domestic split.
I can't
MetroidPrimeRib
Banned
Isnt that Wheel of Fortune tho?
We need to stop with these game show references.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
Absolutely agree, and even the tracking firms are because of how weak September historically has been. Those awareness and interest numbers in the article are fucking insane.
Some high OWs marks to keep in mind for IT:
- Hotel Translyvania 2 - $48.5M (highest September OW)
- Insidious 2 - $40.3M (highest live-action September OW)
- I Am Legend - $77.2M (highest horror/thriller OW)
- Signs - $60.1M (2nd highest horror/thriller OW)
- Hannibal - $58.0M (highest R-rated horror/thriller OW, was at the time 3rd highest OW ever)
- Paranormal Activity 3 - $52.6M (highest "straight horror" OW)
BronsonLee
Member
That would double the R-rated record I think. Without going on BOM to check, I am pretty sure that Hotel Transylvania has the overall September record at around $48M.
So even the low end tracking is a September record.
EDIT: B-G-E has things covered already!
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I didn't see it mentioned yet, but IT is also getting an IMAX release.
It would be strange if it didn't given the history that IMAX and WB have.
BronsonLee
Member
God you're so young you don't even remember PAX and I don't mean the stupid convention
Grizzlyjin
Supersonic, idiotic, disconnecting, not respecting, who would really ever wanna go and top that
There's an odd amount of radio silence around Shazam. Just a couple of months ago we thought this would be a Black Adam project. And usually, we'd at least know the star a year before filming even starts. Then you get the slow trickle of costars and the villain. Shazam starts filming in January or February and we know the director. That's it, right?
The whole co-production with New Line also worries me a little too. Joseph Gordon Levitt bounced from the Sandman movie cause it got passed down to New Line...
NealMcCauley
Member
I guess Inhumans' two week engagement just went to one. Very promising.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
Stephen fucking DALDRY????
This movie will suck, but get nominated for BP because Daldry has a pact with the devil.
This movie will suck, but get nominated for BP because Daldry has a pact with the devil.
BronsonLee
Member
I have no idea who that is.
Who's worse, Daldry or...*shudders* Yates
Who's worse, Daldry or...*shudders* Yates
His filmography
2000: Billy Elliot
2002: The Hours
2008: The Reader
2011: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
2014: Trash
2019: Wicked
The first four were nominated for best picture. I think that he was also nominated for best director for the first 3.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I like the idea of that guy on a Star Wars flick. I'm curious to see what that turns out to be like.
(I think he also directed some of The Crown on Netflix)
So, looking at BGE's post - double the September weekend is in the 90 mil OW range. That seems high to me. So maybe it won't hit that.
But I'm keeping my eye on the fences.
I knew this was coming.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Still holding to this prediction.
igordennis
Member
Kswiss what Thor Ragnarok youtube video were you referencing when talking about its crazy views continuing?
PhoncipleBone
Banned
The official Marvel ones. Posting numbers close to official Last Jedi and above all the official Justice League trailers.
Random Human
They were trying to grab your prize. They work for the mercenary. The masked man.
That's just me watching it over and over again.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
36.7m views as of now for Thor trailer. Uploaded July 22.
Thor teaser. 42.7m views as of now. Uploaded April 10.
Justice League comic con trailer. 29.5m views. Uploaded July 22.
Justice League Trailer 1, 30.7m views. Uploaded March 25.
Justice League comic con 2016 trailer. 25m views. Uploaded July 23, 2016
Last Jedi teaser. 38.4m views. Uploaded April 14th.
That is just the official YouTube videos for those, not counting reposts, etc.
Meanwhile, Beauty and the Beast first trailer. 36m views. Uploaded Nov 14, 2016.
Meanwhile, the Guardians of the Galaxy 2 trailers didn't crack 20m from the original upload sources.
If we are basing opening weekends off of just YouTube views (which isn't very accurate or scientific), then Thor will be a beast opening weekend.
But, it does show that the trailers have hit on something that people like seeing over and over again.
We shall see.
Thor teaser. 42.7m views as of now. Uploaded April 10.
Justice League comic con trailer. 29.5m views. Uploaded July 22.
Justice League Trailer 1, 30.7m views. Uploaded March 25.
Justice League comic con 2016 trailer. 25m views. Uploaded July 23, 2016
Last Jedi teaser. 38.4m views. Uploaded April 14th.
That is just the official YouTube videos for those, not counting reposts, etc.
Meanwhile, Beauty and the Beast first trailer. 36m views. Uploaded Nov 14, 2016.
Meanwhile, the Guardians of the Galaxy 2 trailers didn't crack 20m from the original upload sources.
If we are basing opening weekends off of just YouTube views (which isn't very accurate or scientific), then Thor will be a beast opening weekend.
But, it does show that the trailers have hit on something that people like seeing over and over again.
We shall see.
Kenzodielocke
Banned
IT's first trailer is at 31M.
The Driver
Member
Trailers are pretty much just mini-music videos now tbh. I wouldn't be surprised if people are just playing them over and over because the music and visuals are dope and fit well. Same reason the SS trailers where popular I imagine, people really like Queen and they really like Harley Quinn.
That fucking video for Heathens off the SS soundtrack has 853 million views, Jesus.
That fucking video for Heathens off the SS soundtrack has 853 million views, Jesus.
LordOfLore
Banned
Wtf
The Driver
Member
Not correct, since this post it actually has now amassed 900 BILLION views.
The cast of Suicide Squad now to receive a guest starring role in the feature length video sequel to Heathens, Suicide Squad 2: Savages.
Featuring, every goddamn pop or rock song you've casually hummed to yourself since the dawn of time!
PanSexual_Peacock
Member
JL is significantly ahead on all other platforms except YouTube. I wouldn't look too much into these numbers.
The trailers for SS2 better be as good as they were for the first.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
The fact that a Thor trailer is even hanging in numbers that high is nuts though.
Scorpion Soldier
Member
I reckon it was never going to get IMAX screens all to itself in the first place. It's sharing screens with American Made in the Netherlands from day 1, for example.
The Driver
Member
All jokes aside WB goes hard with their trailers so I expect them to find another oldie to ride into $700 million+.
I'm actually kinda surprised they went the more traditional route and use the MoS score for the latest JL trailer, I'm sure it gets the nerds hyped but it's not something I imagine many people would replay a trailer for.
NealMcCauley
Member
The liemax near me appears to have six shows per day. I guess it depends on the theater.
WhiteRabbitEXE
Member
Platforms other than YouTube yield what are by far the least reliable/meaningful view counts though.
PanSexual_Peacock
Member
Even when those platforms are Twitter, Facebook, and Google Trends?
WhiteRabbitEXE
Member
Google Trends I couldn't tell you, but I was specifically talking about Twitter and Facebook, yes. Their threshold for view counts are significantly lower than YouTube's, and combined with autoplay they can be easily manipulated by heavy ad pushes.
PanSexual_Peacock
Member
There's obviously a lot of interest in Thor right now but I can already see people overestimating it like GOTG 2. Both Thor and JL have more trailer views on YouTube than SW. I think it's safe to say neither of those films are getting close to it's numbers.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
yes, those platform's totals tend to count 10 seconds (or less) of an autoplay as a "view"
Its not as representative as a person choosing to push play on a youtube video or embed.
Its not as representative as a person choosing to push play on a youtube video or embed.
PanSexual_Peacock
Member
What about shares? JL is significantly ahead in that as well. It also trended much longer than Thor as well.
Facebook was 3 seconds a while back. Not sure if they changed anything. Youtube is 30 seconds I think.