What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the upcoming year.
What do I win?: Bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it.
This prediction thread covers the grand total of all hardware sales as given in the NPD reports (or estimations of NPD data when there's a lack of public numbers) from January through December 2013 for the systems listed.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, February 4th. Format use is absolutely required.
Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.
Note the new platforms this year! We're saying goodbye to the WII, and hello to the 720 and PS4. If either the 720, the PS4, or both fail to come out this year, then the results will be 0 for that system(s). If you think 720 or PS4 will not come out this year, you can just outright put 0 for that system's predicted units.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[720]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[PSV]
[WIU]
Good
[360] 5500K
[360] 5500000
[360] 5,500,000
Bad
[360] 5.500.000
[360] 5.5 million
[360] 5.5m
[360] - 5.5 m
360 - 5 million
2012 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2011 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2010 Results
* PSP numbers for December 2010 were not made available, and thus the number you see here includes an estimate of 428,000 December hardware sales from jvm at Gamasutra.
Potentially significant releases for 2013
(No guarantee these'll come out in 2013. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)
360 - 720, GTAV, price drop
3DS - Animal Crossing, Pokemon X/Y (Oct), price drop
720 - launch, Halo 5
PS3 - PS4, GTAV, price drop
PS4 - launch
PSV - price drop
WII U - price drop, who knows what games, because Nintendo doesn't tell us
2012 NPD Prediction Thread
2011 NPD Prediction Thread
2010 NPD Prediction Thread
2009 NPD Prediction Thread
2008 NPD Prediction Thread
2007 NPD Prediction Thread
2006 NPD Prediction Thread
What do I win?: Bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it.
This prediction thread covers the grand total of all hardware sales as given in the NPD reports (or estimations of NPD data when there's a lack of public numbers) from January through December 2013 for the systems listed.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, February 4th. Format use is absolutely required.
Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.
Note the new platforms this year! We're saying goodbye to the WII, and hello to the 720 and PS4. If either the 720, the PS4, or both fail to come out this year, then the results will be 0 for that system(s). If you think 720 or PS4 will not come out this year, you can just outright put 0 for that system's predicted units.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[720]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[PSV]
[WIU]
Good
[360] 5500K
[360] 5500000
[360] 5,500,000
Bad
[360] 5.500.000
[360] 5.5 million
[360] 5.5m
[360] - 5.5 m
360 - 5 million
2012 Results*
jvm/Gamasutra said:
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2011 Results*
jvm/Gamasutra said:
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2010 Results
NPD said:
* PSP numbers for December 2010 were not made available, and thus the number you see here includes an estimate of 428,000 December hardware sales from jvm at Gamasutra.
Potentially significant releases for 2013
(No guarantee these'll come out in 2013. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)
360 - 720, GTAV, price drop
3DS - Animal Crossing, Pokemon X/Y (Oct), price drop
720 - launch, Halo 5
PS3 - PS4, GTAV, price drop
PS4 - launch
PSV - price drop
WII U - price drop, who knows what games, because Nintendo doesn't tell us
2012 NPD Prediction Thread
2011 NPD Prediction Thread
2010 NPD Prediction Thread
2009 NPD Prediction Thread
2008 NPD Prediction Thread
2007 NPD Prediction Thread
2006 NPD Prediction Thread
