This thread is for predictions of U.S. Hardware sales as reported by NPD (or estimations thereof where no public data is available) for the entire 2015 year (January-December 2015).
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the upcoming year.
What do I win?: Bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Tuesday, February 3rd. (This gives it some separation from the monthly thread deadline.) Format use is absolutely required.
Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.
Format to use for predictions:
[3DS]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good
[3DS] 2500K
[3DS] 2500000
[3DS] 2,500,000
Bad
[3DS] 2.500.000
[3DS] 2.5 million
[3DS] 2.5m
[3DS] - 2.5 m
3DS - 2 million
2014 Results*
* Not all numbers were publicly available throughout the year, so using #1 predictor for missing month to fill in gaps.
2013 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using Road's estimates.
2012 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2011 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
Potentially significant sales-related events for 2015
(No guarantee these'll all happen in 2015. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)
3DS - New 3DS/3DSXL, price drop
XB1 - Halo 5, price drop (to $350 on Jan. 16 to match holiday 2014 price + maybe another price drop in 2015)
PS4 - FFXV (would expect more PS impact than XB from this), price drop
WII U - Zelda U, price drop
2014 NPD Prediction Thread
2013 NPD Prediction Thread
2012 NPD Prediction Thread
2011 NPD Prediction Thread
2010 NPD Prediction Thread
2009 NPD Prediction Thread
2008 NPD Prediction Thread
2007 NPD Prediction Thread
2006 NPD Prediction Thread
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the upcoming year.
What do I win?: Bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Tuesday, February 3rd. (This gives it some separation from the monthly thread deadline.) Format use is absolutely required.
Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.
Format to use for predictions:
[3DS]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good
[3DS] 2500K
[3DS] 2500000
[3DS] 2,500,000
Bad
[3DS] 2.500.000
[3DS] 2.5 million
[3DS] 2.5m
[3DS] - 2.5 m
3DS - 2 million
2014 Results*
* Not all numbers were publicly available throughout the year, so using #1 predictor for missing month to fill in gaps.
2013 Results*
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using Road's estimates.
2012 Results*
jvm/Gamasutra said:
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
2011 Results*
jvm/Gamasutra said:
* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.
Potentially significant sales-related events for 2015
(No guarantee these'll all happen in 2015. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)
3DS - New 3DS/3DSXL, price drop
XB1 - Halo 5, price drop (to $350 on Jan. 16 to match holiday 2014 price + maybe another price drop in 2015)
PS4 - FFXV (would expect more PS impact than XB from this), price drop
WII U - Zelda U, price drop
2014 NPD Prediction Thread
2013 NPD Prediction Thread
2012 NPD Prediction Thread
2011 NPD Prediction Thread
2010 NPD Prediction Thread
2009 NPD Prediction Thread
2008 NPD Prediction Thread
2007 NPD Prediction Thread
2006 NPD Prediction Thread
