Less than 2 hours to go before the Evo line-up is announced, so I figure I'd stick my neck out with my predictions:
SSF4AE12
UMvC3
TTT2
P4A
KOF13
MK9
- I expect 6 games, with the odds of the above 6 making the cut in order from most likely to least. SF4 and MvC3 are givens. A new Tekken is traditionally a lock during its release year, and nothing about TTT2 indicates otherwise. P4A is kind of a dark horse, but it seems to consistently pull good numbers at majors for a non-Capcom game. KOF13 and MK9 have a chance of being dropped due to low attendance, but I just don't see anything else unseating them.
- The game with the most entrants will be the "main game." I expect this to once again be SF4.
- I expect that SFxTK's inclusion in IPL actually gives Evo less of a reason to include this game in their lineup, as this gives the xTK playerbase a dedicated alternative and frees SRK from having to worry whether the 2013 patch is good enough to turn interest around or not.
- There is no hype for PSASBR and while I think it's possible that Sony could moneyhat their way into the ring, I don't expect it.
- Injustice is too much of an unknown. I know MK9 and SFxTK have snuck into the Evo line-up in the past even before they were released, but I don't expect that to happen this time.
- DOA5, VF5FS, SCV, Skullgirls, and GGAC+ are out of the running, barring the possibility of "official side tournaments" like Sega did with VF5 last year.
- Just realized as I typed this up that I didn't consider Blazblue at all, but I literally know nothing about that game's scene, its typical turn-out, or anything about its new release.
I pretty much agree with this, although I think Injustice may get in over MK9.