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[Bonen no Max'd]

Is Coakley being worthless the only reason Baker won (other than MA's weird hard on for Republican governors) or was there something else at play around that time?

 

[Loxley]

Does....Does he know how a jungle primary works?

Do you think he knows how a jungle primary works?

 

[Teggy]

This fire about Bernie/Perez tour

https://mobile.twitter.com/ljoywilliams/status/854493008682774530

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

Is Coakley being worthless the only reason Baker won (other than MA's weird hard on for Republican governors) or was there something else at play around that time?

It was also 2014 and Democrats didn't really do well much of anywhere

 

[Teggy]

Is Coakley being worthless the only reason Baker won (other than MA's weird hard on for Republican governors) or was there something else at play around that time?

Baker is a RINO so you weren't dealing with a stark contrast and I don't think people were in love with Patrick towards the end of his term.

 

[Bonen no Max'd]

It was also 2014 and Democrats didn't really do well much of anywhere

Hickenlooper, Dayton, and Wolf pulled it off so I was just curious if there was baggage from Patrick like with O'Malley screwing up bad enough to hand over Maryland to Hogan.

 

[Slizeezyc]

Do you think he knows how a jungle primary works?

Fair point.

 

[Man God]

Is Coakley being worthless the only reason Baker won (other than MA's weird hard on for Republican governors) or was there something else at play around that time?

It's most of it honestly.

 

[pigeon]

From Will Jordan's twitter.

 

[Good Job Bob]

Ted Cruz says he thinks Warren will be the Dem nom in 2020.

 

[ShadowSwordmaster]

That GA-6 thread went places.

 

[Slacker]

Ted Cruz says he thinks Warren will be the Dem nom in 2020.

As always, he's wrong. Kind of like when he predicted he would win the nom.

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

Ted Cruz says he thinks Warren will be the Dem nom in 2020.

Wishful thinking.

 

[Holmes]

Ted Cruz says he thinks Warren will be the Dem nom in 2020.

It's possible but there are too many uncertainties right now. I unfortunately believe Warren would face an unfair smear campaign, both from Republicans and by/aided by the media, and it would work better than it should due to her being female.

 

[B-Dubs]

It's possible but there are too many uncertainties right now. I unfortunately believe Warren would face an unfair smear campaign, both from Republicans and by/aided by the media, and it would work better than it should due to her being female.

I doubt she even runs. She should be VP for whoever wins if she's up for it, but that's about it.

 

[Box of Kittens]

That GA-6 thread went places.

Kennesaw?

Spoiler

No, because it's not in the district.

 

[Holmes]

I doubt she even runs. She should be VP for whoever wins if she's up for it, but that's about it.

My point still stands if she's the VP candidate though.

 

[zethren]

Kennesaw?

Spoiler

No, because it's not in the district.

I lol'd

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Wish we had won today. Victory in runoff will be tougher.

Ossoff needs to campaign really well.

 

[Trouble]

From Will Jordan's twitter.

Just a one-off anomaly. No need to read anything further into this, Republicans. Carry on.

 

[Aaron Strife]

From Will Jordan's twitter.

Slightly misleading too without the 2010 numbers, makes it look like there was an inverse correlation that year. Guessing Price didn't even have a challenger that time?

It's impossible to know this far in advance, but if this trend holds for Nov 2018, oh boy.

 

[Bonen no Max'd]

Thompson outperformed his district by 25 points, Ossoff only by like 18, get Thompson to run in GA-6 next time #ThompsonWould'veWon

 

[whyamihere]

Who do you think would win, Martha Coakley or Curt Schilling

 

[JesseEwiak]

Swing voters in Massachusetts like to give the Governor's Mansion to the GOP when the DNC nominates complete hacks since most people want a check on the Massachusetts Legislature, they just don't want to vote for Republican State Reps or Senators.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Thompson outperformed his district by 25 points, Ossoff only by like 18, get Thompson to run in GA-6 next time #ThompsonWould'veWon

Thompson outperformed presidential numbers by that much. I don't think Ossoff did same when looking at presidential numbers?

 

[Aaron Strife]

Thompson outperformed his district by 25 points, Ossoff only by like 18, get Thompson to run in GA-6 next time #ThompsonWould'veWon

#KelWouldHaveWon

Smooth move, Lorne Michels.

 

[whyamihere]

Thompson outperformed presidential numbers by that much. I don't think Ossoff did same when looking at presidential numbers?

He outperformed Pompeo's numbers by that much. Ossoff did 1.3% better than Hillary, but improved by the last Dem there's numbers by that much.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Man, I hope we can beat Erik Paulsen next year. Dunno how people in my district keep getting hoodwinked by him. Apparently all you have to do is say "Well I disagree with Trump/GOP leadership on some things" without specifying what any of those things are and people will believe you.

Then again his entire congressional career has been him running as a check on Obama, maybe he'll go down now that the shoe's on the other foot. Clinton won here by 9 points.

 

[Bonen no Max'd]

Man, I hope we can beat Erik Paulsen last year. Dunno how people in my district keep getting hoodwinked by him. Apparently all you have to do is say "Well I disagree with Trump/GOP leadership on some things" without specifying what any of those things are and people will believe you.

Then again his entire congressional career has been him running as a check on Obama, maybe he'll go down now that the shoe's on the other foot. Clinton won here by 9 points.

It's amazing that I can look at his Wikipedia page and see that for being in a D+3 district he has absolutely zero moderate views.

I guess Rick Nolan balances it out though.

 

[kirblar]

Warren knows not to run. She's like if Hillary had self-awareness. (personality wise, not policy)

 

[Officerrob]

Ted Cruz says he thinks Warren will be the Dem nom in 2020.

He thought he was going to be the Republican nominee in 2016

 

[Slizeezyc]

Man, I hope we can beat Erik Paulsen last year. Dunno how people in my district keep getting hoodwinked by him. Apparently all you have to do is say "Well I disagree with Trump/GOP leadership on some things" without specifying what any of those things are and people will believe you.

Then again his entire congressional career has been him running as a check on Obama, maybe he'll go down now that the shoe's on the other foot. Clinton won here by 9 points.

You want to beat someone in the past?

 

[Holmes]

I think people just want to move goal posts as much as possible. I see people saying we should compare KS-04 to the 2014 gubernatorial race and GA-06 to the 2016 Presidential election. Girl these are House of Representatives elections and should be compared to their previous elections, not some other random races where you can point and say "no real improvement!"

 

[whyamihere]

I do wonder if Ossoff actually has a worse shot in the run-off, or that's the GOP political class trying to make themselves feel better about a Democrat in GA-06 coming extremely close to winning in the first round.

 

[Holmes]

I do wonder if Ossoff actually has a worse shot in the run-off, or that's the GOP political class trying to make themselves feel better about a Democrat in GA-06 coming extremely close to winning in the first round.

Still don't think Ossoff has a worse shot in the runoff. His voters are already coalesced around him and are more energized. Handel does need to work to get all R votes to turn up and vote in her favor. She has the more difficult path to 50%+1.

 

[whyamihere]

Still don't think Ossoff has a worse shot in the runoff. His voters are already coalesced around him and are more energized. Handel does need to work to get all R votes to turn up and vote in her favor. She has the more difficult path to 50%+1.

That's what I'm wondering. Feels more like the GOP saying This Cannot Happen Here. I mean, maybe she wins? But going from 20% to 50% has its own complications.

 

[Holmes]

Honestly tired of reading "Ossoff did not improve at all" because THAT WAS FOR A COMPETELY DIFFERENT OFFICE. Presidential election != House election. The last race here was R+24. This is the worst take of all tonight.

 

[Aaron Strife]

You want to beat someone in the past?

SHUT UP

 

[FyreWulff]

https://twitter.com/ProPublica/status/854521291105325056

So is having no attorneys sign up to work for the administration atypical?....

 

[cartoon_soldier]

https://twitter.com/ProPublica/status/854521291105325056

So is having no attorneys sign up to work for the administration atypical?....

Good for us. The less DoJ AGs are there at state level the harder it will be for administration to do things.

 

[Sirpopopop]

Trump's the best thing to happen to Warren.

She wasn't exactly a lock in MA to win re-election before him.

http://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/blog/2017/01/23/elizabeth-warren-poll/

Poll tends to track the views of my more centrist friends in MA.

What a moron.

I'm starting to feel much better about Trump being elected. It's given the Democrats a shot in the arm, shattered the Republican caucuses and since the president himself is a total moron it reflects poorly on the Republicans as a whole, and on top of that he's actively promoting infighting.

You shouldn't.

Catastrophic global warming is a certainty at this point.

 

[Sirpopopop]

.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

 

[Aaron Strife]

Feel like the dynamics in a primary are a little different than in the run-off so throwing in those GA-6 numbers (for now) seems a little disingenuous. Although win or lose, I don't see Ossoff doing much different than he did last night.

Maybe we should be comparing these results to the last congressional election. The presidential election was in a different context.

 

[JDB]

Are there really two months until the runoff? Seems like a long time.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Feel like the dynamics in a primary are a little different than in the run-off so throwing in those GA-6 numbers (for now) seems a little disingenuous. Although win or lose, I don't see Ossoff doing much different than he did last night.

Maybe we should be comparing these results to the last congressional election. The presidential election was in a different context.

I think you will see worse D performance from the mean the closer the race.

 

[Blader]

Baker is a RINO so you weren't dealing with a stark contrast and I don't think people were in love with Patrick towards the end of his term.

I think people liked Deval more toward the end of his term than at the start.

 

[Wilsongt]

Donald J. Trump‏ @realDonaldTrump

Despite major outside money, FAKE media support and eleven Republican candidates, BIG "R" win with runoff in Georgia. Glad to be of help!
12:09 AM · Apr 19, 2017

Bitch, please.

 

[nature boy]

Me thinks yesterday was the best chance to win that seat

Hope I'm wrong.

 

[Wilsongt]

Was listening to NPR and someone who used to do scheduling for Obama just said that the presidential travel budget is not unlimited...

Someone didn't tell Pumpkin Spice.