Yea I dont think so.
PS3 is poised to be much stronger next year then this year! Its actually quite baffling, which is another reason why I don't think PS4 will release until sometime in 2014. You have the The Last of Us, GoW: A, Beyond, hopefully FFversus13, and maybe The Last Guardian.
Im hoping The Last Guardian will get pushed to PS4 as a PS4 launch title. That would create HUGE hype for PS4, and it makes sense as all there problems seem to have been technical ones, PS4 would elevate these problems. I think it would be genius, but hey that's probably exactly why Sony wont do it.
Parmenides said:
FY14 (April 2014 - March 2015)
Sony's new management team set a three-year plan for the PlayStation business built around the PS3,Vita and PSN. Sony is banking on the PS3 and its software sales (over 300 million units shipped over the last couple of years) to be the engine that drives Game profits until the end of the three-year cycle,so its successor should only play a minor role during the fiscal year ending march 31, 2015, when the tech will be a little more mature, the PS3 will be targeted exclusively to kids,casual gamers and emerging markets after reaching key price points,and the Vita situation will be solved.Basically Sony will save a considerable amount of money while avoiding the dreadful sales and profits cannibalization between PS3,PS Vita and PS4 in both hardware and software.
Sony's CFO: F4Q11 Results Earnings Call (May 10, 2012)
Makes a lot of sense and further supports my theory we wont see PS4, and therefor probably 720 as well until 2014. They could release in Japan earlier in 2014(spring time) and release in NA+EU in Fall of 2014. In that earnings call to there stockholders they basically say
there in no rush to release a new console. That isnt a PR statement, thats for the stockholders. They wouldnt mislead them.
A 2014 release would also elevate all those problems with memory denisties. We could easily get 4gb GDD5 of memory then, probably 6gb. The Wii U really doesnt affect them or MS unless it was on the market more then 2 years on the market without a PS4 or 720 release. We wont see any signifigant graphical differences in Wii U games for 1-2 years, until its userbase is very sizable, theres not enough incentive for devs to invest is the Wii U's version of games. Plus IMO I dont believe Wii U is any stronger then PS3/360 then Xbox was to PS2, maybe just a bit more. If xbox was 2x PS2, Wii U may be 2.5x 360/PS3 at the most. Really we wont see many games taking full advntage of Wii U, just like Xbox there will be 3-4 titles that push the system that arnt first party. I remember people saying a couple years ago that Xbox was NEVER full taken advantage 100%. Where the incentive for the devs? Unles this thing blows huge numbers out of the gate, like 15million+ first year, it just wont happen when there's two consoles with a combined user base of about 150million.
Therefor Wii U will have little affect on when MS and Sony launch there next gen systems.