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This is the date Bernie Sanders Berns Out (March 15?)

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phanphare

Banned
I think what that last sentence was implying whether Sanders endorses the Democratic nominee and ardently encourages supporters to support the nominee, not whether he's going to pack up and resign from the Senate.

he's pretty much already done that on multiple occasions. he's said it at multiple debates, he said it during his new hampshire speech (probably because that was the last meaningful state that he was going to win before hillary took over the race), and he'll likely continue to say it.
 
he's pretty much already done that on multiple occasions. he's said it at multiple debates, he said it during his new hampshire speech (probably because that was the last meaningful state that he was going to win before hillary took over the race), and he'll likely continue to say it.
I don't think many of his dissenters actually listen to what he has to say. Just what others have to say about him.
 

Damaniel

Banned
You don't have downticket races in Georgia? No local elections that matter?

No offense, but saying that makes it sound like this is your first election.

Sadly, there are too many, mostly younger voters who think that Bernie can unilaterally enact policy without the help of Congress or the Supreme Court. The idea of downticket races is downright foreign to them, as is the importance of having those downticket progressives providing support to a social democrat and his or her policies.

Bernie supporters,if you want to lay the foundation for social democracy, vote and don't stay home. Don't vote for Hillary if you must (though I hope you change your minds), but vote for change at every level of government.

I do wonder if Hillary might consider him as VP though.

He's too old. From an actuarial standpoint, there's a better than even chance that he'll die before the end of an 8-year Hillary term. She needs to pick a Bernie-like progressive who's young and devoted enough to take the reins after Hillary is out of office.
 

XAL

Member
It isn't a threat, but a possibility. I have no control over the type of sanders supporter that wouldn't get out and vote in the GE (College kids?). This is the only place I really go to talk about politics, but I do see a lot of people mocking him when it comes to H v S.

As a Sanders supporter, I've come to the realization he isn't going to win. I mean it was a long fight regardless and he was going up against Hillary freaking Clinton. If it was anyone else, he would probably be winning, but Clinton has 25 years of involvement in the Dem party and the institution wasn't about to leave her behind and go join Sanders, especially what happened in 2008.

I'd rather have her than Trump, tho I don't know if she will be in play in Texas yet.

Not to mention the people in the middle that will be swayed to the Rep side if the investigations into Hillary's email debacle result in charges.
 
Frankly it happened last Saturday in Nevada.

Super Tuesday is probably when most people will be convinced and when the media narrative will shift to the general election season of Trump* versus Clinton. So it's like we are just watching a slow-mo two to three weeks car crash now.

This story from Cook should drive the point home even more:

http://cookpolitical.com/story/9274

And, if Clinton were to claim a delegate lead of 996 to 492 out of Super Tuesday, that would mean Sanders would need to win 58 percent of the remaining delegates available just to break even. That would be nearly impossible, because unlike on the Republican side, there are no "winner-take-all" Democratic primaries at any point on the calendar. Moreover, demographically and ideologically, two of Sanders's best states - Iowa and New Hampshire - have already voted.


*=Do not let me down Trump!!!!!!!
 

Inuhanyou

Believes Dragon Quest is a franchise managed by Sony
Super Tuesday will definitely decide things, so he has to do all he can before then to shore up support in the states he is advantageous in. I am wishing the absolute best for his chances, for the future of this country.

But what a horrible title that's not biased or tilted in anyway, seriously, its ridiculous how the media is so giddy at the possibility of this guy being silenced.
 

gcubed

Member
Frankly it happened last Saturday.

Super Tuesday is probably when most people and the media narrative will be convinced it is over. So it's liked we are just watching a slow-mo two to three weeks car crash now.

people will realize it next Tuesday but after the 15th he's basically mathematically eliminated, Clinton can stop spending as much money as she is and she can focus on republicans.
 
Frankly it happened last Saturday in Nevada.

Super Tuesday is probably when most people will be convinced and when the media narrative will shift to the general election season of (hopefully) Trump versus Clinton. So it's like we are just watching a slow-mo two to three weeks car crash now.

You could argue it happened when sanders didn't win Iowa by a solid margin. But yeah, NV basically sealed it. It wasn't just the margin of the loss, but the demographic issues as well.
 
I swear, this constant mocking and degrading of Sanders or Sanders supporters is not the angle you guys should be taking, especially for the future.

Hillary is in for a tough fight this fall.

This sounds eerily similar to comments made by some Hillary supporters in '08. One of her surrogates said the Obama camp should stop antagonizing her because they'll need her to raise money if he gets the nomination.
 

digdug2k

Member
Having Sanders in for now is good for everyone. It gives frustrated Dems something to vote for. It gives Hillary a chance to try out a bunch of answers to a bunch of tough questions that she'll face in the general.
 

dave is ok

aztek is ok
This guy was unfortunate to write this whole article saying that Bernie will suspend his campaign on the very day he announced he'll continue til the convention
 
I swear, this constant mocking and degrading of Sanders or Sanders supporters is not the angle you guys should be taking, especially for the future.

Hillary is in for a tough fight this fall.

When most young people like me do not understand how important the Supreme Court appointments are (as evidenced by that recent Pew poll), especially in this election, then they deserve all the mocking thrown our way.
 

Inuhanyou

Believes Dragon Quest is a franchise managed by Sony
Also, in the hypothetical chance that Hillary wins the nom...its gonna be a bloodbath for her i think in the general, and she'll probably lose.

Independents( liberal, moderate AND conservative) will abstain, she will only get a (bigger)portion of the Democrat vote, and the GOP obviously has their guy.

This is not an election for establishment candidates and unfortunately for her, there's too much dirt she has that will get people apathetic about the process.
 
inuhanyou's meltdown next month is gonna be fun, i think.

people will realize it next Tuesday but after the 15th he's basically mathematically eliminated, Clinton can stop spending as much money as she is and she can focus on republicans.

building on this...

clinton's already outperforming the "actual tie" margin by 11 delegates. she's probably gonna be outperforming it by 21 after saturday, and march 1st is gonna be a complete bloodbath (texas and georgia alone are gonna have substantially wider margins than sanders would need for a 50% tie)
 
Also, in the hypothetical chance that Hillary wins the nom...its gonna be a bloodbath for her i think in the general, and she'll probably lose.

Independents( liberal, moderate AND conservative) will abstain, she will only get a (bigger)portion of the Democrat vote, and the GOP obviously has their guy.

This is not an election for establishment candidates and unfortunately for her, there's too much dirt she has that will get people apathetic about the process.

I'm not too certain that will be the case. It's still only February, and there's right now a bit of a shockwave going Sanders supporters that he might not win this. People are disappointed, claiming they'll abstain, vote third-party, or even try to rile-up Clinton supporter by making dubious claims they'll vote for Trump. I feel a lot of it is just the venting of frustrations. We saw this eight years ago when allegedly Clinton supporters were going to either abstain or vote McCain in droves, costing Obama the election. Didn't happen.

It's still only February. After having time to process this, and more importantly watch a few months more of the campaign trail where a Trump, Cruz, or Rubio presidency might start looking like a twinge of a reality, and watch the number of those abstainers start to flock back to the Democrats. Let's observe this phenomenon after the conventions. Let's observe this following a debate or two of Hillary versus [GOP Candidate].

Besides, one could say divisions are high among GOP too.
 

danm999

Member
The maths gets very hard for Bernie in March yes. Clinton will have all the momentum from NV and SC, her Southern firewall appears stronger than ever and the Sanders campaign seems to be focusing on a handful of Super Tuesday states in the Midwest and North East that cannot run up the numbers to challenge big delegate heavy states where Clinton is leading double digits.

Barring something unforeseen it looks like we're in for Clinton v Trump.
 

Inuhanyou

Believes Dragon Quest is a franchise managed by Sony
inuhanyou's meltdown next month is gonna be fun, i think

Yes, i'm sure if Hillary Clinton wins Super Tuesday, you will find more pleasure in me personally melting down like a fandom warrior than having any actual statement about the future of our country or what your candidate represents.
 
Petty and embarrassing.

Petty and embarrassing like pretending turnout's going to sink enough to guarantee a GOP win, regardless of candidate, only because Clinton wins the nomination? In spite of practically every political scientist outside of the Foxsphere thinking it's a tossup at worst?

(Sabato has it at 247-206, Cook has it at 253-191, Rothenberg has it at 249-191, all with the underlying assumption that Clinton wins the nomination - yet all of these are magically going to be reversed because of an as-yet-nonexistent shitfit against the "establishment" outside of the GOP.)

Yes, i'm sure if Hillary Clinton wins Super Tuesday, you will find more pleasure in me personally melting down like a fandom warrior than having any actual statement about the future of our country or what your candidate represents.

I sure will, because your meltdowns will be completely irrelevant to any of the latter.

I'll also find pleasure in your clown shoes hyperbolic statements about independents staying home for the general election (among several other prognostications based on flimsy evidence at best but presented as immutable facts) inevitably being wrong because you can't possibly conceive that anyone but Sanders could possibly win.
 

Damaniel

Banned
Also, in the hypothetical chance that Hillary wins the nom...its gonna be a bloodbath for her i think in the general, and she'll probably lose.

Independents( liberal, moderate AND conservative) will abstain, she will only get a (bigger)portion of the Democrat vote, and the GOP obviously has their guy.

This is not an election for establishment candidates and unfortunately for her, there's too much dirt she has that will get people apathetic about the process.

Nothing hypothetical about it - it's all but done already, and will be undeniably so by the middle of March.

That said, there won't be a bloodbath. Trump has higher negatives than Hillary, and the split between the two won't be that wide among independents. Democrats love her, and enough conservative women and minorities have been thrown under the bus by Trump that she could be considered the lesser evil by many. The real bloodbath would be the socialist (well, the social Democrat, but which voters world know the difference?) versus anyone. Independents hate socialists, Republicans universally despise them, and even a bunch of Democrats are wary. Good luck changing the national narrative regarding socialism in a few months.

Going into the general, I'd feel much better taking my chances with Hillary than with Bernie. Of course, that's merely hypothetical too since he'll be effectively done by next week.
 
The Daily Beast is owned by media mega-company IAC.

Chelsea Clinton is on the Board of Directors at IAC.

Make of that what you will, but there has been a consistent bias against Bernie in the media, mostly ignoring him during the first part of the campaign, and then painting him as someone who has little to no chance.
 
This guy was unfortunate to write this whole article saying that Bernie will suspend his campaign on the very day he announced he'll continue til the convention

True, but then, candidates almost always say that they'll continue to the convention. What else would they say? In reality, they stay in until they run out of money.
 

Krakn3Dfx

Member
Anecdotal, but a good majority of the people I know right now in Colorado walking and calling for Bernie, long time democrats who walked/called for Obama in '08 and '12 have pretty much voiced their lack of interest in working for a Clinton win.

I feel like that's going to be a lot of people, the Clinton campaign has been built on piles of money, while the Sander's campaign has been the kind of excitement you saw with Obama. Maybe she can win November with money, and good for her if she does, but it's not going to be because of any great grass roots effort by democrats who feel like she brings change to the table.

The people who support Sanders see a desire for change. It seems like the people who support Clinton do it in the hopes that not much changes for another 8 years.
 
Realistically I think a lot of Sanders supporters will stay home and not vote at all if the choices are Clinton or Trump.

People want real...actual change for the better, and I know I don't feel like either of them will bring that. A nut or a fraud, take your pick! That doesn't get people excited to vote.

Unfortunately it doesn't seem like Sanders is getting enough people excited either.
 
Wasn't Jeb Bush saying he's in it until the convention until the day he dropped out?

I'm sure he was. A lot of people were saying he would stay in until at least Florida. And it would make sense for him to do so, strategically. But, of course, he didn't. Because he was running out of money. It's pretty much the only reason anyone drops out.
 
Realistically I think a lot of Sanders supporters will stay home and not vote at all if the choices are Clinton or Trump.

People want real...actual change for the better, and I know I don't feel like either of them will bring that. A nut or a fraud, take your pick! That doesn't get people excited to vote.

Unfortunately it doesn't seem like Sanders is getting enough people excited either.
There's a big difference between 'a lot' online, and 'a lot' in the real world. Especially with months to go, and so much on the line. Combined with Bernie himself inevitably campaigning for people to vote Clinton - and I think it's not a major concern.
 
I have seen this from Sanders supporters way more than the other way around...

They are soaking up right wing talking points, absolutely sure that Hillary is not trustworthy.

I think that by now we should probably dispel with the notion that all/most Sanders supporters are just regurgitating 'right wing talking points.' That just dismisses valid criticisms that many progressives have with the Clintons and furthermore paints everything with a partisan brush.

But who knows, maybe Michelle Alexander was right wing all along when going over some of those criticisms recently.

I think it perhaps poisons the well to write an article that boils down to "He's going to lose, and if he disagrees with me, then that's proof I'm right and he's a jerk".

Yeah, it does seem somewhat petty.
 
Don't vote, that always teaches them! Abstain! Don't compromise your integrity, don't dirty yourself by voting, just ignore it! Life's a bitch and then you die, yolo, #imgoodwitit
 
I'm sure he was. A lot of people were saying he would stay in until at least Florida. And it would make sense for him to do so, strategically. But, of course, he didn't. Because he was running out of money. It's pretty much the only reason anyone drops out.

Yeah. Although if he has the money, it's probably more encouraging to stay in the game when it's only a two-person race as opposed to a six-person race like it was when Jeb dropped out, even if it's a losing battle.
 

gcubed

Member
The Daily Beast is owned by media mega-company IAC.

Chelsea Clinton is on the Board of Directors at IAC.

Make of that what you will, but there has been a consistent bias against Bernie in the media, mostly ignoring him during the first part of the campaign, and then painting him as someone who has little to no chance.

Or, they aren't involved in cheerleading a campaign that factually has little to no chance.

I mean I assume that would make more sense than a vast conspiracy
 
He's too old. From an actuarial standpoint, there's a better than even chance that he'll die before the end of an 8-year Hillary term. She needs to pick a Bernie-like progressive who's young and devoted enough to take the reins after Hillary is out of office.

She's too old as well. 69 should be retired. Feel like late 40s or early 50s is the right age.
 
Yeah. Although if he has the money, it's probably more encouraging to stay in the game when it's only a two-person race as opposed to a six-person race like it was when Jeb dropped out, even if it's a losing battle.

Yeah. The question will be if he can maintain his fundraising momentum throughout March. The reason I think he'll be dropping out sometime that month isn't because he'll be convinced by delegate math, or see the writing on the wall, but moreso because I expect donations will start to decrease and enthusiasm will dampen when he's forced to trudge through a run of states that present loss after loss after loss for him. I mean, he could end up like Ron Paul and honestly keep contesting it all the way to the convention, provided he can ride the cash he has.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
Petty and embarrassing like pretending turnout's going to sink enough to guarantee a GOP win, regardless of candidate, only because Clinton wins the nomination? In spite of practically every political scientist outside of the Foxsphere thinking it's a tossup at worst?

(Sabato has it at 247-206, Cook has it at 253-191, Rothenberg has it at 249-191, all with the underlying assumption that Clinton wins the nomination - yet all of these are magically going to be reversed because of an as-yet-nonexistent shitfit against the "establishment" outside of the GOP.)



I sure will, because your meltdowns will be completely irrelevant to any of the latter.

I'll also find pleasure in your clown shoes hyperbolic statements about independents staying home for the general election (among several other prognostications based on flimsy evidence at best but presented as immutable facts) inevitably being wrong because you can't possibly conceive that anyone but Sanders could possibly win.

now be nice ebay.
 

BitStyle

Unconfirmed Member
Also, in the hypothetical chance that Hillary wins the nom...its gonna be a bloodbath for her i think in the general, and she'll probably lose.

Independents( liberal, moderate AND conservative) will abstain, she will only get a (bigger)portion of the Democrat vote, and the GOP obviously has their guy.

This is not an election for establishment candidates and unfortunately for her, there's too much dirt she has that will get people apathetic about the process.
Huh? I'm an independent myself, and there will be someone I vote for this fall. Abstaining from voting is always a decision that makes me scratch my head to be honest.
 
Realistically I think a lot of Sanders supporters will stay home and not vote at all if the choices are Clinton or Trump.

People want real...actual change for the better, and I know I don't feel like either of them will bring that. A nut or a fraud, take your pick! That doesn't get people excited to vote.

Unfortunately it doesn't seem like Sanders is getting enough people excited either.

If they wanted real change, they'll be voting in the mid-term elections too.

Not cheerleading is one thing. Writing a thinly-veiled hit piece is quite another. But of course, this is the new journalism.


When did math become a hit piece? I swear to god, many of Bernie's supporters are dangerously close to echoing the same anti-science, anti-math and conspiracy theory loving sentiments that many on the right do.
 
Not cheerleading is one thing. Writing a thinly-veiled hit piece is quite another. But of course, this is the new journalism.
Hit piece? Even if we entertain that, the math is what it is and the polls remain what they are. If you disagree, then what path to victory does Sanders have at this point?
 

Inuhanyou

Believes Dragon Quest is a franchise managed by Sony
I'm not too certain that will be the case. It's still only February, and there's right now a bit of a shockwave going Sanders supporters that he might not win this. People are disappointed, claiming they'll abstain, vote third-party, or even try to rile-up Clinton supporter by making dubious claims they'll vote for Trump. I feel a lot of it is just the venting of frustrations. We saw this eight years ago when allegedly Clinton supporters were going to either abstain or vote McCain in droves, costing Obama the election. Didn't happen.

It's still only February. After having time to process this, and more importantly watch a few months more of the campaign trail where a Trump, Cruz, or Rubio presidency might start looking like a twinge of a reality, and watch the number of those abstainers start to flock back to the Democrats. Let's observe this phenomenon after the conventions. Let's observe this following a debate or two of Hillary versus [GOP Candidate].
Besides, one could say divisions are high among GOP too.

The thing you have to take into account is, this is not a simple ideological disagreement within a party about policy for many in the Sanders camp. That is where Hillary Clinton would be blindsided in a general, and what i think a lot of people who are not Sanders supporters tend to miss that when they take voting blocs into account.

Obama fanboys and Hillary fanboys, and Obama and Hillary themselves were far closer than anything on the table today, and they were in the same party regardless of how ugly their rhetoric got

For most Bernie Sanders supporters specifically, this election is not about 'free stuff' or 'sky high promises' or specific nuances between the candidates in policy at all. Most of his support comes from people who are serious about wanting a clean break from choosing corrupt candidates who are not genuine about their intentions for the country, we can see that also in another way with Trump, although they are completely on the opposite side.


In Hillary, they don't 'see' a candidate who is a moderate center right candidate that pushes for legislation that was GOP legislation just a few years back, and is hawkish on foreign policy as we've grown used to from the new Democrats.

If that was the only problem, i think this would turn out to be a repeat of Obama 2012, where he still won handily.

For many people supporting Sanders, choosing Hillary is tantamount to supporting a broken system with revolving door influences with many special interests and severe conflicts of interest in almost every area of government between the political establishment and the corporate establishment, rigged against the ordinary lower class citizen.

And because of that, there WILL be a large amount of people who either not vote on principle, vote for Trump out of spite, or become disillusioned with the political process again and just drop out of politic circles. Those new voters Bernie brought into the political process because of his honesty aren't staying around and voting for her, unfortunately they were the first time younger voters who were really enthused about him, consistently giving him over 70% of the younger vote, and aren't enthused about anything regarding Hillary.
 
Not to mention the people in the middle that will be swayed to the Rep side if the investigations into Hillary's email debacle result in charges.

I don't think she is going to be charged at this point, tho it never really seemed like she would be, mostly because of the current administration. I highly doubt she gets charged during the GE, if she was going to get charged it would be in the very near future or would have happened months ago. But hell, I might be wrong, but it just doesn't seem at this point it is going to happen. Hear Emails was getting old really fast, and the coverage of it as slowed waaaay down, mostly because I think the right wants to hold off on blowing their load on it until the right political time.


When most young people like me do not understand how important the Supreme Court appointments are (as evidenced by that recent Pew poll), especially in this election, then they deserve all the mocking thrown our way.

I agree that the SC is the most important issue of the land right now, and if anything, ensuring that like RBG can retire during the next administration if she decides to. I think though that that angle hasn't really started, and will be a very huge issue this fall and be very apparent to the voters, and they will know the stakes, on both sides. It might be a gift for Hillary, so people will get out and vote.
 
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