What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, January 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: November 25-December 30 (5 weeks, November was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: January 10th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST
IMPORTANT: As of May 2012's results, NPD is now directly including Wal-Mart data in their totals. Previously they were only estimating for Wal-Mart, so there could be some significant changes in relative performance compared to previous years.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]
[WIU]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in December:
Christmas shopping season (longest possible runup to Christmas, too)
Little to no reports of significant Wii U shortages
November's Results - thanks to jvm and a variety of angles
December 2011 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, January 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: November 25-December 30 (5 weeks, November was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: January 10th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST
IMPORTANT: As of May 2012's results, NPD is now directly including Wal-Mart data in their totals. Previously they were only estimating for Wal-Mart, so there could be some significant changes in relative performance compared to previous years.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]
[WIU]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[360] 1300K [360] 1.3m
[360] 1,300,000 [360] 1.300.000
[360] 1300000 [360] - 1300000
Potential hardware impacting events in December:
Christmas shopping season (longest possible runup to Christmas, too)
Little to no reports of significant Wii U shortages
November's Results - thanks to jvm and a variety of angles
November 2011 NPD threadMy estimates are below.
Xbox 360 = 1260K
PS3 = 760K
3DS = 540K
Wii U = 425K
Wii = 420K
PSV = 220K
As usual, these are my estimates only, unofficial, rounded to the nearest 5K.
December 2011 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive