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NPD Sales Results for September 2014 [Up1: Smash/HW/MK8, Destiny stats, 3DS HW]

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Biker19

Banned
It would have to do the majority of that in Europe because racing games are dead in NA and console gaming is dead in Japan.

good luck with that lol

I'm sure all the JRPG developers are going to run out and put their games on a system which is selling 5-10k units per week in Japan.

Even if console gaming is dead in Japan, Japanese 3rd party publishers aren't going to ignore the 11+ million install base that PS4 has outside of the Japan region.
 
Destiny did fantastically.

Considering comments about digital sales and the new systems, I imagine it could have tipped the 3M mark when combined with retail.

(There seems to have been a lot of negative sentiment on here regarding the title I'm guessing this won't sit well with a lot of people.)
 

Duxxy3

Member
I figure much better.

Shopping frenzy would have led to greater exposure.

Along with the last chapter of the hobbit. Indirect advertising.

edit: This may sound stupid, but there is a precedent.

Long long ago when GT3 came out, it was released around the same time as when the fast and furious exploded, and interest in import cars was huge. Not directly related, but it sure as hell boosted interest in driving.
 
Yea, im not saying its bad nor good, its in between. I put FH2 at about 550k next NPD so ~700k ltd in just over a month. Thats if it averages about 100k for october.

Yeah, no. This isn't going to happen. FH2 will be lucky to hit 500K LTD worldwide by the end of the year.

Do people really consider word of mouth a real thing?

We don't live in the 90s anymore...

You serious? Word of mouth can be a huge factor, especially when over the internet. It just doesn't mean a "did you hear?..." passing around town or something.

How do you think the Souls series got popular?
 
I think it's time you step into a media create thread. Be sure you pour yourself a drink first.
What exactly is the relevance of MediaCreate? The fact that there aren't console JRPGs on the charts? Why is that shocking? There's a lull in big releases right now as the Japanese market retools for the next gen.
I'm sure all the JRPG developers are going to run out and put their games on a system which is selling 5-10k units per week in Japan.
Why exactly do you think it's selling so low? Because there's nothing on it that the Japanese market wants. The devs will move over there once they finish up any remaining PS3 titles.
 

GamerJM

Banned
Do people really consider word of mouth a real thing?

We don't live in the 90s anymore...

It is a real thing, it just doesn't have effects that are as far reaching as they were in like, the days of the SNES or whatever. But I mean, a lot of this gen's biggest hits (Wii Sports, Minecraft, Call of Duty), clearly owe a lot to word of mouth.

Regardless I think BMO's Forza Horizon 2 prediction is ridiculous and doesn't really make much sense. It's the kind of game that's frontloaded in its first week and I don't see how it could possibly maintain week-per-week consistency.
 
Yea, im not saying its bad nor good, its in between. I put FH2 at about 550k next NPD so ~700k ltd in just over a month. Thats if it averages about 100k for october.

World wide maybe, NPD no way. Its currently ~460,000+ and has been growing 100k a week since launch so 700,000 ww LTD in a month is reasonable, but no way in North America alone.
 

blakep267

Member
Yeah, no. This isn't going to happen. FH2 will be lucky to hit 500K LTD worldwide by the end of the year.



You serious? Word of mouth can be a huge factor, especially when over the internet. It just doesn't mean a "did you hear?..." passing around town or something.

How do you think the Souls series got popular?

it sold 70k in 3 days of tracking in the UK. So your saying with black friday deals, which its most likely going to get, and unofficial bundles, FH2 can't sell 300k in 3 months?
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Mario Kart 8 LTD looks to be about 19% digital sales, guys.

That's pretty high for a Nintendo game, all things considered (other Nintendo games have like 12%).

Thank you Aqua.

Hopefully the high digital adoption rate also translates into their DLC sales next month.
 

Tubie

Member
Yeah, no. This isn't going to happen. FH2 will be lucky to hit 500K LTD worldwide by the end of the year.



You serious? Word of mouth can be a huge factor, especially when over the internet.

How do you think the Souls series got popular?

I don't consider things said over the internet "word of mouth".

If a friend tells me about a game on Facebook it's so easy to just copy and search if I even care enough to do so (I would not listen to anything 95% of the people on my facebook has to say about a game).
 
~550k. Is it too much you think?

Eh I guess you're not familiar with the sales curve for most AAA games [or games in general]? Sure as its niche and a racer it'll likely have better legs but not like that. Not at all like that

First week of sales will still likely contribute to at least 30% - 50% of its overall sales in the region. I think FH2 would be lucky to sell another 100k in October and severely doubt they'd sell near that much
 
World wide maybe, NPD no way. Its currently ~460,000+ and has been growing 100k a week since launch so 700,000 ww LTD in a month is reasonable, but no way in North America alone.

Wait, how do we know this? Leaderboards?

it sold 70k in 3 days of tracking in the UK. So your saying with black friday deals, which its most likely going to get, and unofficial bundles, FH2 can't sell 300k in 3 months?

Well, maybe it can. I keep forgetting it's on 360 too. Don't think it will make it above that on Xbox One alone though.
 
Wait, how do we know this? Leaderboards?
.

Yes, there is a ranked speed camera that to have to pass to play the game.

I have been looking at it every once in a while. Launch week ~49k, and its been jumping up by about 100k a week. Last week it was ~320,000 and as of yesterday it was at 460,000+. Now you have to take into account renting and used, but I don't think that # would be more than 60k.
 
I know. Read my post again. You keep saying "two consoles," but that doesn't change the fact that the odds that the game's sales would remain consistent week per week are extremely low given how frontloaded they probably are.

Ah okay in understand what you mean. Trying to be really optimistic towards the future of racers.

Eh I guess you're not familiar with the sales curve for most AAA games [or games in general]? Sure as its niche and a racer it'll likely have better legs but not like that. Not at all like that

First week of sales will still likely contribute to at least 30% - 50% of its overall sales in the region. I think FH2 would be lucky to sell another 100k in October and severely doubt they'd sell near that much

You are correct about me and the familiarity of sales curve :).
 
What exactly is the relevance of MediaCreate? The fact that there aren't console JRPGs on the charts? Why is that shocking? There's a lull in big releases right now as the Japanese market retools for the next gen.

Why exactly do you think it's selling so low? Because there's nothing on it that the Japanese market wants. The devs will move over there once they finish up any remaining PS3 titles.

Might even get to Vita level sales, 10-20k per week then
 

Ty4on

Member
When you predict Forza Horizon sales next month consider that MK8 sold ~350k (25k bundle) in its first two days and ~400k (42k bundle) in the next month which was 35 days.
 
Didn't realize that PS3 also had Destiny bundle.

Yep, check the OP of the predictions thread where I made the list of new software / hardware releases.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=906254






I love how Chartz just takes GAF leaks and parrots them over there without sourcing anyone on GAF.

Like when Creamsugar says "XYZ = 42K"

they're like:

"XYZ = 42K"

...almost immediately...like they're watching this thread constantly or something.

If they're so intent on taking stuff revealed and talked about on GAF...why don't they just discuss it here? Why make a thread using entirely GAF information when you could be on GAF doing it?

I just don't get it.
 
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