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February 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes March 10th

Rymuth

Member
NPD is today, right?

Aqua, if you're lurking and reading this: Thanks for everything. I was too angry to wish you all the best.

May you and your studio hit it big.
 

2thepoint

Junior Member
Aqua, you will be missed.

But.....on the other hand.....we could always use smoke signals to communicate?

I'm just leaving it on the table incase your reading...Wink once for yes, twice for no.

tqbk922xa0ze.gif
 

hepburn3d

Member
NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Feb-2015

1. 3DS - 283K
2. PS4 - 251K
3. XB1 - 202K
4. WIU - 68K

Damn, kind of wish my 3DS numbers were higher now, I'm about 80K lower. I didn't think it would get that much of a boost so early in the year. Still a chance I could be close but the GAF agg is usually closer than me.
 

Madness

Member
She should just make another alt account but never tell anyone it's Aqua. Gonna miss her info here. I wonder how high up she was at JP Morgan Chase as well.
 

Ty4on

Member
Damn, kind of wish my 3DS numbers were higher now, I'm about 80K lower. I didn't think it would get that much of a boost so early in the year. Still a chance I could be close but the GAF agg is usually closer than me.

Looks like it's a bit too late to tell you now, but we know the 3DS sold 180k in its first week. It's in the OP.
 

Gestault

Member
Possible confusing sentence/typo in the OP:

In 2013, PC USA physical software retail only accounted for 5% of overall physical USA software sales, clearly demonstrating how NPD numbers do not tell the whole story.

Is this supposed to read "...only accounted for 5% of overall USA software sales..."?

The sentence as written suggests that NPD tracking of physical purchases only measured 5% of physical purchases.
 

allan-bh

Member
Possible confusing sentence/typo in the OP:



Is this supposed to read "...only accounted for 5% of overall USA software sales..."?

The sentence as written suggests that NPD tracking of physical purchases only measured 5% of physical purchases.

5% of all physical software sales are PC games.
 

donny2112

Member
I expect Nintendo to trumpet 3DS sales, and they may feel generous enough to throw in Wii U hardware sales as a YOY increase (if there is one), as well. Someone will probably give PS4 sales (or at least tell us they're #1 console), and maybe Microsoft will give XB1 sales as a MOM gain. I'm hopeful!
 
I expect Nintendo to trumpet 3DS sales, and they may feel generous enough to throw in Wii U hardware sales as a YOY increase (if there is one), as well. Someone will probably give PS4 sales (or at least tell us they're #1 console), and maybe Microsoft will give XB1 sales as a MOM gain. I'm hopeful!

inb4

Sony: "PS4 is the #1 console again!"

Nintendo: "3DS was the best selling system this month!"

Microsoft: something something momentum
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
inb4

Sony: "PS4 is the #1 console again!"

Nintendo: "3DS was the best selling system this month!"

Microsoft: something something momentum

Microsoft "We sold something!"

Sony "We sold something more! *press X to dodge the bullet*"

Nintendo "3DS sold great, best selling console by...something! Wii U increased YOY as well. Peace and love, everyone. P.S. Please, buy Codename S.T.E.A.M."
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Markets are now closed. The NPD report is now travelling among the hands of many executives, analysts & media correspondents....
 

Gestault

Member
5% of all physical software sales are PC games.

The original sentence doesn't differentiate between game software and general-purpose software, and even taking the clarification into account, I don't follow the importance of non-game related sales to a conversation about game sales reporting.
 
not enough to stop the PS4 if we are to go on the working man's charts aka amazon, it gave it a fighting chance that's for sure


i wonder if to make up for uncharted's delay, a 100$ price cut is a must for them now
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
Microsoft "We sold something!"

Sony "We sold something more! *press X to dodge the bullet*"

Nintendo "3DS sold great, best selling console by...something! Wii U increased YOY as well. Peace and love, everyone. P.S. Please, buy Codename S.T.E.A.M."

Microsoft: Xbox One was the highest selling console in February*

*was sold one shelf higher than PS4's at Best Buy
 
$50 isn't enough.

Well, it's $50 *below* the competition, no? I mean, I'm not saying it's going to trump PS4, but if people are looking for a cheaper console that does "basically the same" (yes, I know about hardware differences), I guess XBO is the way to go for them?
For it to be #1? Nah.

For it to be closer to the PS4 than last year? Sure.
Oh yeah, that's what I meant by tip the scales, sorry.
 

Moneal

Member
Well, it's $50 *below* the competition, no? I mean, I'm not saying it's going to trump PS4, but if people are looking for a cheaper console that does "basically the same" (yes, I know about hardware differences), I guess XBO is the way to go for them?

there was a survey that came out a few weeks ago about why people bought the consoles they bought. xbox customers mostly bought it because of the xbox brand and features, while ps4 customers bought it because of resolution and game library. price value was not on the list for ps4 or xbox one.
 
Well, it's $50 *below* the competition, no? I mean, I'm not saying it's going to trump PS4, but if people are looking for a cheaper console that does "basically the same" (yes, I know about hardware differences), I guess XBO is the way to go for them?

Oh yeah, that's what I meant by tip the scales, sorry.

I would say to the uninformed (read: doesn't really know anything about the consoles, period) consumer, that $50 price difference would be significant. But momentum is an important driving force too. For $50, I imagine the difference might not overcome the general view of the PS4 being the popular console. The price difference alone isn't a perception changer.
 

system11

Member
Just saw Aquamarine's post. Sad times. I find sales figures quite interesting, you'd think companies would want people to be as engaged as possible.
 

Jomjom

Banned
there was a survey that came out a few weeks ago about why people bought the consoles they bought. xbox customers mostly bought it because of the xbox brand and features, while ps4 customers bought it because of resolution and game library. price value was not on the list for ps4 or xbox one.

Yeah despite many people not willing to admit it i think game library is the major reason. There's a narrative that Sony doesn't have big quality exclusive games going, but that's all subjective. What's not subjective is that the game library on the PS4 absolutely dwarfs those of the Wii U and Xbone.
 

Gestault

Member
Yeah despite many people not willing to admit it i think game library is the major reason. There's a narrative that Sony doesn't have big quality exclusive games going, but that's all subjective. What's not subjective is that the game library on the PS4 absolutely dwarfs those of the Wii U and Xbone.

What are the numbers behind the PS4 library dwarfing Wii U/XB1?
 

Moneal

Member
Yeah despite many people not willing to admit it i think game library is the major reason. There's a narrative that Sony doesn't have big quality exclusive games going, but that's all subjective. What's not subjective is that the game library on the PS4 absolutely dwarfs those of the Wii U and Xbone.

yea i was rereading that article before I posted it and they said the libraries were basically the same and I literally laughed out loud when I read it.
 

joecanada

Member
According to Listwar.com, the PS4 has released 247 digital and retail games, not counting f2p. The Xbox One has released 167 with the same criteria.

Ps4 has a ton of games . The only way to dispute this is to disqualify all types of games ... all types. and yet that's exactly what we see in every thread even mentioning ps4.

including this thread in about 2 hours - almost guaranteed.
 
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