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NPD January 2013 Sales Results [Up7: Wii U 57K (CNET), Vita ~35K, PS3 201K]

SoulPlaya

more money than God
Their usual last resort? All of Nintendo's consoles apart from Wii were traditional consoles. I think they made a mistake of trying yet another 'gimmick' with Wii U though. They should have built upon Wii, with motion controls. If 100 million bought the first, I'm sure a Wii 2 could have done at least half. And then it would have been a smash hit.
Since GCN, they've had a constant streak of using second screens in handheld and console market. I've said this in another thread, but Nintendo's best move would have been to release a Wii 2 with more advanced motion controls, same graphics as Wii U, and by avoiding an expensive tablet controller, you could charge $250 for the console.
 

Davey Cakes

Member
I don't think the ps4 or 720 will sell as well as everyone thinks.
I think they will sell better than the Wii U's starting numbers.

That said, I think people put too much into these systems "stealing the Wii U's thunder." If anything they'll be in their own market while Nintendo creates a bubble for the Wii U.

I'm thinking that a price cut, plus other incentives, plus a marketing turnaround and more in-demand software could make the Wii U quite appealing even among the hype of the other consoles.

In any case, it's not cut and dry. I do think Nintendo will improve the Wii U situation and I do think Orbis/Durango will be plenty successful. But that's all speculation.

Seeing how much people have been overreacting and flipping out over recent Orbis/Durango news (no used games, subscription service, no backward compatibility, always online, etc.), I could predict that these consoles will sell badly but just because GAF responds one way doesn't mean the entire market necessarily will. It'll be interesting to see how things play out.
 

x3sphere

Member
The Wii HD, in the manner you're conceptualizing it, would have been a logistical disaster. I know people point to Dolphin and say: "look how wonderful this is, it runs my Wii games in HD!" But Dolphin has been constantly revised, games have been patched (and even then many are buggy) but most importantly the horsepower required to perform such feats is far beyond the processing capabilities of the Wii U.

That's why rationally, the Wii U is only the thing that the Wii HD could have ever been. A HD ready Wii that achieves parity with the competition.

Nintendo could certainly code a HD Wii emulator that runs significantly better than Dolphin. But you're right, getting things to run smooth on Wii U level hardware might be difficult still.

That's the thing though, Nintendo specifically made some hardware choices inside the Wii U for easier backwards compatibility. I think it would've been a better idea for them to go with a different architecture - possibly same as the PS4/next Xbox is using, and went the full emulation route. The CPU is what's hurting them - I think the GPU is capable enough to render Wii games in 720p.
 

Foffy

Banned
Across the board, I feel, dedicated handhelds are slowly going to fade into irrelevance, as users replace such 'added baggage' in their pockets and purses with an all-in-one device like a Phone that also plays games, or an iPad or other tablet.

I don't think Nintendo or Sony really have a way to overcome this because most people don't like games enough to buy a handheld system dedicated to it, versus the casualness of just using games on a device they may already own. And it's only going to get worse from here.

Does that necessarily mean that they will go the way of the dodo? I'm not sure. I think there could be some core audience who still doesn't mind them. The issue is that much of that type of audience is one Nintendo hasn't had as their focus in well over a decade. I don't think everyone feels the need to have an all-in-one phone gizamadooder for everything. Some do, sure, and that happens to be the casual audience Nintendo has attempted to cater to for the last few years. I don't see them vanishing, but never ever hitting the level of DS. At best, maybe between PSP and GBA levels of success. And that's not too bad, as long as the investment isn't a costly one for companies. It surely is an interesting thing to wonder about, though. Will they create a hybrid to compete with a shrinking console and portable market?
 
We know very little about Nintendo's Wii U 2nd half 2013 schedule. Way too early to be thinking he's gonna be gone by years end. I feel like this is 3DS all over again with the early doom mongering

If it is the 3DS all over again, that doesn't bode well for Iwata. If they have to follow the same "major pricedrop/free ambassador games/rush completion of big titles" playbook of the 3DS, I don't think that reflects very well on him.
 

Tobor

Member
We know very little about Nintendo's Wii U 2nd half 2013 schedule. Way too early to be thinking he's gonna be gone by years end. I feel like this is 3DS all over again with the early doom mongering

It's funny that people keep bringing up the 3DS. Let's see, do I remember the 3DS launch? When Iwata had to cut his salary and cancel his bonus and promised the shareholders that he wouldn't screw up the next hardware launch? That 3DS launch?
 

ChaosXVI

Member
This is pretty rough news for Nintendo...but I still think Iwata will keep his job. The 3DS is still kicking ass and with the killer launch line-up for it this year, this should be its best year yet.

NSMBU should be selling Wii U's left and right, but its not. And if that won't, Mario Kart isn't likely to turn many heads either. Nintendo absolutely needs to alter their marketing strategy, it needs to be aggressive, and really push that its a new fucking console.

It seems so simple...
 
Yamauchi's son-in-law didn't want to lead the company.

I love Iwata's mindset as the CEO. He's honest, self-deprecating, and is fine wearing a Luigi hat in front of an internet audience. I don't know if the power of Wii U (and it's the power of Wii U that has truncated its game supply; too low for third-parties and too high for quick turnaround first party games) was his call, but it was a mistake. The controller is good, but somehow it is just way too much of the cost of the console. Higher power, less cost. Those two don't go together. We'll see if it turns around, but it doesn't look good from the third-party perspective. Even if the market doesn't immediately take to PS4/720, I have a hard time believing they'll sell 11K / week in their first January.

We'll have better perspective on this in two years, but it's hard to see this working out to a good success for Nintendo long-term. Still do not want a console/handheld hybrid from them, though, and I still do not think it would be more profitable for Nintendo in the long run to go that route.
IF Wii was a bit modern, IF they had expanded drastically employing those who can work with new technology, then maybe it was better to come up with a more powerful hardware.

It is true that their 1st party teams couldn't catch up to be ready at launch, but at least they will be ready for the second year. But what do you think were chances of Nintendo getting 3rd party support even if its hardware was more powerful? Was that risk worth putting their 1st party teams even in more trouble?

I think they actually shouldn't have bothered even this much with 3rd parties, and should have pushed their games to clear up the slate. Who is gonna pay $350 to play a version of AC3 with maps on the Gamepad when he can get a 360 for ~$200?

Unless something drastic happens in the next few months I don't expect Iwata to be gone
That is what I expected to read; you really think there's any chance that he is let gone after how well 3DS is performing?

This is pretty rough news for Nintendo...but I still think Iwata will keep his job. The 3DS is still kicking ass and with the killer launch line-up for it this year, this should be its best year yet.

NSMBU should be selling Wii U's left and right, but its not. And if that won't, Mario Kart isn't likely to turn many heads either. Nintendo absolutely needs to alter their marketing strategy, it needs to be aggressive, and really push that its a new fucking console.

It seems so simple...
Yeah, they overestimated Mario; even in Japan Mario didn't do much for them, neither NSMB nor MK; however, it didn't mean that it wasn't possible to sell multimillioners on 3DS like t hey did on DS, they just needed the right game, with turned out to be Animal Crossing.

They need the right game and marketing for Wii U too.
 

Cheebo

Banned
This is pretty rough news for Nintendo...but I still think Iwata will keep his job. The 3DS is still kicking ass and with the killer launch line-up for it this year, this should be its best year yet.

NSMBU should be selling Wii U's left and right, but its not. And if that won't, Mario Kart isn't likely to turn many heads either. Nintendo absolutely needs to alter their marketing strategy, it needs to be aggressive, and really push that its a new fucking console.

It seems so simple...

3DS is not kicking ass. Unless you live in Japan. It has missed every single sales target Nintendo has set. Japan does not make up for the sales in Europe and America.
 

Coolwhip

Banned
Since GCN, they've had a constant streak of using second screens in handheld and console market. I've said this in another thread, but Nintendo's best move would have been to release a Wii 2 with more advanced motion controls, same graphics as Wii U, and by avoiding an expensive tablet controller, you could charge $250 for the console.

They could probably even go as low as $199 without the Gamepad. But yes, if I were in charge of Nintendo that would have been my strategy for sure.
 

Clear

CliffyB's Cock Holster
I actually think Vita's in a better position than Wii-U. Yeah, sales are low but at least there aren't two more powerful and better-supported by third-party competitors launching within the next 12 months!

The sad truth about Vita is that its not going to be replaced by something better. Which is why I've been so irritated by some of the triumphalism about its failure... if/when it gets discontinued who else is going to try and make a better handheld gaming device?

But, Nintendo fans shouldn't feel too down.

Wii-U might not be selling well... but objectively it WONT be discontinued, at least not until Nintendo have thrown all their biggest franchises at it. Which given their production rate will take several years (the length of an old console gen) to do.

Don't believe the hysteria. How many years were pundits like this Kevin Dent jackass prating about how dead PS3 was, only to have it basically tied with 360 globally as the generation ends. NPD's are not necessarily representative of a platforms fortunes world-wide, in fact they can actually be quite the contrary.
 

jeremy1456

Junior Member
It's funny that people keep bringing up the 3DS. Let's see, do I remember the 3DS launch? When Iwata had to cut his salary and cancel his bonus and promised the shareholders that he wouldn't screw up the next hardware launch? That 3DS launch?

You're forgetting the part about how Nintendo had big guns coming and everyone discounted them saying that it would never come back, how it was doomed against the Vita, etc.

We all know how that turned out. I just feel bad they discontinued the system after a few months of sales figures. What a shame, it had a lot of potential.
 

royalan

Member
If it is the 3DS all over again, that doesn't bode well for Iwata. If they have to follow the same "major pricedrop/free ambassador games/rush completion of big titles" playbook of the 3DS, I don't think that reflects very well on him.

Exactly. People aren't realizing it but the shit with 3DS' launch was probably strike two for him.
 
Soo if we take the Japanese sales and NA sales, then the Wii U sold around 110,000+ this January when you combine their largest markets. That is pathetic. Nintendo is gonna need at least a $75 price cut to their deluxe model by E3 at the latest. They are gonna have to drop HUGE bombs as well. Hopefully the relatively successful 3DS, even though it doesn't meet projections, will keep Nintendo profitable over the long run.

Nintendo is gonna have to pull an Xbox and make the Wii U a 4 year console. They can't afford to keep it alive for 7.
 
Not doomed yet. Will wait for next christmas.

In any case Panic Nintendo (price drop, gamesss)
Uber Panic nintendo (they can drop the gamepad), throw a wii remote and wii u pro controller. Boom! $199

There are lots of things still they can do until uber Panic Nintendo, so not yet panicking although I have to confess I am worried.

Waiting for my Black Ops 2 copy, looking forward to playing in the shitter.
 
Iwata isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

The last thing investors want in a period of volatility and unpredictability is to introduce even MORE unpredictability in there. The 3DS is doing quite well after a shaky start, and they will give Iwata time to try and pull the same trick twice with Wii U.
 

yon61

Member
This is pretty rough news for Nintendo...but I still think Iwata will keep his job. The 3DS is still kicking ass and with the killer launch line-up for it this year, this should be its best year yet.

NSMBU should be selling Wii U's left and right, but its not. And if that won't, Mario Kart isn't likely to turn many heads either. Nintendo absolutely needs to alter their marketing strategy, it needs to be aggressive, and really push that its a new fucking console.

It seems so simple...

Far from it, outside of Japan the 3DS has been struggling. That said, things should get better for it.
 

AniHawk

Member
i remember a thread on neogaf from about 10 years ago wondering if nintendo was creatively bankrupt. i didn't agree with it at the time, and i still don't think they were. but they are now.

there was a spark in the creation of the wii and the ds. touch handhelds hadn't ever really been done before- not for gaming, and not on such a grand scale. they threw in some other things too, but ran on the touch screen as the main selling point. and it worked. it worked because it sparked the imagination of people within nintendo. people who thought, why not a pet simulator? why not a collection of small brain exercises? these were demonstrations that were easy to understand, and probably weren't meant to become the 20m+ selling franchises they grew into. but the ideas came from a good place. they came from experimentation and imagination.

the same happened with the wii. yeah, motion control gaming had existed before this console, but no one ever gave it a serious shot on a grand scale. again, there was a spark of excitement and imagination. one rectangular device could mean so many different things: a sword, a bat, a tennis racket, a flashlight, a steering wheel, etc. it's a simple and appealing idea. to improve matters, it was seen as different from video games in the past. similar to how brain age was 'good for you', wii sports was also seen as good for you in that it got you up and moving around in your leisure time.

with the 3ds, they didn't have a good idea or a spark. they had messed around with 3d gaming a long time, but they never had the software to back it up. to this day, i'm left wondering why it was necessary, and the only answer i can come up with is that they were trying to bank on the 3d boom going on at the time. even during panic mode, they made no effort to showcase games that were not only obviously better with 3d, but were essentially impossible to replicate without it. their answer to its poor sales was to do what they did during the gamecube: lower the price, rush out some games, and rely on the tried and true above all else. to this day, there still isn't a breakout hit like nintendogs or brain age, and that rests entirely on the shoulders of the software manufacturers.

and finally there's the wii u. i think there's more you can do to promote the wii u than you could have with the 3ds. it's the same position though- nintendo took something that was popular, and slapped it on one of their systems hoping they could gain popularity through some sort of osmosis. again, no thought to actual software, or any spark of imagination. that's the deep, underlying problem with the console. nintendo doesn't really know what they have. this is outlined by their upcoming lineup and plan to save it through software like mario kart, mario, smash bros, and the same zelda game that failed to make the gamecube relevant. nowhere is there something groundbreaking or terribly unique.

i give them a year. that's a year to make this not an utter disaster, and bring it closer to the 3ds's level of failure. sony did it with ps3, and nintendo did it with the ds. the problem is parents won't buy a console for their kids to play mario. they'll buy a handheld for that. so nintendo will need to start appealing very strongly to everyone like they did the wii, and they'll have to do so when there's actually something worth advertising.

it's strange- the e3 2011 demo was actually a bunch of pretty easily-communicated ideas. and they botched that messaging in every market. show people switching from the game to their tablet so someone else can watch tv. that's one commercial. show someone using tvii with netflix, hulu, etc. that's another commercial. show a family playing games together. that's another commercial. the wii u launch commercials were like a weird mix of the kinect and gamecube launch commercials. loud and weird and stupid.

we're already seeing new bundles coming up. zombi u in the us, and monster hunter 3 in europe. those won't do anything at all, but we're starting to see nintendo get aggressive with the machine. for the short-term, we'll probably see even more bundles crop up. i think it's too late, and there will need to be a gigantic shift somewhere for people to take note, or some outstanding piece of software that no one saw coming and everyone has to have (wii fit u won't be that thing).
 
I actually think Vita's in a better position than Wii-U. Yeah, sales are low but at least there aren't two more powerful and better-supported by third-party competitors launching within the next 12 months!

The sad truth about Vita is that its not going to be replaced by something better. Which is why I've been so irritated by some of the triumphalism about its failure... if/when it gets discontinued who else is going to try and make a better handheld gaming device?

But, Nintendo fans shouldn't feel too down.

Wii-U might not be selling well... but objectively it WONT be discontinued, at least not until Nintendo have thrown all their biggest franchises at it. Which given their production rate will take several years (the length of an old console gen) to do.

Don't believe the hysteria. How many years were pundits like this Kevin Dent jackass prating about how dead PS3 was, only to have it basically tied with 360 globally as the generation ends. NPD's are not necessarily representative of a platforms fortunes world-wide, in fact they can actually be quite the contrary.

Just a question.

If you were a marketing director in charge of taking your marketing budget and re-investing into one of these consoles, which would you choose?
 

MrDaravon

Member
That is what I expected to read; you really think there's any chance that he is let gone after how well 3DS is performing?

Please see this:

If it is the 3DS all over again, that doesn't bode well for Iwata. If they have to follow the same "major pricedrop/free ambassador games/rush completion of big titles" playbook of the 3DS, I don't think that reflects very well on him.

and this:

It's funny that people keep bringing up the 3DS. Let's see, do I remember the 3DS launch? When Iwata had to cut his salary and cancel his bonus and promised the shareholders that he wouldn't screw up the next hardware launch? That 3DS launch?

and this:

3DS is not kicking ass. Unless you live in Japan. It has missed every single sales target Nintendo has set. Japan does not make up for the sales in Europe and America.

Also yeah, I am also seeing the sub-200k number on DmC. Given that they already revised down to a million shipped (I think?) that's...bad. Assuming if true at least.
 
Nintendo's best move would've been to expand their Western presence, revitalize their overseas affiliates and create constructive relationships with Western developers as Iwata has been doing in Japan, so that in return Iwata can actually not look like a complete idiot when he places his trust in them to fill in the Wii U schedule.

The biggest problem with Nintendo is that it's entirely based in Japan in a world that's completely connected everywhere. I doubt that this is simply an Iwata thing as it is a problem with Nintendo in general.
 
Far from it, outside of Japan the 3DS has been struggling. That said, things should get better for it.

If it can't sell well in the US this year with Donkey Kong, 3 Mario franchise games in 3 genres, Animal Crossing, Fire Emblem and POKEMON, then nothing can be done.
 

donny2112

Member
Nintendo made a really hard decision with the 3DS to drop the cost by 1/3 just 5 months after launch. I think it's worth considering another hard choice and change the name of the console to Wii 2 just three months after launch.
 
Either Nintendo gets new management and starts making competent consoles with modern features, or they get out of home consoles. No two ways about it.

I also find it amusing that Nintendo is now the one making loss leading consoles with bloated, unnecessary features while Sony and MS either sell for profit (ps3/360) or break even (vita). Pretty interesting role reversal.
 

lenovox1

Member
Nintendo's best move would've been to expand their Western presence, revitalize their overseas affiliates and create constructive relationships with Western developers as Iwata has been doing in Japan, so that in return Iwata can actually not look like a complete idiot when he places his trust in them to fill in the Wii U schedule.

The biggest problem with Nintendo is that it's entirely based in Japan in a world that's completely connected everywhere. I doubt that this is simply an Iwata thing as it is a problem with Nintendo in general.

Thank you for that truth.
 

Kusagari

Member
You're forgetting the part about how Nintendo had big guns coming and everyone discounted them saying that it would never come back, how it was doomed against the Vita, etc.

We all know how that turned out. I just feel bad they discontinued the system after a few months of sales figures. What a shame, it had a lot of potential.

Nintendo's IPs have already failed to boost a console before. Their IP's aren't as effective when they aren't facing a completely outmatched and dead on arrival system like the Vita. The 720 and PS4 aren't going to be a Vita and 3rd parties aren't going to magically start supporting the Wii U.

There is no bright future awaiting this thing.
 
Nintendo's best move would've been to expand their Western presence, revitalize their overseas affiliates and create constructive relationships with Western developers as Iwata has been doing in Japan, so that in return Iwata can actually not look like a complete idiot when he places his trust in them to fill in the Wii U schedule.

The biggest problem with Nintendo is that it's entirely based in Japan in a world that's completely connected everywhere. I doubt that this is simply an Iwata thing as it is a problem with Nintendo in general.

Couldn't agree more. I think Nintendo's apparent failure to even get Japanese third parties fully on board stems to a large extent from an inability to grasp just how intertwined Japanese console development and Western markets have become.
 

Derrick01

Banned
Vita can still be saved :( Bring the bomb on the 20th Sony!

That's a PS4 event man. Gotta learn to accept that now.

If they're really smart at the start of the show they'll announce they're going to have a separate Vita only show in a week or two. But don't waste PS4's time on Vita stuff.
 

Pein

Banned
is retro nintendo's only western developer?

Iwata should have been building up studio's these past years just for wii u, relying on japanese developed games only seems like such a misstep for the company.
 

UberTag

Member
The Vita appeals to nobody but the most hardcore gamers - which is why it's loved by GAF and myself as well.

I have no idea what Sony was thinking with the thing. They probably don't know either.
They better figure out why catering to the hardcore is a problem before they release the PS4 with no significant revenue streams outside of gaming or they're going to run into similar problems.
 
I really wish people would stop pointing to the 3DS as the definitive reason Nintendo can turn everyhthing around with Wii U. The cycle has just repeated from last year's version of this with the PS3 and Vita. There are so many things that Nintendo could do with the 3DS that they can with the Wii U and many things the 3DS had going for it (lack of real competition for one) than the Wii U doesn't. If I anything the reason I want Iwata out of the CEO position is the fact that he couldn't see any of the problems with the Wii U launch and actually thought they weren't pulling any of the same 3DS launch mistakes. Even the 3DS in the market where handhelds are on the decline didn't sell this bad.

Edit: DmC is a fucking failure.
 
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