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[plank]

I expect a press release from Nintendo with 3DS and Pokemon sales numbers.

No Wii U number for obvious reasons.

Nintendo would have said Something about the WiiU already.

 

[jvm]

“The Xbox 360 moved back into the lead for consoles hardware sales this October after PS3 led sales in September 2013.”

Results coming in.

 

[GulAtiCa]

Guess I'm not surprised, even if I originally put down PS3 doing better.

 

[prag16]

Nintendo would have said Something about the WiiU already.

Not expecting any miracles. November is where it gets REALLY interesting.

 

[jvm]

So I'm guessing I'm off by ~140-150K. Yuck.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=89912891&postcount=530

 

[DaBoss]

So...

3DS: 452K
Xbox 360: 166K
PS3: ~110k
WiiU: ~55k
Wii: ~35k
PSV: ~25k

Going by the above...

[360] 151K
[3DS] 400K
[PS3] 151K
[PSV] 38K
[WIU] 72K

...means I am off by ~138K.

 

[Lexxism]

[360] 130k
[3DS] 410k
[PS3] 140k
[PSV] 35k
[WIU] 80k

3DS - 42k
360 - 36k
PS3 - 30k
WiU - 25k
PSV - 10k

= 143k

LOL

 

[Jonsoncao]

[360] 160K
[3DS] 360K
[PS3] 130K
[PSV] 35K
[WIU] 58K

[360] -6k
[3DS] -92k
[PS3] -20k
[PSV] +10k
[WIU] +3k

Total abs error = 131k

Got 360 and PS3 order correct.

 

[Deleted member 125677]

3DS: 452K
Xbox 360: 166K
PS3: ~110k
WiiU: ~55k
Wii: ~35k
PSV: ~25k

[360] 140K
[3DS] 370K
[PS3] 120k
[PSV] 30k
[WIU] 90k

Off by 168k

Wii U killed me, and was too low on Pokemon/3DS

 

[donny2112]

Going with the below from the NPD thread. Assuming the ranges given are good, so if something is drastically wrong, let me know.

3DS - 452K
360 - 166K
PS3 - 120K
WIU - 50K
PSV - 25K (< 30K, and it's only used for units, so not too critical to get it as exact)

 

[DaBoss]

I'm going to assume you typo'd on the 3DS number since the first two numbers are one off. It should be 452K.

EDIT: OK, thankfully the person below quoted the post, so I'm not going crazy.

 

[Elios83]

Going with the below from the NPD thread. Assuming the ranges given are good, so if something is drastically wrong, let me know.

3DS - 342K
360 - 166K
PS3 - 120K
WIU - 50K
PSV - 25K (< 30K, and it's only used for units, so not too critical to get it as exact)

3DS should be 452k, Wii U closer to 55k, PS3 119k, the rest seems right.

Edit: Obvious typo

 

[donny2112]

NeoGAF Prediction Results - October 2013

Units

1. Road - 74,000
2. confuziz - 78,000
3. Tagg9 - 96,000
4. doicare - 108,000
5. Gianni Merryman - 113,000
5. MasterSheen - 113,000
7. allan-bh - 118,000
7. kswiston - 118,000
9. FZZpure - 120,000
10. Megadragon15 - 123,000
11. astrogamer - 124,000
12. Jonsoncao - 126,000
13. prag16 - 128,000
14. Memino - 129,000
15. DaBoss - 133,000
15. Drago - 133,000
17. noobie - 136,000
18. bakman21 - 137,000
19. Lexxus - 138,000
19. theprodigy - 138,000
21. GAF_Agg - 139,500
22. Bruno MB - 140,000
23. baekshi - 141,000
24. FamousLastX - 142,000
25. skedar897 - 143,000
26. vinnygambini - 144,000
27. catmincer - 145,000
27. metalslimer - 145,000
29. DrWong - 148,000
29. ZSaberLink - 148,000
31. Goldmund - 151,000
31. andy_lhc - 151,000
33. Roboleon - 153,000
33. donny2112 - 153,000
33. jvm - 153,000
36. michaelius - 155,000
37. Elios83 - 163,000
37. archnemesis - 163,000
39. BlackJace - 171,000
39. shinra-bansho - 171,000
41. Madao - 173,000
42. Aquamarine - 175,000
43. SicSemperTyrannis - 178,000
44. Zero-Crescent - 187,000
45. Prevolition - 188,000
45. RamzaIsCool - 188,000
47. pieatorium - 213,000
48. pitseleh - 214,000
49. GulAtiCa - 219,000
50. Brakara - 283,000
51. Pachter - 313,000


Points

     October 2013                    Overall 2013 Top (8/10)
01.  confuziz               115.21   doicare                788.29
02.  Road                   111.71   donny2112              780.13
03.  doicare                103.28   Road                   765.80
04.  allan-bh               100.25   confuziz               757.09
05.  MasterSheen             98.30   allan-bh               742.96
06.  Jonsoncao               97.92   Goldmund               742.11
07.  FZZpure                 96.23   MasterSheen            740.19
08.  jvm                     94.70   archnemesis            737.62
09.  donny2112               93.74   DaBoss                 737.29
10.  Goldmund                93.45   Bruno MB               734.72
11.  archnemesis             93.05   jvm                    730.00
12.  ZSaberLink              91.95   Elios83                729.30
13.  Elios83                 91.75   Jonsoncao              722.00
14.  michaelius              89.28   Megadragon15           715.56
15.  Bruno MB                88.90   kswiston               714.88
16.  Gianni Merryman         87.70   shinra-bansho          700.95
17.  pitseleh                86.35   ItWasMeantToBe19       694.77
18.  Tagg9                   85.29   pieatorium             688.19
19.  catmincer               84.58   Pachter                687.63
20.  theprodigy              82.93   DrWong                 686.96
21.  Roboleon                81.55   Zero-Crescent          686.28
22.  noobie                  81.47   skedar897              685.84
23.  Drago                   79.92   Aquamarine             685.58
24.  vinnygambini            79.73   idlewild_              684.96
25.  kswiston                78.98   prag16                 684.60
26.  RamzaIsCool             78.64   andy_lhc               680.51
27.  DaBoss                  77.41   michaelius             676.88
28.  metalslimer             76.33   BlackJace              674.90
29.  SicSemperTyrannis       74.98   Gianni Merryman        672.37
30.  shinra-bansho           73.79   Brakara                670.21
31.  Megadragon15            73.19   Hiro_Kunimi_80         669.93
32.  Lexxus                  73.09   noobie                 664.72
33.  Memino                  73.08   pitseleh               664.58
34.  andy_lhc                71.34   metalslimer            660.43
35.  FamousLastX             71.23   CorporateClown         657.91
36.  pieatorium              70.91   Colonel Mustard        649.62
37.  astrogamer              70.76   GulAtiCa               573.58
38.  baekshi                 69.42   Drago                  542.94
39.  prag16                  68.23   Hammer24               503.57
40.  Aquamarine              67.87   Canis lupus            478.63
41.  skedar897               66.46   Lexxus                 469.45
42.  bakman21                65.19   perfectchaos007        453.74
43.  Madao                   64.87   Madao                  436.30
44.  BlackJace               64.60   Roboleon               345.53
45.  Pachter                 64.38   FZZpure                337.37
46.  Zero-Crescent           63.38   Jesse2040              331.02
47.  Brakara                 62.80   NateDrake              327.64
48.  DrWong                  62.76   bakman21               309.89
49.  Prevolition             61.04   dreamghost             298.61
50.  GulAtiCa                58.48   Jamix012               290.46

Congratulations, Road for Units and confuziz for points!

 

[donny2112]

3DS should be 452k, Wii U closer to 55k, PS3 119k, the rest seems right.

3DS - Yeah did a double-take on that when I looked at the post again and fixed it quickly.

Wii U -

I think we should have a bit more clarification:

34K < Wii < 35K
50K < Wii U < 51K

People keep saying 55K for some reason.

She's nice.

PS3 - Went with the round 120K instead of trying to split hairs on the range.

 

[Elios83]

3DS - Yeah did a double-take on that when I looked at the post again and fixed it quickly.

Wii U -

She's nice.

PS3 - Went with the round 120K instead of trying to split hairs on the range.

Oh I missed that post by Aquamarine on Wii U
Thanks for the quick results this month! If I'm lucky I could finish the year in the top ten!!

 

[Bruno MB]

22. Bruno MB - 140,000
15. Bruno MB 88.90

Another mediocre month for me, 3DS did better than I expected (and PS3 worse). At least I'm still in the overall top 10.

Well done Road and confuziz!

And of course, thank you donny2121 for your time

 

[BlackJace]

I suuuucked. Congrats to the winners.

lol, looks like you I were tied, Shinra.

 

[Aquamarine]

3DS - Yeah did a double-take on that when I looked at the post again and fixed it quickly.

Wii U -

She's nice.

PS3 - Went with the round 120K instead of trying to split hairs on the range.

As you should. ;-)



Regarding predictions...I'm going with a new methodology next month in an attempt to approve accuracy.

 

[kswiston]

Man I did pretty well on the unit list, but pegging PS3 over 360, and going way too high on the PS3/Wii U percentage wise really messed up my points tally for the month.

 

[shinra-bansho]

I suuuucked. Congrats to the winners.

lol, looks like you I were tied, Shinra.

Two terrible months in a row, overcompensated for my pessimism last month.

3DS was also much too conservative.

Oh, well, congrats Road and confuziz. At least I'm still ahead of Pachter for the year.

 

[Brakara]

50. Brakara - 283,000
51. Pachter - 313,000

 

[Road]

Thanks, donny2112. 3DS was the defining factor for most people.

Next couple months are going to be crazeh.

As a side note, year ain't even over yet, but I was just looking at the 2013 entire year predictions, especially PS4 and Wii U... LOL.

 

[DrWong]

Nnng...What a bad month for me in term of points. Quantity is not too bad but PS360 order killed me. Congrat' to the winners.

 

[Bruno MB]

As a side note, year ain't even over yet, but I was just looking at the 2013 entire year predictions, especially PS4 and Wii U... LOL.

I wish I wouldn't have clicked on that link

 

[donny2112]

As a side note, year ain't even over yet, but I was just looking at the 2013 entire year predictions, especially PS4 and Wii U... LOL.

Which is why if anyone actually got that all right so far in advance and with the massive uncertainty involved, it's a big, big deal.

Spoiler

cvxfreak won that two years in a row.

 

[DaBoss]

Congrats to the winners!

I keep dropping.

2nd to 3rd to 9th gotta stay in that top 10.

As a side note, year ain't even over yet, but I was just looking at the 2013 entire year predictions, especially PS4 and Wii U... LOL.

I don't think I made a prediction in that thread.

Only things I may have gotten right if I did would be the PS3, 360, and maybe the Vita.

Everything else is too crazy to predict lol.

 

[confuziz]

Thanks guys, first time I've won with points iirc =D

 

[allan-bh]

Not a bad month for me. If I had believed more in the 3DS would have won

 

[Goldmund]

I take my hat off to you, confuziz, Road (and doicare), unfortunately it's only for better access, as I'm balancing a knife on my head with which I'll stab you all in the back next month!

 

[NavNucST3]

Which is why if anyone actually got that all right so far in advance and with the massive uncertainty involved, it's a big, big deal.

Spoiler

cvxfreak won that two years in a row.

donny2112, what is the GAF aggregate for the 2013 year-end prediction?

 

[prag16]

What the... I didn't realize until just now that I actually won both points/units in May.

Slipped in the yearly total pts since though. Damn me for missing a couple months.

 

[GulAtiCa]

Another horrible month for me. I'm really bad at predicting these sales numbers. Though that might just make me qualified as an analyst!