The Albatross
Member
To play devils advocate to this.... It would show up more in rainy games. That being said...
It seems that the balls have VERY little if no effect at all with Tom. Hell this was evident in the Colts game where they blew em out even harder with regular balls.
But (and I haven't looked into this myself) there have been people talking about how the Pats have an incredibly low fumble rate. Would be interested to test fumbles home and away.
Then again, we always fuckin benched Ridley when he fumbled.
I think regarding rain, those numbers would likely balance out over 8 years... In that you're likely to play approximately as many rainy games on the road as you are at home. Approximately, especially because all other teams in the AFC E are outdoor teams and there are more outdoor teams in the AFC than NFC (2 in door teams in AFC, 6 in NFC). This would possibly be different for a team like Carolina where their home stadium is outdoor, yet 2 of their division opponents on the road are in domes, but of course, even over 8 years, those numbers would approximately balance out as well. Obviously there are some weather differences, like, Seattle and Foxborough MA get more inclement weather than, say, Miami or or Tampa Bay, but I'd wager it probably evens out over all of those games.
Aye re: Fumbles. There have been a number of articles that went into the fumble story back when the first rumblings came out and suggested that deflated footballs made no impact on fumble rate. I don't have time to do the research but I'd wonder how NE's fumble rate varies on the road vs. home.
I think there are more statistically relevant decisions the Patriots have made that would effect fumble rates... Mostly in their style of offense (e.g., a pass-first offense that uses the run as a change of pace), Belichick outright dropping players who have any fumble issues (Ridley, a Rookie of the Year candidate with over 1,000 yards, effectively benched and released for the remainder of his Patriots career due to .. 4 fumbles), and Belichick's noteworthy fumble prevention practice which coaches, players, and media have remarked about over the years. Also, averaged over the last 3 years, the Patriots are tied for 9-16th in fumble rate per game (at 1.0 fumble per game, tied with 7 teams, behind 9 teams), not exactly some godly numbers.