DCharlie
And even i am moderately surprised
"We know what PS3 will roughly be like. We have the list of key components. We know they will be market leader, have most games, support etc."
this still doesn't tell you anything about their pricing policy for peripherals, online services, etc etc.
PS3 hardware cost also depends on what they decide to bundle stuff together.
What if, for instance, they go the Xbox route and say "Well, bluray functionality needs a remote - we are charging $50 for that etc etc..." ?
no one knows anything about this and after the "oh, look! PSP is only 19800!" followed by the non-existance of the 19800 pack after a while, they _might_ do something similar.
Point being , no one knows.
On the other hand, i don't think the price will be an issue, i think the problem will be getting a machine in the first year (deliberately low numbers and high demand, but low numbers being the issue)