Kurosaki Ichigo
Member
Uhm...I sure was distracted when I read about Taiko 500k shipment...it wasn't for the second title but the first one total shipments. Sorry :<
jgwhiteus said:Sega's "Dreamcats" isn't really pulling Nintendogs numbers...though I think if it's released worldwide it'll be one of those slow burners that quietly racks up sales (like the Ubi's Petz series or something)
Dascu said:Isn't this that semi-hentai game?
There are enough Sony fans on GAF spouting nonsense in sales thread, we really don't need any more.Anasui Kishibe said:from the AYKWF (Amazing You Know What Forums)
"This isn't even close to being over. Sales of the PS3 in Japan will jump when Sony releases a Hello Tamaguchii (sp?) gimmicky version in hot pink with little cat ears. Seriously though. To state that the PS3 has already lost is a little premature. People were saying the same things about the PSP not that long ago and look at it taking off. It's the tortoise vs. the hare. People are looking at this with such a limited perspective. Sony's done this before and they're patient. The PS3 has a long life ahead of it and will do very well in the long haul. Over 10 years a console will sell more than one with a lot of initial sales but a limited shelf life. I personally feel the Wii's shelf life is little more than 4 years. By then Nintendo better be thinking about a new system and not the repackaged gamecube they're pushing on the dumb public. I'm not shy about my dislike for that console (Really people... Smash Bros... this is what all the hype is about? I don't get it) and I'd like to think by then people will be over this fad. Then again I don't take my own predictions that seriously and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. Either way I'll be racing around in GT5 while Wii owners are putting around in their Mario carts. No matter what the sales numbers end up at, I'm good with that outcome"
he calls it a fad, after two years
They advertised it.Paracelsus said:Is there any way for this to surpass at least the 70% of the sell-through? Didn't they advertise this game at all? Goddamnit.
I don't know if you're talking about worldwide or what, but in Japan there's a pretty clear trend. VII > VIII > IX > X > XII.batbeg said:Well FFVII sales were higher than FFVIII and FFIX, and then FFX outsold the previous two as well. The first game in a series seems to sell better than the ones at the end of last generation and more than the ones following it as well.
That still doesn't really address charlequin's point though... a dramatically reduced base will inevitably dramatically impact sales. We saw it on Dreamcast, on GameCube, on PSP and we've seen it repeatedly already on PS3 even. Sure FF might be a stronger brand than Mingol, RGG, Virtua Fighter, Gundam, Ridge Racer, Musou, GTPro, Disgaea, etc, but it's never really been in this sort of position before either, at least not exactly.kswiston said:Like I said above, install base doesn't mean everything. The install base of the super Famicom was a hell of a lot higher when FFVI was released, than the installed based of the PS1 was when FFVII was released. Same goes with the installed userbase of the PS1 for FFIX's release vs the PS2 for FFXs release. The type of people who camp out to get the newest Final Fantasy or Dragon Quest game on day one are the type of people to adopt a gaming system early in its lifespan.
Now the PS3 has a REALLY low userbase. That will effect the sales of FFXIII somewhat. However, you're in for a surprise if you don't think the game will break a million with ease in Japan.
Yep...Segata Sanshiro said:They advertised it.
SEGA has given the PS3 some of its strongest titles in a long time, and PS3 owners have responded with yawns.
You can't draw comparisons to first-party titles, man. People who bought a 360 KNEW they were getting Halo, because the brand is synonymous with Microsoft. Likewise with Brawl. With the dilution of the FF brand across so many platforms, it can no longer be stated to be synonymous with the Playstation brand. Direct comparison between first party and third party is impossible.kswiston said:I think Final Fantasy XIII will be fine sales-wise. It may be one of the lower selling entries in the series, but I'm sure it will sell enough copies to turn a profit.
Average game sales may be reflective of a console's userbase, but sales of the top games are not. Halo 3 sold just as well as Halo 2 did even though the 360 installed userbase in Sept 07 was about half of the Xbox installed userbase in Nov 04. Super Smash Bros Brawl will probably sell less than twice as much as SSBM did in Japan, even though the eventual installed userbase of the Wii will be eventually be 4-6x higher than the installed userbase of the Gamecube.
My guess is that, upon its release, we will see maybe 60% of japanese PS3 owners buying Final Fantasy XIII (and a couple hundred thousand people purchasing the system to play the game), similar to what happened when Melee was released for the Gamecube in Japan, or Halo 3 was released for the 360 in North America. That will translate into 1.5-2M units sold depending on how the PS3 does from now until FFXIII's release. 1.5M will be a pretty large drop from other Final Fantasy titles, but it won't be the end of the world. When you add NA and EU sales, I wouldn't be surprised if the game breaks 5M.
While Final Fantasy XIII is not going to save the PS3, I'm positive it will at least make S-E some money. Maybe not as much as they hoped back in 2004/5 when the game started production, but profit nonetheless.
cvxfreak said:PS3 Senjou no Valkyria - 41K (34K regular, 7K LE)
I'd say by virtue of putting the game out on the Anti-Seller they killed even more sales.Hcoregamer00 said:GODDAMMIT.
I knew that this would happen, maybe the game would have gotten more sales it if were a straight up traditional RPG instead of being a strategy RPG.
By virtue of adding strategy elements they killed potential massive sales.
Segata Sanshiro said:I'd say by virtue of putting the game out on the Anti-Seller they killed even more sales.
Maybe. This gen's really painful for Japan-centric third parties. It's hard to say what exactly will or won't do well, even on the "lead" platform.Hcoregamer00 said:No, it would have gotten respectable sales if it were a traditional RPG, it seems that Japan isn't too privy on strategy RPG's.
It is worse because of the PS3, but I think that it would have received better sales if it were more like Final Fantasy than Final Fantasy Tactics.
I don't think it's so clear cut - the plattform does play a big role here. Then again, where could they've gone anyways? 360 and Wii probably would've been equally bad or even worse.Hcoregamer00 said:No, it would have gotten respectable sales if it were a traditional RPG, it seems that Japan isn't too privy on strategy RPG's.
It is worse because of the PS3, but I think that it would have received better sales if it were more like Final Fantasy than Final Fantasy Tactics.
?davepoobond said:DONT YOU GET IT?? FFXIII WII-EXCLUSIVE LOLOLOLOL THEY CAN JUST RESAVE ALL THEIR ASSETS FOR 480i AND DUMP ALL THE HD ASSETS LIKE THAT!!!
Which, coincidentally, has been ported to the Wii as Crystal Tools.davepoobond said:umm....isn't this already a given since, y'know...they said that's what they're doing with the White Engine and stuff?
jarrod said:That still doesn't really address charlequin's point though... a dramatically reduced base will inevitably dramatically impact sales. We saw it on Dreamcast, on GameCube, on PSP and we've seen it repeatedly already on PS3 even. Sure FF might be a stronger brand than Mingol, RGG, Virtua Fighter, Gundam, Ridge Racer, Musou, GTPro, Disgaea, etc, but it's never really been in this sort of position before either, at least not exactly...
Actually, squeezing out a 360 port might've pushed sales another 5-15k or so. Plus they'd have 360's large hungry western base to look forward to... honestly, HD exclusives just don't make much sense for Japanese publishers in today's market. They really need to count on both machines (plus PC even) and spread the costs.Phife Dawg said:I don't think it's so clear cut - the plattform does play a big role here. Then again, where could they've gone anyways? 360 and Wii probably would've been equally bad or even worse.
kswiston said:Like I said above, install base doesn't mean everything. ... The type of people who camp out to get the newest Final Fantasy or Dragon Quest game on day one are the type of people to adopt a gaming system early in its lifespan.
Now the PS3 has a REALLY low userbase. That will effect the sales of FFXIII somewhat. However, you're in for a surprise if you don't think the game will break a million with ease in Japan.
Segata Sanshiro said:SEGA has given the PS3 some of its strongest titles in a long time, and PS3 owners have responded with yawns.
Hcoregamer00 said:No, it would have gotten respectable sales if it were a traditional RPG
Oh, I don't disagree with any of that... 1.5m total seems perfectly reasonable imo. I thought the argument was about FFXIII outselling FFXII, based largely off past precedent (which obviously doesn't apply to PS3 games).kswiston said:I don't expect FFXIII to reach the same levels as the past six games. However, I don't expect it to sell 300k either (even though that's where most big PS3 games are ending up).
As far as I can tell, the lowest selling (non-spinoff) Final Fantasy Game since VII debuted at around 1.7M and ended up with 2.2M sales. I think FFXIII is looking at an opening somewhere closer to 1M and a LTD around 1.5M in Japan (If the PS3 pick up steam it may fair better, but that's very doubtful at this point). That's a still a pretty big drop from previous games in the series.
As for the comments about FFXIII being third party, rather than first party, I think that most of the game's audience (that first weekend crowd) is aware that FFXIII is a PS3 game by this point in time. The main games have been Playstation titles for the last 11 years, and FFXIII has been previewed in various magazines, trade shows, etc., for two years now. Longer than the PS3 has even been out.
Phife Dawg said:I don't think it's so clear cut - the plattform does play a big role here. Then again, where could they've gone anyways? 360 and Wii probably would've been equally bad or even worse.
kswiston said:I don't expect FFXIII to reach the same levels as the past six games. However, I don't expect it to sell 300k either (even though that's where most big PS3 games are ending up).
FWIW I don't believe that it's US sales will take a huge hit compared to FFXII. But let's just revisit this argument once the game has been released in all regions (and once I've played it, because you won't see me here until then).charlequin said:Where the heck did this come from? :lol My entire contribution to the discussion was arguing with Durante's ludicrous claim that Europe was going to grow FFXIII's sales enough to make up for the huge hits its US and Japan sales will take.
FFXII's Famitsu first week * 0.85 = 1.56 millionVinci said:Final Fantasy XIII ... hmm ... let me see ...
/gazes into The Great Kalderasha's crystal ball
Yes ... yes ... it's getting clearer!
Final Fantasy XIII will ... yes ... sell roughly 85% of what XII did when it was first released.
charlequin said:It would? What are you basing this on? (Also: "This game would have sold better if it were some completely different game instead" isn't a particularly useful argument without some context to explain why being a different game would be relevant.)
I dunno, I'm having trouble thinking of anything shittier than US PS3 software sales. I guess war is shittier. And actual shit, I suppose.Durante said:FWIW I don't believe that it's US sales will take a huge hit compared to FFXII. But let's just revisit this argument once the game has been released in all regions (and once I've played it, because you won't see me here until then).
JoshuaJSlone said:FFXII's Famitsu first week * 0.85 = 1.56 million
The last games to have a debut that big were... *checks* ... Final Fantasy XII and Pokémon Diamond/Pearl in 2006.
Er... so what franchises would those even be? Shining Force versus Holy Ark? :lolHcoregamer00 said:Simple,
Look at the LTD for Traditional RPG's and look at the LTD for strategy RPG's in the same franchise on the same platform.
Hcoregamer00 said:Simple,
Look at the LTD for Traditional RPG's and look at the LTD for strategy RPG's in the same franchise on the same platform.
jarrod said:Er... so what franchises would those even be? Shining Force versus Holy Ark? :lol
Too bad we haven't gotten a "real" Shining RPG or SRPG in a decade.Hcoregamer00 said:
jarrod said:Too bad we haven't gotten a "real" Shining RPG or SRPG in a decade.
SEGA should send Camelot roses and a heartfelt apology... not like they're doing much else at the moment...Hcoregamer00 said:True, a Shining Force 4 would be nice
Laguna said:Valkyrie of the Battlefield: Gallian Chronicles (PS3) : about 40k (about 80k)
That happens when you release your games on a hardly-core movie-playback system, Sega. That´s your bill for ignoring VF5 sales.
Paracelsus said:It's not their fault is there's no other HD platform in Japan.
Honestly, the game probably would've done similarly on 360... 30-50k seems to be what most original 3rd party, higher production Japanese IPs can expect there (Trusty Bell, Lost Planet, Dead Rising, Idol Master, etc). That's not exactly a ringing endorsement for PS3. :lolParacelsus said:It's not their fault is there's no other HD platform in Japan.
Paracelsus said:It's not their fault is there's no other HD platform in Japan.
jarrod said:Honestly, the game probably would've done similarly on 360... 30-50k seems to be what most original 3rd party, higher production Japanese IPs can expect there (Trusty Bell, Lost Planet, Dead Rising, Idol Master, etc). That's not exactly a ringing endorsement for PS3. :lol
30-50k seems to be what most original 3rd party, higher production Japanese IPs can expect there (Trusty Bell, Lost Planet, Dead Rising, Idol Master, etc). That's not exactly a ringing endorsement for PS3.
The same market that hates this kind of art style. That means that Valkyria Chronicles is SCREWED.
jarrod said:That still doesn't really address charlequin's point though... a dramatically reduced base will inevitably dramatically impact sales. We saw it on Dreamcast, on GameCube, on PSP and we've seen it repeatedly already on PS3 even. Sure FF might be a stronger brand than Mingol, RGG, Virtua Fighter, Gundam, Ridge Racer, Musou, GTPro, Disgaea, etc, but it's never really been in this sort of position before either, at least not exactly.
Super Famicom and PlayStation 2 were both predestined legacy market leaders, from before they even went on sale. And Famicom had supplanted itself upfront basically off Nintendo games alone (see also, Game Boy, DS, Wii).
The original PlayStation with FFVII is the only near comparable platform, and while FFVII *was* instrumental in driving that machine to market leading status, there were so many other factors driving the transition (chiefly Nintendo's draconian 3rd party policies and the appeal of optical media) that FFVII was more the straw that broke the camel's back for an industry that was already looking to move past Nintendo. And even then, the sort of attention FFVII was getting generally dwarfs what we see of FFXIII, despite the current matured and expanded market, that I'm not sure how anyone could expect it have any sort of comparable result...
Don't kid yourself, there's basically no chance this one's gonna crack 100k. It'd have probably done similar figures as a 360 exclusive, maybe 10-15k less overall but not some massive difference honestly.Paracelsus said:Not really, no. VB on 360 would have done 40-50 overall, on PS3 it still has still a chance to break the 100k point, which is still low, but eh. Moreover this ain't a Jrpg, but sort of a srpg. Normal sprg do not sell on their own, figures an hybrid.
Yep... which is why doing PS3 exclusives makes even less sense for Japanese game makers. :/Hcoregamer00 said:I hate to say it, but sales are dependent on the USA and Europe market.
Yeah... expect sub-50k here too when Valkyria hits in the fall.Hcoregamer00 said:The same market that hates this kind of art style. That means that Valkyria Chronicles is SCREWED.
Pimpwerx said:Ha! Explain to me why again SCEJ continues to call the shots and gets the favorable game releases? The PS3 is a disaster over there. Hilariously disappointing. PEACE.
Anasui Kishibe said:from the AYKWF (Amazing You Know What Forums)
"This isn't even close to being over. Sales of the PS3 in Japan will jump when Sony releases a Hello Tamaguchii (sp?) gimmicky version in hot pink with little cat ears. Seriously though. To state that the PS3 has already lost is a little premature. People were saying the same things about the PSP not that long ago and look at it taking off. It's the tortoise vs. the hare. People are looking at this with such a limited perspective. Sony's done this before and they're patient. The PS3 has a long life ahead of it and will do very well in the long haul. Over 10 years a console will sell more than one with a lot of initial sales but a limited shelf life. I personally feel the Wii's shelf life is little more than 4 years. By then Nintendo better be thinking about a new system and not the repackaged gamecube they're pushing on the dumb public. I'm not shy about my dislike for that console (Really people... Smash Bros... this is what all the hype is about? I don't get it) and I'd like to think by then people will be over this fad. Then again I don't take my own predictions that seriously and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. Either way I'll be racing around in GT5 while Wii owners are putting around in their Mario carts. No matter what the sales numbers end up at, I'm good with that outcome"
he calls it a fad, after two years
xs_mini_neo said:Because they own S/E now. And now "owns them" has taken on a new meaning thanks to the PS3. Woe is Square. No one told them to sell part of their ass to Sony when they weren't making record profits after you-know-what happened.