- I mostly respond in his threads regarding Nintendo and for the most part it's always doomed vs. not doomed as well as they'll be fine once their games come out, so I tend not to bother making the same points every time. It's no secret that the Wii-U isn't doing good atm. Nintendo had their big direct but that isn't going to make everyone go out and buy one right away. People are going to wait until these titles are released before they purchase one. Now if they still have poor sales after this holiday when they've released some heavy hitters it would be a different story, but this is just another preposterous statement by him.
I don't really agree that you have to wait to make to make a prediction. If I say "I don't think the holiday games are going to turn the Wii U around; this start is just
too bad," it's very well possible that I might be wrong. But why is that a terribly irresponsible prediction. Part of analysis involves making predictions about trends, and even
good (i.e. for the sake of the argument lets just refer to the non-Pachters here) analysts get stuff wrong. It's just something you keep in mind the next time they make a prediction if you're keeping score.
Like if someone wanted to know what I thought, my own gut reaction is that we'll probably see middling results this holiday season. I think they might be able to assuage some of the people that think it's time to just pull the plug on the Wii U, but I honestly don't think they're going to set the charts on fire and turn it into an unarguable success.
So, if the Wii U goes on to be the clear winner of the holiday season, I'll be wrong should someone have this post handy. "Hey, Youngblood, remember when you didn't expect the Wii U to have a great holiday season? Well, guess who was wrong!"
But that wrong prediction wouldn't somehow make me an irresponsible idiot.