LocknessMobster
Member
Return of the king.
Sweeeet gif. Glad to see PS4 is doing well so far.
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PS4 to lead all consoles with 51 million sold by 2016 - IDC
- Thread starter Poetic.Injustice
- Start date
Sweeeet gif. Glad to see PS4 is doing well so far.
disappeared
Banned
Holy shit those numbers. Things are looking good for the PS4, but holy shit.
BlackBuzzard
Banned
Think he is referring to the messiah Phil Spencer. Which is pretty funny, he should be on the Xbox One chalkboard.
I can't imagine itor any next-gen consoleachieving that kind of success that quickly in an era of increased competition from microconsoles and mobile without a serious price drop. Didn't IDC previously say a bunch of silly shit before too?
luckydan79
Neo Member
I know this is wrong and I shouldn't really quote it but ******** at them moment "State" 7.4 million units sold with 127 thousand across the world for this month.
So if 127000 is the standard for 1 year 127*12 = 15.24 million*2 = 30.48 if it keeps up this standard which is very unlikely adding in the rest of this year
= 10.16 million so 47 million at the end of 2016 if the sales trends continue which is rather unlikely. Phones are needed, Computers are, etc.
So you can guess where this so called site gets is source from www.********.com which is stated is unreliable and complete bullshit it has to sell 127 thousand every month for an add-on for the TV which is completely unnecessary.
So if 127000 is the standard for 1 year 127*12 = 15.24 million*2 = 30.48 if it keeps up this standard which is very unlikely adding in the rest of this year
= 10.16 million so 47 million at the end of 2016 if the sales trends continue which is rather unlikely. Phones are needed, Computers are, etc.
So you can guess where this so called site gets is source from www.********.com which is stated is unreliable and complete bullshit it has to sell 127 thousand every month for an add-on for the TV which is completely unnecessary.
BlackBuzzard
Banned
Dont ever use the site that makes up numbers on the fly, to try and make a point.
OK, so that is about the talk how everything is geared toward the (hardcore) gamer now, but which resulted in no actions and won't before E3.
kidfresh718
Member
By november sony will be at 13-14millions sold.. By 2016 i see 45-50 sales will drop off even with a price drop
Outside of the fact the forbidden site is unreliable, your maths are wrong.
Paracelsus
Member
Yeah but how many of those are in Japan?
kinoki
Illness is the doctor to whom we pay most heed; to kindness, to knowledge, we make promise only; pain we obey.
If they continue to produce a million a month they will have 24 million units produced in 2014 and 2016. They'll have another 12 million produced this year. So, 36 million. With the units sold in 2013 that nets them about 40 million. The only way I see 50 million to happen is if they do a price cut next year and ramp up production. But then they'll be just as likely to achieve 60 million as they are 50 million.
Return of the king.
lmao that's a damn good gif
Memorabilia
Member
Xbone has a snowball's chance in hell of taking the lead in the US.
figadapaura
Member
Sounds a bit high, but I don't doubt the PS4 will maintain its lead.
Won't be surprised if that happens once larger cross-gen titles decline.
Not saying it won't happen, but never forget:
Wasnt this graph a shopped troll from SonyDefenseForce?
SuperEpicGuy
Banned
Nice, excellent quality gif.Return of the king.
So what you saying is, they need to repeat what they did with PS2, even though right now PS4 is selling faster?
http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/PlayStation_2
Not saying it won't happen, but never forget:
Predictions at the start of a generation generally end up inaccurate. The PS4 is off to a brilliant start, but this industry has proven more than once to be unpredictable.
I've seen that graph before, but it still amazes me how the Wii prediction numbers were the most accurate relative to the others.
OT: 51 million is a good target, I'd definitely say the PS4 is capable of reaching that number.
I really don't understand why they predict xb1 to take over in the us once kinect is unbundled, they seemingly don't expect ps4 sales to slow at all judging by the 51 million, they also expect the kinect to be unbundled in 2015 and looking at current sales the gap between ps4 and xb1 will surely be wider by then if kinect stays bundled, which would give us a 2015 situation of ps4 and xb1 price parity but xb1 would be less powerful and have a smaller install base meaning people moving to next gen would likely have more friends on ps4 than xb1.
Some of their predictions kind of go against each other.
Some of their predictions kind of go against each other.
George Claw M.D.
Member
Aren't U.S. sales rather close for PS4/Xbone currently? The major gap in sales is attributed to all the other countries. If Xbone is keeping pace in the U.S. with a price and power disadvantage, then I guess the logic is that with price parity, brand preference will help Xbone surpass PS4.
I think ps4 is leading about 3 mil to 2.5m or something, but the xb1 has just had a strong period with titanfall and price drops, sales will drop as April to September seem to be stronger sony months so it's expected the gap will widen. The xb1 was only $50 more than ps4 during march but had kinect and titanfall included at that price in most stores. I think 50$ for kinect and titanfall is a pretty good value proposition.
anexanhume
Member
PS2 was supply constrained for a long time. PS4 isn't any longer for most areas, allowing a faster start. Also, Japan has declined considerably since the PS2 days.
George Claw M.D.
Member
It's pretty well understood that value in the form of bundled content is not as effective as a lower total price. I don't think it's clear how the market will react when/if Xbone reaches price parity with PS4 or even undercuts it. At least in the U.S.. PlayStation has the obviously stronger brand WW.
DeuceGamer
Member
I'm not sure how much it affected it but Xbone was more readily available, especially in the first few months compared to the PS4 as well. Just another reason why the gap may not have been larger.
Oh, of course. That's why the "unless" even exists - there are always going to be some customers that fit that category, so the only question is if that customer base is large enough to make it viable as a business.
The question will continue to be ever-present until we see precisely where these systems settle out in the following months (April, May, June). These are going to be extremely telling months that establish a sort of floor for off-holiday months, and it will begin to show us the true level of excitement for these consoles. In this time, Microsoft still does not seem to have an adequate answer to why Kinect continues to be an albatross around their neck without any quality software for it, so I think it'll be the time they make some hard decisions about what to do with their systems going forward (with or w/out Kinect). And Sony only really has a few multiplatform games with marketing agreements in there, so we will likely see something like a floor for PS4 numbers as well. So they will be pivotal months.
Yeah, it's not impossible. I mean, as of yet... at least in North America... no matter how we shake it or read the tea leaves, they are still "only" separated by a few hundred thousand. Any big news story in one direction or the other can fill in a few hundred thousand given enough time. The big question that stays in my head is simply: now that Titanfall is out for XBO, does Microsoft have anything that can stop a fairly significant downslide? Does the numbers in settle at become a worrying 141k like in January, or something more reasonable like 225k or something like that?