Striek said:
IMO, thats some stupid reasoning. The PSP sales weren't falling as much as they were stabilising. The DS had many big hits, a pricedrop and enticing bundles, and still fails to convincingly outsell the PSP. PSP sales softened due to losing launch momentum primarily - thats not to say compelling software wouldn't have helped it but its certainly hasn't fallen off a cliff like the DS did. You're making very big assumptions on very sketchy evidence. DS has had what, 3-4 months on the upside now after selling like shit and suddenly its flourishing and PSP is in trouble?
Don't get me wrong, I see a very healthy future for both consoles in the US. I think it's by far the weakest market for the DS so far where it is actually tracking behind Gamecube in the same 13 months from GCs launch. DS did hit rock bottom with only 57k for a month and some poor software sales.
PSP launched well also and has been able to maintain a good momentum through the year, although has continued to drop significantly from month to month and even the release of big killer software hasn't done much to change matters. Looking at both systems in the US, you would have to say that on paper PSP has much stronger software so far.
An original GTA- sells 5m + on PS2 last 3 versions, big out the gates
Madden- sells 3m+ on PS2 another 2-3m on other formats each year, big out the gates
Need For Speed- sells 2m+ on PS2, another 2-3m on other formats each year, big xmas seller
And some well-recieved games like Luminies, Ridge Racers, Metal Gear Acid.
DS so far has had:
Mario 64- About a 2 million seller by past experience, long legs and slow start
Wario Ware- sold about 250k on GBA at best
Nintengdogs- brand new game where you rear puppies, wtf??
Mario Kart DS- big game, slow start long legs, sell well in bundles.
So basically Mario 64 DS + Mario Kart DS vs GTA, Madden, Need for Speed
On paper PSP has much bigger games on past performance in the US. It's cool, sleek, gadgety, multi-media so very appealing to Western market and high price point to match the technology.
On paper PSP was gonna destroy the DS, but it's the DS that is gaining momentum at the moment with Nintendogs (and even more so in Europe- you must think that it will catch on to the same proportions in the USA as well) and we all know DS is murdering PSP in Japan this xmas (300k vs 85k last week) and the point is that DS has many of it's big games still to come!!
Pokemon, Mario Bros, Zeldas, Donkey Kongs, Animal Crossing, Mario & Luigi 2 and who knows what kind of impact Brain Training and the other big games from Japan are going to make? Everyone thought Nintendogs was only for the quirky Japanese like Pokemon but certainly Nintendogs is looking to be more popular in the west than Japan.
I'm not saying either are doomed, I don't really care that much which one sells more, I'm sure PSP has some aces up it's sleeve for the future and will sell well on brand name, technology (although I'd rather have an iPod) and image if nothing else.
But I think it's pretty clear from the facts so far that the DS is really hitting it's stride at the moment and with more and more and more big games to come and lots more innovation to be seen from western developers (who may start trying something different than the usual GBA movie licences, platform games and crap versions of madden and so on) whereas the PSP seems to be struggling by comparison as most of it's supposed big games are out and most have struggled sales-wise.