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The NX Prediction / BSpeculation / Fanxiety Thread
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Aaronrules380
Member
I'm going to say
1. Announcement Q4 2016
2. Full reveal: Q1 2017 (or perhaps Q4 2016 if we're lucky)
3. Release: Q1 2017 (Maybe Q2 2017)
4. Smash (port)
I don't think Nintendo can afford to push the launch much later than early Q2 2017. They just don't have enough stuff to keep them afloat without new hardware that long imo.
But on the off chance I'm wrong and it's full reveal is E3 like some people here think, then it'll be released Holiday 2017, not Q3. If Nintendo has the balls to delay the system to the second half of 2017, they'll launch during the holidays when sales potential is max, not Q3 where you barely ever get any major games, let alone a system launch
1. Announcement Q4 2016
2. Full reveal: Q1 2017 (or perhaps Q4 2016 if we're lucky)
3. Release: Q1 2017 (Maybe Q2 2017)
4. Smash (port)
I don't think Nintendo can afford to push the launch much later than early Q2 2017. They just don't have enough stuff to keep them afloat without new hardware that long imo.
But on the off chance I'm wrong and it's full reveal is E3 like some people here think, then it'll be released Holiday 2017, not Q3. If Nintendo has the balls to delay the system to the second half of 2017, they'll launch during the holidays when sales potential is max, not Q3 where you barely ever get any major games, let alone a system launch
here we are!
outunderthestars
Banned
The Wii U market is so small that I really don't think Nintendo really cares that much about it at this point.
Q4 2016 - I think they'll commit to a teaser at least
Q2 2017 - Sitting on it for 7-8 months while the Wii U is dead in the water for an E3 reveal makes Nintendo Sense
Q3 2017 - Release, because there will be some inevitable recall due to a faulty circuit board immediately after E3 ends that delays its original release date of late June
As for franchise spearheading the charge...glorious return of Custom Robo
Q2 2017 - Sitting on it for 7-8 months while the Wii U is dead in the water for an E3 reveal makes Nintendo Sense
Q3 2017 - Release, because there will be some inevitable recall due to a faulty circuit board immediately after E3 ends that delays its original release date of late June
As for franchise spearheading the charge...glorious return of Custom Robo
Aaronrules380
Member
If there was an e3 full reveal, it wouldn't have been launching in June anyways (E3 is in June, they would never plan to launch just a few weeks after a full reveal). That said, if you really think Nintendo can afford to wait until Q3 2017, why do you think they wouldn't just wait until Q4 and the holidays?
This is not only about Wii U, it's about this fiscal year not ending with a bang and half of next fiscal year being damaged too. That's the bigger issue than Wii U. Investors will be mad.
I could totally see them plan some sort of mega reveal at an E3 presser that culminates with an "in stores...next week!" just to watch mass hysteria as everyone panics to reserve an NX and play on
our
Because Q3, again, some recall involving faulty circuits and want to get it out the door ASAP before people calm down and cancel their pre-orders.
Hibiki Kurosawa
Member
1. Q1 2017
2. Q1 2017
3. Q4 2017
4. The new mainline 3D Mario
2. Q1 2017
3. Q4 2017
4. The new mainline 3D Mario
Aaronrules380
Member
I don't think you understand how marketing works
I don't understand how anything works
Herb Alpert
Banned
Q4 2016
Q4 2016
Q1 2017
Waluigi galaxy
Don't die on me now Nintendo
Q4 2016
Q1 2017
Waluigi galaxy
Don't die on me now Nintendo
Given the kind of predictions here, I suppose it's the right place
https://twitter.com/TheBY2K/status/788012362460782593
Translation of another tweet from the same guy of LeMonde we talked about in the now-closed Macquaire's thread.
https://twitter.com/TheBY2K/status/788012362460782593
Translation of another tweet from the same guy of LeMonde we talked about in the now-closed Macquaire's thread.
Azure Dream
Member
1. - Q4 2016 [At this point, I don't see them announcing "We'll talk about the NX on this date" unless that date is days away.]
2. - Q4 2016 [They could push it further, but frankly with how badly the Wii U is doing, and the 3DS flagging, they'd be better off pushing NX preorders over the holiday season.]
3. - Q1 2017 [I think it'll make it, but in a state like the 3DS: Not really what they promised yet, library with some major holes in it. Japan for certain, America might miss by a little bit, Europe most likely to see a delay.]
4. - Ice Climber [Redesigned specifically around the new platform gimmick]
2. - Q4 2016 [They could push it further, but frankly with how badly the Wii U is doing, and the 3DS flagging, they'd be better off pushing NX preorders over the holiday season.]
3. - Q1 2017 [I think it'll make it, but in a state like the 3DS: Not really what they promised yet, library with some major holes in it. Japan for certain, America might miss by a little bit, Europe most likely to see a delay.]
4. - Ice Climber [Redesigned specifically around the new platform gimmick]
mocolostrocolos
Member
Maybe in three minutes...
Memorabilia
Member
Its almost like people are trying to DDOS GAF with NX speculation threads.
There's no spotlight in January. It's just a dead dark month.
mocolostrocolos
Member
Two games that NX won't even smell.
Dark Cloud
Member
Bruh are you serious? January is inauguration month and MLK Jr. birthday. It won't be until February the earliest!
gcncontroller
Member
1. Q4 2016
2. Q4 2016
3. Q2 2017
4. Mario Kart
They have to say something before year's end. They gotta.
2. Q4 2016
3. Q2 2017
4. Mario Kart
or SSB4 Complete edition.
They have to say something before year's end. They gotta.
Okay, now you're just trolling.
That or you made a bet and you desperately don't want to lose it.
On topic, if NX is delayed, it can't be to later than June unless something goes horribly wrong or changes their plans completely. They can't afford to delay to the holidays just because. Unless they have 5+ new mobile games planned for next year in addition to what's been announced, investors would be calling for everyone's heads. The hardware seems to be finalized, so delaying it 8 months due to software could only happen if nearly all third-parties suddenly pulled out for for some reason while Nintendo themselves were forced to cancel a few projects. It's not logical.
Announcement of the date will be within 3 weeks of the reveal.
The reveal will be this quarter or next.
The release will be between March 1st and July 1st.
I have 100% confidence in all of this.
Also, Retro's new game being something not Donkey Kong as a bold prediction.
Guys, I can clearly see he's trolling.
I mean, this time
Tavernacle12
Member
I'm gonna say we'll get the announcement of an announcement prior to Pokemon with the reveal after.
And now we have this:
http://www.3djuegos.com/noticias-ver/165105/nintendo-nx-seria-presentada-esta-misma-semana-segun/
"An 'industry source' claims that NX will be presented this very week." No exact date was confirmed, but October, 21st was dropped since it marks the 5th anniversary of the first Nintendo Direct ever. According to that undisclosed source, indie studios could also start ordering the devkits this November. The word "Fusion" was also dropped during the conversation, but whether it is related to the console's final name or some of its features remains unclear.
http://www.3djuegos.com/noticias-ver/165105/nintendo-nx-seria-presentada-esta-misma-semana-segun/
"An 'industry source' claims that NX will be presented this very week." No exact date was confirmed, but October, 21st was dropped since it marks the 5th anniversary of the first Nintendo Direct ever. According to that undisclosed source, indie studios could also start ordering the devkits this November. The word "Fusion" was also dropped during the conversation, but whether it is related to the console's final name or some of its features remains unclear.
Dark Cloud
Member
Everybody and their mother heard this is the week all of a sudden. Lol
casey_contra
Member
Either there is legitimacy from multiple claims, or it's just sites using each other as sources, thus creating the illusion of multiple sources.
Herb Alpert
Banned
And 23rd of february is Brunei national day. Nintendo can't reveal this month if they want all the attention.
Father_Brain
Banned
I expect nothing before the 26th, but I expect either a specific reveal date or (ugh) a delay then, at bare minimum. If we get news sooner, I'Il be pleasantly surprised.
But I really, honestly don't think they'll tell investors "it's still on track for March, nothing to announce today, reveal date TBA" again.
But I really, honestly don't think they'll tell investors "it's still on track for March, nothing to announce today, reveal date TBA" again.
Dark Cloud
Member
Yeah, it's hard to tell. Have we ever had a week where multiple people/sites claiming "this is the week for NX news"?
Agreed. We'll either learn about a more specific timeframe for the reveal or the announcement of a delay by the 26th, possibly both.
Father_Brain
Banned
If it's not delayed, it'd make much more sense to reveal it before the 26th than after, so that investors could come into the meeting with an understanding of what NX is, and Kimishima et al. can just explain what it means for the bottom line.
But Nintendo can be weird like that, and I'd rather just not get my hopes up. Not too much longer, at least.
perfectchaos007
Member
Keep in mind there's another investors meeting coming up in mid-January. Nintendo could decide to remain silent on NX until then.
Aaronrules380
Member
Nintendo promised investors actual news on the NX by the end of 2016. If they're going to hold it back to January, they'll still need to say that on the 26th
How dare you.
perfectchaos007
Member
Speaking of Donkey Kong, has anyone gone dumpster diving at Retro Studios lately? May have some NX info in there if they are working on an NX project.
Eh
1.- Q4 2016
2.- Q4 2016
3.- Q1 2017
4.- Animal Crossing
Still have some shred of faith based on recent rumors.
Hmm so this guy is doubling down on it. 3Djuegos too, even though mochizuki from wsj who seemed to spark this was just talking about public speculation. We'll seeeee..
1.- Q4 2016
2.- Q4 2016
3.- Q1 2017
4.- Animal Crossing
Still have some shred of faith based on recent rumors.
Hmm so this guy is doubling down on it. 3Djuegos too, even though mochizuki from wsj who seemed to spark this was just talking about public speculation. We'll seeeee..
1.- Q4 2016
2.- Q4 2016
3.- Q1 2017
4.- Warioware (or Warioware DIY2)
I really do think that it'll be unveiled this year is some shape or form. As for a "full reveal", I think everything will be shown upfront with demos and hands-on events for the press and the general public in the leadup to launch.
As for the release date, it'd be very bad if Nintendo delayed it past March 2017, not to mention baffling. Ideally, a company would want to release their console during the holidays. But seeing how Nintendo's avoiding that and stating they "want games for the launch window" convinces me that they're more focused on a solid launch and the long term rather than short-term sales.
As for my choice of Warioware for a launch window title, it's been about 10 years since the last "actual" Warioware game (Smooth Moves). That said, I've always thought Warioware games were the best showcase for a system's capabilities and potential. Also, if they don't want to do another mainline game, then they should try making another Warioware DIY game to improve upon the flaws of the original (only using touchscreen for minigames, very limited share options, and etc).
2.- Q4 2016
3.- Q1 2017
4.- Warioware (or Warioware DIY2)
I really do think that it'll be unveiled this year is some shape or form. As for a "full reveal", I think everything will be shown upfront with demos and hands-on events for the press and the general public in the leadup to launch.
As for the release date, it'd be very bad if Nintendo delayed it past March 2017, not to mention baffling. Ideally, a company would want to release their console during the holidays. But seeing how Nintendo's avoiding that and stating they "want games for the launch window" convinces me that they're more focused on a solid launch and the long term rather than short-term sales.
As for my choice of Warioware for a launch window title, it's been about 10 years since the last "actual" Warioware game (Smooth Moves). That said, I've always thought Warioware games were the best showcase for a system's capabilities and potential. Also, if they don't want to do another mainline game, then they should try making another Warioware DIY game to improve upon the flaws of the original (only using touchscreen for minigames, very limited share options, and etc).
sixteen-bit
Member
3ds was 'announced' in an investor's meeting, right?
Yes. Multiple times.
Yes, two times I think. But it's interesting nonetheless.
Apparently he said later he doesn't know if imminent means 2 days or 2 months bahaha.
Trusting other people's translations since I cant read it.
andythinkpad
Member
1.- Q1 2017
2.- Q2 2017
3.- Q4 2017
4 5D Mario
2.- Q2 2017
3.- Q4 2017
4 5D Mario
Not only that but he himself translated it into english later on:
https://twitter.com/Willvs/status/788014898269806592
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