Kabuki Waq
Member
It is rated r and should be pretty gruesome I think 50 mill weekend max.
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Wkd BO 0811-1317 - Annabelle conjures up #1, Dark Tower Falls
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
HeartlessNobody213
Member
People keep saying this but outside of Iron Man 3, no solo MCU film has made a billion. Would Sony have liked it to make a billion? Of course but with Homecoming being cheaper and eventually making more than the previous ASM films, i'm sure Sony is happy with that.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
You were saying it would be lucky to clear $30 mil a couple weeks ago though, right?
I think you might be lowballing it, is all. I dont' think people are overestimating it. I think WB said they're putting the floor at 50mil? Maybe I read that wrong.
No bloody way anyone would include that in the movie, not 25 years ago, not now, not 25 years in the future, not 250 years in the future.
Homecoming would be flirting with $1B if the exchange rates were still where they were in 2012 when Spider-Man had his last reboot.
Tracking was $50M last I heard. I think some of it is going to depend on the film's reception. If this is a "good" horror film, I think that it will blow up. It also helps that Annabelle Creation will likely be the last film to break $30M opening weekend from now until when IT launches.
Tracking was $50M last I heard. I think some of it is going to depend on the film's reception. If this is a "good" horror film, I think that it will blow up. It also helps that Annabelle Creation will likely be the last film to break $30M opening weekend from now until when IT launches.
look, I have CONSISTENTLY made these threads for almost (over?) 10 years, barring a few bans or work/family related instances where I have asked someone to pitch hit. I started this back when no one gave a flying fuck about weekend box office. And for years I would tell peeps to pm me thread titles or whatever if they wanted to participate. It's all good. But no one cared. Ever. So whatever. I kept at it by myself coming up with a new thread title every week w/o fail. Sometimes I would take a comment someone made that I found interesting or funny and use that. Regardless of the shit I would get.
now, if y'all want to take the reins/responsibility of these threads now that it's a hot/popular topic be my guest and good luck. LOL
how about this: I will take a break from making these threads for a month. And y'all can do whatever you like. ¯_(ツ_/¯
Don't let those whiny posters get you down.
Small drop from TS3 I think. The fact that everyone generally loves all 3 Toy Story movies can't really be viewed as a negative. It's certainly not a Cars/Transformers/Pirates situation.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Also, Annabelle had that IT preview attached to it, didn't it?
Diprosalic
Banned
look, I have CONSISTENTLY made these threads for almost (over?) 10 years, barring a few bans or work/family related instances where I have asked someone to pitch hit. I started this back when no one gave a flying fuck about weekend box office. And for years I would tell peeps to pm me thread titles or whatever if they wanted to participate. It's all good. But no one cared. Ever. So whatever. I kept at it by myself coming up with a new thread title every week w/o fail. Sometimes I would take a comment someone made that I found interesting or funny and use that. Regardless of the shit I would get.
now, if y'all want to take the reins/responsibility of these threads now that it's a hot/popular topic be my guest and good luck. LOL
how about this: I will take a break from making these threads for a month. And y'all can do whatever you like. ¯_(ツ
Xao don't listen to these haters. I've appreciated your threads and the work that you put into it for almost as long as you're doing them.
It's tracking for $50m but we're in here talking about $80m and $200m total.
I can't even remember the last horror movie that even approached $200m.
BO threads are my main interest on OT right back to when I was lurking. Y'all do what you want with the titles if you've been the force behind them.look, I have CONSISTENTLY made these threads for almost (over?) 10 years, barring a few bans or work/family related instances where I have asked someone to pitch hit. I started this back when no one gave a flying fuck about weekend box office. And for years I would tell peeps to pm me thread titles or whatever if they wanted to participate. It's all good. But no one cared. Ever. So whatever. I kept at it by myself coming up with a new thread title every week w/o fail. Sometimes I would take a comment someone made that I found interesting or funny and use that. Regardless of the shit I would get.
now, if y'all want to take the reins/responsibility of these threads now that it's a hot/popular topic be my guest and good luck. LOL
how about this: I will take a break from making these threads for a month. And y'all can do whatever you like. ¯_(ツ
On a different note just realised this past week that Dark Tower was only $60 million yo make. What's current estimates on final total given current drops?
Ignore him and keep doing your thing.look, I have CONSISTENTLY made these threads for almost (over?) 10 years, barring a few bans or work/family related instances where I have asked someone to pitch hit. I started this back when no one gave a flying fuck about weekend box office. And for years I would tell peeps to pm me thread titles or whatever if they wanted to participate. It's all good. But no one cared. Ever. So whatever. I kept at it by myself coming up with a new thread title every week w/o fail. Sometimes I would take a comment someone made that I found interesting or funny and use that. Regardless of the shit I would get.
now, if y'all want to take the reins/responsibility of these threads now that it's a hot/popular topic be my guest and good luck. LOL
how about this: I will take a break from making these threads for a month. And y'all can do whatever you like. ¯\_(ツ
hodayathink
Member
It's tracking for $50m but we're in here talking about $80m and $200m total.
I can't even remember the last horror movie that even approached $200m.
Wonder Woman's tracking started of like $20-25 million less than it eventually opened at.
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
The head-scratching pun thread titles are part of the fun. Keep em coming!
Too bad WW isn't doing a little better worldwide, but Spider-Man is hugely internationally famous.
Too bad WW isn't doing a little better worldwide, but Spider-Man is hugely internationally famous.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Everyone already kissed and made up. xaosslug is going to keep making threads. You guys can catch up with the rest of the thread instead of quoting the first page
And get back to more important things, like making fun of Bronson!
There isn't enough talk in here about Nut Job 2 having the worst opening ever for a 4000 theater release. It's always nice to see a record broken.
You mean that super pessimistic $65m number WB was throwing out as their "internal" projection? That was pretty clearly BS.
You mean that super pessimistic $65m number WB was throwing out as their "internal" projection? That was pretty clearly BS.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Xao is the reason we can still relive Avatar's week-by-week box office run on this forum.
That second weekend thread is still amazing.
That second weekend thread is still amazing.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
The fun with Avatar's box office run was that it just stayed constant for so long. It was the slow climb to the top of the mountain.
OrangeAtlas
Member
What record did that Nicholas Hoult/Felicity Jones movie break earlier this year again? Worst opening for 3000+ theaters, or biggest 2nd week drop or something?
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
That and all the Quaritch mug photoshops as it sunk film after film, climbing its way to the throne.
Biggest second weekend drop (-88.5%).
Gentleman Jack
Member
Whoof I'd hate to be someone who watches the movie and then tracks down the book to find out what got left out and be like: "what the fuck?" The blog posts on the topic should be interesting.
broncobuster
Banned
Yeah. Depending on how Japan and these final weeks shake out, Wonder Woman will have a damn near 50/50 split between domestic and foreign. Spider-Man Homecoming should be closer to 40/60 (ASM2 was 30/70).
Yautja_Warrior
Member
Just watched Annabelle, pretty decent tbh. Much better than the 1st one and way more like a Conjuring movie. Afew people in too for a Sunday night, I'm sure it will do well.
The IT preview before it started though, damn that was awesome. Seeing a bit of the Pennywise and Georgie scene was great. After this, I'm sold on Skarsgard in the role. The way he talks, he's like a darker version of Tim Curry's Pennywise, I really liked it.
The IT preview before it started though, damn that was awesome. Seeing a bit of the Pennywise and Georgie scene was great. After this, I'm sold on Skarsgard in the role. The way he talks, he's like a darker version of Tim Curry's Pennywise, I really liked it.
BronsonLee
Member
Both of you about to accept mah right hook
Yamcha is my favorite so I wanna be him
Hercule is perfect for him.
AntraxSuicide
Banned
Dark Tower wasn't the worst movie I've ever seen, but damn if it didn't have anything positive going for it. It's just a void of 2 hours in my life that I can't get back.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
What we.
Compared to that dude, 50mil is "overestimating it"
So I mean, like, WB is apparently overestimating it.
If an Annabelle sequel can clear 35mil in its opening weekend IT should be able to get close to 60, right? 55-60?
I'm not even flat out saying it should double. Just that 50 should probably be the floor.
edit: I have no idea what any of this Dragonball shit means.
Now that the rest of the summer is clearer:
Top 10 Domestic Films of Summer 2017 (my best guesses at final grosses)
1) Wonder Woman - $407-412M
2) Guardians of the Galaxy - $389-390M
3) Spider-Man Homecoming - $320-330M
4) Despicable Me 3 - around $260M
5) Dunkirk - $185-195M (maybe $200M if WB does a re-expansion for Labor Day)
6) Pirates 5 - $172M
7) Cars 3 - $150M (EDIT: More if Disney brings it back for Labor Day)
8) War for the Planet of the Apes - $145-150M (fading hope that it will pass Cars 3)
9) Transformers 5 - $131-132M
10) Girls Trip - $115-125M
Worldwide (not as clean yet. Some of these could be off):
1) Despicable Me 3 - $960M-1B
2) Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - $862M
3) Spider-Man Homecoming - $835-880M (depends on China)
4) Wolf Warrior 2 - $800M+ (Not sure at the final gross. China is crazy)
5) Wonder Woman - $815-825M (depending on Japan)
6) Pirates 5 - $790M or so
7) Transformers 5 - $600-620M
8) Dunkirk - $475-525M (depends on China)
8) War for the Planet of the Apes - $475-525M (depends on China and South Korea)
10) The Mummy - $410M
Top 10 Domestic Films of Summer 2017 (my best guesses at final grosses)
1) Wonder Woman - $407-412M
2) Guardians of the Galaxy - $389-390M
3) Spider-Man Homecoming - $320-330M
4) Despicable Me 3 - around $260M
5) Dunkirk - $185-195M (maybe $200M if WB does a re-expansion for Labor Day)
6) Pirates 5 - $172M
7) Cars 3 - $150M (EDIT: More if Disney brings it back for Labor Day)
8) War for the Planet of the Apes - $145-150M (fading hope that it will pass Cars 3)
9) Transformers 5 - $131-132M
10) Girls Trip - $115-125M
Worldwide (not as clean yet. Some of these could be off):
1) Despicable Me 3 - $960M-1B
2) Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - $862M
3) Spider-Man Homecoming - $835-880M (depends on China)
4) Wolf Warrior 2 - $800M+ (Not sure at the final gross. China is crazy)
5) Wonder Woman - $815-825M (depending on Japan)
6) Pirates 5 - $790M or so
7) Transformers 5 - $600-620M
8) Dunkirk - $475-525M (depends on China)
8) War for the Planet of the Apes - $475-525M (depends on China and South Korea)
10) The Mummy - $410M
Bobby Roberts
Banned
What are the odds WB does re-expand Dunkirk for Labor Day? This is the first I'm hearing it's a possibility (sorry if I missed it upthread)
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Girls Trip sneaking into that top 10.
Where's Rough Night at again?
Where's Rough Night at again?
Disney does it all the time. I don't know if WB doing it is very likely though. Seems to be everyone but them joining in.
2016 Labor Day re-expansions
Finding Dory - 345 venues to 2075 venues
Ghostbusters - 434 venues to 1091 venues
Ice Age 5 - 455 venues to 692 venues
Nerve - 455 venues to 761 venues
ID4R - 112 venues to 391 venues
The year before was Inside out (763 to 2967 venues), plus smaller increases for Southpaw and Pixels. I think that Jurassic World re-expanded the weekend before as well.
Disney pretty much always re-expands their summer Pixar film. We'll see if Cars gets the same treatment though. It made a lot less than any of the past few summer Pixar movies.
hodayathink
Member
No, I mean the $80-85 million that was being thrown around as the opening projections. Before we knew about the movie's quality.
Six feet under, probably.
BronsonLee
Member
I gave WW the Bronson Bump and look at how it turned out
#28 and dropping.
The Nut Job and Kidnap will bump it down to #30. There are about 5 more films this summer that I can see leapfrogging Rough Night.
So around 35th for the summer? Incredible show of star power by Scarjo.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
2017 wasn't a great year for Scarlett, no.
If this year is similar to 2015 and 2016 in terms of box office distribution, Ghost in the Shell will land in the #65-75 range on the yearly domestic list. Rough Night might not make the Top 100.
EDIT: Substantially more people wanted to see Monster Trucks in theatres than Rough Night.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
I contributed by making the Dark Knight and Titanic ones.
I really don't need another MCU movie just 2 months after the climax of 11 years worth. Would rather it be 2020.
I love Rough Night... as a case study.
It has a 2015 Black List script*, it's being written and directed by the people behind one of the most acclaimed comedy TV shows, it has Scar-Jo + star from said acclaimed comedy TV show, it's edited by a dude who worked with Judd Apatow (because of course he did), and it's only going to cost $20 million to make.
It's like listening to Bruce Campell explaining how Congo got made. Only that Congo was profitable.
*(though I'm of the opinion that The Black List is outplayed and was always overrated)
nhlducks35
Member
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I'd never seen that video before
"YOU JUST MADE CONGOOOOOO"
edit: Woody's having an okay year though.
"YOU JUST MADE CONGOOOOOO"
edit: Woody's having an okay year though.
Speaking of the MCU, Thor's opening weekend will put the franchise past the $5B mark domestically.
Infinity War should be the film that breaks the cumulative $15B barrier for the MCU worldwide. The worldwide total is around $12.5B at the moment.
hodayathink
Member
Glass Castle doesn't seem to be doing very well critically or commercially, but then again it's just a relatively cheap indie drama so there probably wasn't really anything expected of it.
Speaking of women who aren't having particularly great years, Naomi Watts though. At least she's got Twin Peaks.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I did want to see Cranston's little indie drama from earlier this year, too.
Heard Wakefield was pretty interesting at the very least.
Heard Wakefield was pretty interesting at the very least.