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September 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes October 14th

ascii42

Member
Seriously, what does ms do at this point? How much do you keep investing in co marketing and giving away games before you throw your hands up?

Well, they are better off than Sony was with the PS3 early on, in the US at least. Not sure they'll want to burn as much cash as Sony had to, though.
 

cakely

Member
so i guess destiny did better on xb1 in US atleast because it seems weird them not mentioning it. i guess the bungie fanbase mostly is on xbox still atleast in the US

You could guess that.

I mean, it would be wildly inaccurate, but you could guess that.
 

Xando

Member
Microsoft bundled for free last month with a download code, plus a happy ending massage. And four games for free. And kinect.

November Xbox sales will be amazing. They need to give the machine for free.

Thats what everyone thought about Titanfall month.
 
Why are people acting like PS4 outselling XB1 is a big surprise and that XB1 is doomed? Wasn't PS4 winning due to Destiny always expected?

Maybe the Pachter predictions gave some people / xbox fans hope? Misguided hope, but hope nonetheless.

Thats what everyone thought about Titanfall month.

Forget November. I'm calling September 2015 as the month where the xbone takes off and flies to the stratosphere.
 
Why are people acting like PS4 outselling XB1 is a big surprise and that XB1 is doomed? Wasn't PS4 winning due to Destiny always expected?

Pachter actually convinced a few people to doubt it...it SHOULD have been clear in everyone's mind, though.

But I thought it would just a little more than double August's numbers.

I didn't think it would go TRIPLE. That's pretty incredible.
 
I'm thinking Destiny wasn't mentioned because it sold more on 360. There are a lot of 360s out there and a lot of people have not upgraded to current generation yet. Just a thought.
 

Ethelwulf

Member
What we NEED to do is ban Pachter prediction threads. They really are no better than threads devoted to Chartzzzzzz numberzzz.

It would be nice to create a permutation test with 10,000 random repetitions to see if Pachter's predictions are better than random. A binary vector with 1 for Pachter being correct and 0 for wrong would suffice. Then create 10,000 randomized vectors and see how many times he scored higher than random.
 

RowdyReverb

Member
Thats what everyone thought about Titanfall month.

Titanfall's problem was that it was multiplat. There are 2 XB1 exclusives coming out in the next month and 1 next-gen exclusive that's bundled with the XB1. Plus the CoD:AW bundle and white console. They stand a chance next month of ending the losing streak, but we'll see.
 

EL CUCO

Member
So...Patcher was wrong!?

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