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CBO score released on ACHA - 14 million - 2018 - 24 million more uninsured 2026

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AndyD

aka andydumi
They are going to tout the line after that which claims after 2019 Premiums would then go down lower than ACA premiums. They will argue temporary pain for long term gain. Though I do not see how CBO can actually suggest premiums will decline
If there are no minimum coverage requirements, we will have skinny coverage plans for pennies again. Worthless but cheap.
 
Why don't people just get a job and make enough money to get health insurance? Why should I pay so that people can get handouts without working for it? /s
 

Maxim726X

Member

Yeah... Yeah, that makes sense.

ain't california's attempt just starting? i guess if any single state has the population to make the math work i guess this'll be the one. maybe it can ride the anti-AHCA wave for better PR

Disagree, this needs to be done at a federal level to get the funding necessary... And in order to ensure proper leverage, nationalized insurance makes the most sense.
 

Exile20

Member
let's look at the Pros and Cons starting with the Cons.


Con: More people uninsured in 2026 than pre- ACA but full on recession 2009.

Pro: $34 billion per year less deficit spending in a $3.5 trillion spending budget to go with an $800 billion tax cut for rich people


Yeah, I can stop there.

Also he added another $54 billion to the military which goes to all these defense contractors.
 

tbm24

Member
The spin that this is about quality of coverage instead of just coverage is insulting. It's no surprised they don't actually care about everyone in need getting coverage, but they just care about their selected few to get what they want.
 

old

Member
From Breitbart

Trump admitted that it would take a few years to fully fix the insurance marketplace, but promised that it would be “a thing of beauty” when completed. He was critical of the media for reporting that Obamacare was doing well.


He's already moving the goal post. He's admitting it's going to be worse in the short term. But trust him, eventually sometime in the future the when the marketplace is "fixed" everything will be good. Just tell your cancer "to hold off another 4 or 5 years. The marketplace needs time to fix."

Of course that will never come. Just like Brownback, who has lead Kansas into economic ruin with trickle down economics, those Job Creators in Kansas will show up any day now. It's been years and no sight of these fabled Job Creators, but trust Brownback, they are coming........eventually.......maybe.
 

sangreal

Member
The spin that this is about quality of coverage instead of just coverage is insulting. It's no surprised they don't actually care about everyone in need getting coverage, but they just care about their selected few to get what they want.

mind you, one of the provisions in the bill is bringing back plans that don't cover anything useful at all. Such quality
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.
 

MadeULook

Member
Guys, don't worry. Those 14 million are only losing healthcare because they choose not to have healthcare. Not because of this new plan. Either that or they should skip out on the latest iPhone to afford it.

There is a special place in hell for the GOP and Paul Ryan.
 

KHarvey16

Member
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

It isn't disingenuous. Their presence on the rolls and their premium payments are necessary to the whole thing. Even the republicans recognize this fact. Losing healthy people is very, very bad.
 

RevoDS

Junior Member
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

I'm sure they're going to agree with that when they voluntarily drop the insurance, get sick and die because they don't have the money to pay for healthcare.

Yep. That's exactly what will happen. Thank god the GOP was there to give them the choice.
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

Man, this is probably the weirdest defense I've read for this yet.
 

Chumly

Member
It's worth pointing out that the CBO did say a good portion of the 14 million are leaving voluntarily due to the mandate repeal. So the word "Lose" is slightly misleading.

But nonetheless, if they do get sick, they're SOL regardless of whether they were forced off or left off voluntarily.
If you can't afford the premiums due to increases and/or losing subsidies I would call that losing health insurance. Some of those people might be technically "voluntarily" losing coverage but honestly it amounts to the same thing.
 

Nafai1123

Banned
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

It's still considered a "loss" because those people are losing healthcare and the market is losing those premiums. Regardless of whether they want healthcare or not, it's necessary for younger healthy people to pay into the system for it to actually work.
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

insurance works by having large numbers of people paying into a system, even when healthy, so that the money flowing in can pay for the care of whoever needs it at any given time. expanding health care coverage essential means forcing everyone in society to be involved, whether via a mandate or tax revenue directly paying for a public option/single-payer system.


edit:also, yeah accidents and other unexpected care. if you didn't want health insurance, but then you go to the ER for some surprise health issue or accident, suddenly the system is facing the prospect of eating the costs of saving your life, which in turn would have to be baked into the costs charged for everything else. being willing to take your chances doesn't really make you immortal.
 

AndyD

aka andydumi
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.
The point is even young invincibles can affect costs for everyone else. Car accident and they go to ER, don't pay on a half million bill, is one classic example. They are part of society, their health can affect society, hence they need to participate in insurance scheme.
 
This is absolutely great news. I cant wait for millions of people to lose their insurance. Its to bad for the people that didn't vote for trump though. Its not untill this country reaches rock bottom that serious change can take effect.

All these old fuckers who vote Republican year after year need to learn there is a consequence for your voting ignorance. Have fun going into insurmountable debt at 62.
 

sangreal

Member
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

There are literally zero people that don't want healthcare. There are people that can afford it, people who can't afford it, and people who can afford it but have other priorities. Oh, and people who get it heavily subsidized by their employer instead of the government

The rejection of the ACA was not because people want to die when they get sick or because they think they can afford cancer treatment without any coverage. People who previously had insurance hate the ACA because prices went up. People who didn't, hate the ACA because the coverage is expensive and most plans have shifted to the Republican model of HDHP+HSA which doesn't help most people so they end up paying for nothing. People who could afford it but refuse to because "it won't happen to me" and they would rather buy other luxuries are just shortsighted, not suicidal. People who couldn't afford it received subsidies. Cheap businesses hated the ACA because healthcare is expensive and labor is plentiful so they don't want to cover their employees

None of these groups had the position of "who needs healthcare anyway?"
 
This is absolutely great news. I cant wait for millions of people to lose their insurance. Its to bad for the people that didn't vote for trump though. Its not untill this country reaches rock bottom that serious change can take effect.

All these old fuckers who vote Republican year after year need to learn there is a consequence for your voting ignorance. Have fun going into insurmountable debt at 62.

trump-universal-government-healthcare.jpg


#HeLies
 

Chumly

Member
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.
The vast majority didn't just get insurance because of the fine. The majority on ACA are getting tax credits. With those generous tax credits going away most of them will effectively lose coverage due to not being able to afford it.
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

FUCK THIS.

14 million people will lose it from MEDICAID.

7 million will lose it from EMPLOYER INSURANCE

2 million from the ACA Marketplaces

1 million from other.

C600zUHXUAE6Q43.jpg



And for the record, the 2 million losing from the ACA Marketplace aka non-group insurance will be old people losing insurance they NEED and WANT and being replaces by young, well off healthy people who currently pay the mandate fine instead of insurance.
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine?

Not that many, IMO. The penalty is easily avoided so long as your employer does not offer you a plan and the least expensive marketplace plan in your state exceeds 8% of your income.

I would guess that the majority of losses will come from Medicaid coverage being dropped and employers dropping plans.
 

Kill3r7

Member
The vast majority didn't just get insurance because of the fine. The majority on ACA are getting tax credits. With those generous tax credits going away most of them will effectively lose coverage due to not being able to afford it.

Not true for most young healthy individuals. The "Penalty" was put in place to incentivize
such individuals to join and contribute to making the overall plan work.

http://www.npr.org/2016/08/21/490852980/the-young-invincibles-a-huge-hurdle-for-obamacare
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.
We can talk about how many of those people were forced to buy into insurance, but likewise I'd like to see how many of that group ended up seeing tangible benefits from having that coverage.

When you have it you tend to use it, which is great for preventative care. And those involuntary buyers still had a real safety net in case of problems.
 
Wow. I guess 24 million is the estimate if the economy went on its curreypace, hasn't collapsed or we did not experience recession from now till 2026? The way premiums are going, tax cuts on those who don't need it across the board.. i guess sick people can go fuck themselves? According to Ryan?
 
Funny thing is the 330 billion in savings is coming from medicaid changes moving costs to states. Should read new 330 billion liability for state budgets...
 

MadeULook

Member
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

You do realize it's saying that up to 24 million people who are currently insured will lose Medicade alone? That's not even taking things such as employer insurance into account. That alone is pretty fucking horrifying. People are going to die if this bill gets passed.
 
Not true for most young healthy individuals. The "Penalty" was put in place to incentivize
such individuals to join and contribute to making the overall plan work.

http://www.npr.org/2016/08/21/490852980/the-young-invincibles-a-huge-hurdle-for-obamacare

And it largely hasn't worked because the fine is still too low.

Most of the people getting insurance are doing it because the tax credits are worth it, not because of the fine alone.

The ACA markets still aren't young and healthy enough (but are getting better).
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
I'm surprised they're not up there simply repeating "what CBO report? Haven't heard of it." It'd be better than whatever bullshit they're trying right now.
 

Chumly

Member
Not true for most young healthy individuals. The "Penalty" was put in place to incentivize
such individuals to join and contribute to making the overall plan work.

http://www.npr.org/2016/08/21/490852980/the-young-invincibles-a-huge-hurdle-for-obamacare
You literally just proved my point. Currently young healthy people are not buying coverage. Therefore they are not losing coverage. The vast majority of the people on ACA are older or sicker. The people that buy insurance to just avoid the penalty is small.
 
I think the ACHA is awful for a lot of reasons, but how many of that 14-24 million are people who never wanted healthcare but had to get it to avoid a fine? It seems to me that if 14 million people didn't want it before, and will drop it after ACHA, it's a bit disingenuous to frame the situation as people "losing" their insurance.

No one WANTS healthcare. But at some point everyone will NEED it. That's why all of us should share the cost. And in the long run doing so lowers the cost burden for all because eventually everyone will get old and sick. When you're old the young will pay to decrease the burden on you. If you skimp out on paying when you're young you don't deserve healthcare when you're old.
 

pigeon

Banned
They are going to tout the line after that which claims after 2019 Premiums would then go down lower than ACA premiums. They will argue temporary pain for long term gain. Though I do not see how CBO can actually suggest premiums will decline

They are explicit about it. Average premiums will decline because plans will get worse and older people will simply stop buying insurance because they can't afford it. Since insurance companies will be allowed to charge older people up to five times more than younger people, there's plenty of room to price out all older, sicker people while still lowering the premium for younger people.
 
They are explicit about it. Average premiums will decline because plans will get worse and older people will simply stop buying insurance because they can't afford it. Since insurance companies will be allowed to charge older people up to five times more than younger people, there's plenty of room to price out all older, sicker people while still lowering the premium for younger people.

To expand on this:

C6095K6U4AAz5AI.jpg


A 64 year old earning $26.5l will see a 750% increase which will be more than half of what they make in a year.

And that's the AVERAGE.

In a rural area, it will be worse.

In fact, there will be many places in rural America where your insurance costs will be higher than your wages.
 

Volimar

Member
Rachel Maddow MSNBC‏Verified account @maddow 5m5 minutes ago

24 million people losing insurance is roughly equivalent to the population of:

VT
AL
ND
SD
DE
MT
RI
ME
NH
ID
WV
NE
NM
KS
WY

**combined**.
 
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