crazy monkey
Banned
still sticking with it. It is not going above JW I think.
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The Force Awakens Box Office Prediction
- Thread starter 3N16MA
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still sticking with it. It is not going above JW I think.
It is surpassing 1.45B.
Vestal
Gold Member
Would love to see how your math works for that.
This movie will do 2billion WW without breaking a sweat.
Soapbox Killer
Grand Nagus
Maybe I should have taken his(SCULLIBUNDO) bet.
shattyboombatty
Member
OW: 265 million
Exterminieren
Banned
Holy fucking shit.
Now we need another site to one-up them and give us a $300M prediction. DO IT.
evil solrac v3.0
Member
this is like tracking a historic snowstorm or something.
I still don't think it will beat Avatar.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Disney's official estimate is "at least 215 million" so while that's stil breaking JW's record (which is fucking nuts all by itself, really) it's 45 mil less than Deadline's new upper range. Also 15 mil less than the prediction that sparked off the latest round of speculation on this film's prospects at the box-office a week ago.
What was Jurassic World's opening weekend again? 205m?
Bobby Roberts
Banned
208, I think. Just shy of 209.
2015 will close with 3 of the top 5 OW weekends all-time.
2015 will close with 3 of the top 5 OW weekends all-time.
Hero_of_the_Day
Member
You can't change your bet after the race has begun!
I'm still shocked at Jurassic World. No one saw that coming.
airmangataosenai
Member
The kind of extrapolation people here used to predict SW not outgrossing JW opening weekend is very similar to the logic used to say Trump can't win the nomination used by pundits: latching on to meaningless metrics like past December results and ignoring the evidence of much larger trends. We've seen for months the fever pitch of anticipation. The trailers racking up record hits, and the instant sell outs and yet people kept pointing tote fucking Hobbit as a significant data point for their predictions.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
That was pretty fun, yeah.
edit: lotta "I told you so's" from people all over the internet who don't really pay attention to any of this shit with any reliability, though. Kinda diminishes the punch of that toldja. Winning a ring toss aint the same as scoring a medal in the hammer throw, yunno?
Hindsight is like a rearview that says "objects in mirror may look smarter than they appear"
edit: lotta "I told you so's" from people all over the internet who don't really pay attention to any of this shit with any reliability, though. Kinda diminishes the punch of that toldja. Winning a ring toss aint the same as scoring a medal in the hammer throw, yunno?
Hindsight is like a rearview that says "objects in mirror may look smarter than they appear"
Bobby Roberts
Banned
248 mil OW.
And $529M worldwide.
SamuelSupreme
Banned
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Perfect Chaos indeed:
THE WINNER
That's kinda fuckin crazy.
Your runners-up:
SECOND PLACE
THIRD PLACE
THE WINNER
That's kinda fuckin crazy.
Your runners-up:
SECOND PLACE
THIRD PLACE
Holy shit
Well according to Perfect Chaos:
$3.8 bil incoming. laaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaater avatar
LOLSHOCK!!!
Might have been a lot closer if it opened in ChinaWell, he/she is off on OW WW by over $100 million, so maybe adjust final tallies for possible chaotic inflation.
Indeed. I'm predicting a $69 million opening weekend for them, although it would have been closer to $75 million if it opened at the same time as everywhere else.
Soapbox Killer
Grand Nagus
BronsonLee
Member
Lol Perfect Chaos got the domestic opening weekend right and promptly totally fucked up eeeeeverything else
Vault Dweller 111
Member
Congrats to perfectchoas. But 3 billion international? Lol
perfectchaos007
Member
Don't worry guys I'm taking matters in my own hands if I have to. Going to see it On Wednesday and bringing a friend. 3 billion is imminent
Soapbox Killer
Grand Nagus
Yo Perfect, can I get some PowerBall numbers please. I mean you nailed it buy less than 900k. I'm pretty sure you would have won both showcases.
Pai Pai Master
Banned
you have my saber. gonna treat the whole family when i see em this week.
To think this actually almost happened.
This seems like it may end up shockingly accurate.
Matt_
World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
Yautja_Warrior
Member
I said it before, but I think it will be the biggest movie ever, when it's finished it's run, passing Avatar, Titanic and Jurassic World to be the number one movie.
Looking at Box Office Mojo's figures, in 17 days Avatar had done $352,114,898, and Star Wars TFA has already done $742,208,942 in the same amount of time, so if it carries on like that, it looks like it will beat Avatar.
So my prediction is Star Wars TFA will finish as the biggest movie ever (so far) with a final worldwide total of around $3 billion, passing Avatar's final worldwide total of $2,787,965,087
Looking at Box Office Mojo's figures, in 17 days Avatar had done $352,114,898, and Star Wars TFA has already done $742,208,942 in the same amount of time, so if it carries on like that, it looks like it will beat Avatar.
So my prediction is Star Wars TFA will finish as the biggest movie ever (so far) with a final worldwide total of around $3 billion, passing Avatar's final worldwide total of $2,787,965,087
LFMartins86
Member
As much as I would like it to, it won´t. Avatar had freakish long legs and it was more of a technical achievement than a movie. People we´re flocking to theaters and going back time and time again because they had never seen anything like that. Also the $ was way weaker back then which means that for Star Wars to equal Avatar, it has to bring 20 to 25% more audience worldwide than Avatar did.
Yes, it's way ahead domestically and will pass Avatar today in that regard, but it's way behind overseas and has no chance to beat it worldwide. Beating Titanic worldwide ($2.18b) for #2 is the goal.
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