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NPD Sales Results for October 2015 [Up1: Xbox #1]

Striek

Member
Just Dance has come to the end of the Guitar Hero
and Wii
cycle. Shone like a bright beautiful star, crashed without a whimper. Fads, ladies and gentlemen, what a ride.
 

heidern

Junior Member
The point that I am brining up is that if you are going to use past data to predict the future then you have to make sure that you are comparing apples to apples. You have to normalize your data before you compare it. If you don't then there could be trends in your data that don't exist in reality. For example you are trying to make the case that a change in game type composition and mobile sales are leading to reduced PS4 and XB1 sales. Well if any reduction in sales can be attributed to the simple fact that the new consoles are less subsidized then there is no need to come up with another explanation.

If you also normalise for the fact that the PS3 launched at $600 then you could make the case that things are worse than they seem right now. Same if you normalise for the fact that there may have been pent up demand due to the extended PS3/360 life cycle or the aggressive price movement MS have made this gen so far. Feel free to do a normalised statistical analysis, I haven't seen anyone do one yet.

What we are seeing with these two trends is that if a platform is not pushing boundaries and focusing in on performance, then its offerings will become a commodity. Once that happens its audience can jump to another platform that offers a better value by providing a similar gaming experience in addition to other functionality.

This is what happened in Japan. Japanese publishers reduced how they pushed the boundaries on consoles due to the increasingly unaffordable development costs and the audience shifted towards handhelds as the primary gaming device. Being the primary gaming device sales of both 3DS and Vita have been more resilient in Japan than elsewhere.

If the same happens to western developers and it comes to a point where they can't keep up with development costs then a similar shift towards handhelds is also possible in the future. Handhelds are not just competing with mobiles for game time outside the home. They are competing with mobiles, tablets and consoles within the home. That competition is on a variety of metrics such as price, convenience, features/differentiation, software etc. It could be as simple as people getting touchscreen fatigue on mobile similar to how you get franchise fatigue on Assassins Creed and then consoles/handhelds offering some snazzy feature to reignite more interest than ever in the dedicated space.
 

Hastati

Member
giphy.gif

I did not realize that George Clooney was an owl
 

Vena

Member
toz ~ 58k
d5 ~ 26k
dq ~ 31k

jd2016 ~ 38k, Wii ~ 39%

AC: PS4 ~ 57%
Toraifōsu ~ 83k
robo ~ 35k
wooly ~ 165k
transformers ~ 38k

Somewhere, someone is crying that Chibi-Robo outsold both D5 and DQH. But, for D5 at least, that number is probably fine... the numbers on Zestiria and DQH, on the other hand, are not.

Woolly did better than I expected, and Triforce is doing fine for what was likely a 10$ budget. I have no idea what to make of the Chibi-Robo numbers.
 

Sandfox

Member
Somewhere, someone is crying that Chibi-Robo outsold both D5 and DQH. But, for D5 at least, that number is probably fine... the numbers on Zestiria and DQH, on the other hand, are not.

Woolly did better than I expected, and Triforce is doing fine for what was likely a 10$ budget. I have no idea what to make of the Chibi-Robo numbers.

Tales at least had some people migrate to PC.

I commented on Chibi Robo selling more than Disgaea and DQ, but that has more to do with Chibi Robo selling more than I expected lol.
 

Vena

Member
Tales at least had some people migrate to PC.

I commented on Chibi Robo selling more than Disgaea and DQ, but that has more to do with Chibi Robo selling more than I expected lol.

Yes, PC did considerably better than the PS4 release.

Chibi-Robo probably got hauled up by the amiibo bundle, it certainly didn't have any advertisement aimed at it.
 

Pranay

Member
Yes, PC did considerably better than the PS4 release.

Chibi-Robo probably got hauled up by the amiibo bundle, it certainly didn't have any advertisement aimed at it.

It did 90k world wide and among them only 30% sale was from na
Ie basically 30k

30k for a game which was 10$ less and had a free game for pre order isn't great imo
 

ULTROS!

People seem to like me because I am polite and I am rarely late. I like to eat ice cream and I really enjoy a nice pair of slacks.
Yes, PC did considerably better than the PS4 release.

Chibi-Robo probably got hauled up by the amiibo bundle, it certainly didn't have any advertisement aimed at it.

Isn't SteamSpy worldwide compared to the sales here = US? It's hard to say what the sales are worldwide for PS4.

Then again, ToZ had a poorer debut compared to ToX I believe (NPD).
 

Vena

Member
We already have exact numbers!

So, where we sitting on XCX?
After I purchase a million copies.

Isn't SteamSpy worldwide compared to the sales here = US? It's hard to say what the sales are worldwide for PS4.

Then again, ToZ had a poorer debut compared to ToX I believe (NPD).

It did 90k world wide and among them only 30% sale was from na
Ie basically 30k

30k for a game which was 10$ less and had a free game for pre order isn't great imo

Oh, you know what, you're probably right on that. My mistake on the steam-spy numbers then. I generally associate it with "west" which won't necessarily be limited to just the US.
 

jjonez18

Member
Anyone get exact numbers with the pie?

I'm getting the exact same numbers that NPD_George gave.

What do other Musous games usually sell? Guessing DQH isn't up to that tier.

Nothing like Cream and Pies. Thanks.

EDIT:

Halo5 bundle < Uncharted bundle

And that would put the Halo Bundle somewhere around/under 150k. Seeing as how UC sold below Yoshi's 165k but is over 300k with bundles.

Halo 5 is probably under 800k then.
 

Bruno MB

Member
Tales of series seems in total decline since the release of Tales of Xillia which sold 100,000 units in its first month, just 18,500 units behind Tales of Symphonia.
 
TOZ did in line with what tales does even more so if you add in the PC sales and DD .
The series is not very big .
DQH did bad but then again i don't know how much you could expect from that .
 

ULTROS!

People seem to like me because I am polite and I am rarely late. I like to eat ice cream and I really enjoy a nice pair of slacks.
Tales of series seems in total decline since the release of Tales of Xillia which sold 100,000 units in its first month, just 18,500 units behind Tales of Symphonia.

Maybe it's time for Tales to disappear again in the West for 5 years!

... Or make a better quality Tales game
I don't hate Zestiria but it's incredibly half-assed, compared to Xillia, and Xillia was kinda half-assed too in the end.
 

Sandfox

Member
Tales of series seems in total decline since the release of Tales of Xillia which sold 100,000 units in its first month, just 18,500 units behind Tales of Symphonia.
The Tales series seems to be in decline WW from what I've seen.
TOZ did in line with what tales does even more so if you add in the PC sales .
It should've done better than previous Tales games IMO.
Wouldn't cream's Zesteria number include the PS3 version?

That just makes it worse.

Maybe it's time for Tales to disappear again in the West for 5 years!

... Or make a better quality Tales game
I don't hate Zestiria but it's incredibly half-assed, compared to Xillia, and Xillia was kinda half-assed too in the end.

There was quite a few internal changes around the time Xillia came out and it shows. It also looks like they are being given less money to work with as well.
 

Bruno MB

Member
For some reason I thought Tales of Xillia 2 did better but it only sold 43,000 units. Well, at least we can't say that with Tales of Zestira the series is on decline.

Tales of Graces f sold 62,000.

All these figures are first month only.
 
Wait people do know that tales is a very low selling series over here right ?
Tales of Graces F: ~63K
Tales of Xillia: ~103K
Tales of Xillia 2: ~44K
First month sales not counting DD
 
I always felt tales would do better on a Nintendo platform rather then on pc.

I highly agree. Symphonia did better than Xillia as pointed out above on a much lower install base and a likely less RPG popular system (if you know what I mean, PS3 was the RPG console last gen).

Dawn of the New World did very comparable numbers to Vesperia in NA didn't it?

On top of that, didn't Abyss 3DS sell quite well, especially for being a basic port of a 7 year-old game at the time?
 

watdaeff4

Member
Only the most hardcore would buy pay $500 for that bundle.
Yep

Could get other XB1 SKUs plus Halo on the side for less than the bundle. That bundle was about maximizing profits off the hardcore, not pushing consoles.

With a $150 price difference I'm not for sure why people are acting so surprised.

These same people must have been even more shocked last Nov/Dec when XB1 had more sales which were primarily driven due to price differences
 

Bruno MB

Member
I highly agree. Symphonia did better than Xillia as pointed out above on a much lower install base and a likely less RPG popular system (if you know what I mean, PS3 was the RPG console last gen).

Dawn of the New World did very comparable numbers to Vesperia in NA didn't it?

On top of that, didn't Abyss 3DS sell quite well, especially for being a basic port of a 7 year-old game at the time?

Tales of Vesperia - 37,000 (1 month)
Tales of Symphonia: Dawn of the New World - 96,000 (2 months)
Tales of the Abyss 3DS - 30,000 (1 month)
 
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