December 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes January 13

May 24, 2012
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The real news will be in NPD january. December both consoles sold very well.
The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
 
Feb 18, 2012
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The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.
I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.
 
Oct 27, 2006
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I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.


Well I'm curious to see the numbers, there are so many dynamics at play it will be very interesting.
 
May 24, 2012
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The Wii U only did 220k in November. If it breaks 500K for December, I'd be surprised.
223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.
 

Scum

Junior Member
Jun 8, 2004
23,430
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London, England
The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
I will. I'm going for 224k.
 
Sep 2, 2006
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223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.
I wouldn't be surprised if it were just that, or even worse, around the same ball park.
 
Jun 18, 2005
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Wii U isn't going to do better than its launch month. Let's not get crazy here.
There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively. Quite frankly, if it does less than that, it's officially dead (and of course, it may well be).

Even the "revived" DS and 3DS never had a dead December.
 

Pie and Beans

Look for me on the local news, I'll be the guy arrested for trying to burn down a Nintendo exec's house.
Apr 23, 2010
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This is the chart to keep track of regards WiiU disaster level:


I'm sure the guy that does them, thanks Terry Travis!, is ready and raring for the December update.

If it was suddenly a straight line flat across to another 250k like number, that would be historically appalling. Like... no. I don't think it can get that bad with the Christmas effect in play.
 
Dec 13, 2013
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There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively.
Uh... You do know that 425k and 460k in a month in one country for a Console Launch is actually quite good right?

The PS4 and Xbox One sales are Unprecedented due to supply, they are not the rule for Console Gaming Launches.
 
Jun 7, 2007
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The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
 
Aug 25, 2013
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The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
u wot m8
google search interest? haha
 
Sep 2, 2006
17,959
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twitter.com
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I searched the term "Wii U" several thousand times.
 

Rebel Leader

THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
Jan 21, 2007
29,476
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The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
Woah on here folks we got someone using math