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December 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes January 13

B

beast786

Member
The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.
 
B

bigboss370

Member
Aquamarine said:
t1389915000z1.png


A little more than 24 hours remain until the NPD season is among us!
Click to expand...

damn, I'm gonna miss the party lol
 
A

Aquamarine

Member
allan-bh said:
The real news will be in NPD january. December both consoles sold very well.
Click to expand...

The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
 
P

Pie and Beans

Look for me on the local news, I'll be the guy arrested for trying to burn down a Nintendo exec's house.
Dreamcast sold just shy of 450k in its December, so I guess thats the figure to beat!
 
D

Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
Wii U isn't going to do better than its launch month. Let's not get crazy here.
 
D

Delusibeta

Banned
beast786 said:
The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.
Click to expand...

I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.
 
Z

Zuhzuhzombie!!

Member
beast786 said:
The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.
Click to expand...

The fact that it's not selling means it should dominate a console constantly sold out?

I don't see your logic.
 
3

3rdamention

Member
Delusibeta said:
I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.
Click to expand...



Well I'm curious to see the numbers, there are so many dynamics at play it will be very interesting.
 
A

Aquamarine

Member
Averon said:
The Wii U only did 220k in November. If it breaks 500K for December, I'd be surprised.
Click to expand...

223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.
 
S

Scum

Junior Member
Aquamarine said:
The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
Click to expand...
I will. I'm going for 224k.
 
L

Linkhero1

Member
Aquamarine said:
223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.
Click to expand...

I wouldn't be surprised if it were just that, or even worse, around the same ball park.
 
V

Version 3.0

Member
Zefah said:
Wii U isn't going to do better than its launch month. Let's not get crazy here.
Click to expand...

There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively. Quite frankly, if it does less than that, it's officially dead (and of course, it may well be).

Even the "revived" DS and 3DS never had a dead December.
 
P

Pie and Beans

Look for me on the local news, I'll be the guy arrested for trying to burn down a Nintendo exec's house.
This is the chart to keep track of regards WiiU disaster level:
kRW3ZlW.png


I'm sure the guy that does them, thanks Terry Travis!, is ready and raring for the December update.

If it was suddenly a straight line flat across to another 250k like number, that would be historically appalling. Like... no. I don't think it can get that bad with the Christmas effect in play.
 
K

Kiote

Member
Leondexter said:
There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively.
Click to expand...

Uh... You do know that 425k and 460k in a month in one country for a Console Launch is actually quite good right?

The PS4 and Xbox One sales are Unprecedented due to supply, they are not the rule for Console Gaming Launches.
 
C

Captain Smoker

Member
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
 
D

Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
Do we typically get NPD number holding leakers in these threads?
 
T

theprodigy

Member
Captain Smoker said:
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
Click to expand...

u wot m8
google search interest? haha
 
L

Linkhero1

Member
Captain Smoker said:
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
Click to expand...
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I searched the term "Wii U" several thousand times.
 
R

Rebel Leader

THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
Captain Smoker said:
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
Click to expand...

Woah on here folks we got someone using math
 
M

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
I'm seriously interested in seeing how Wii U fared, not just next gen obviously. It could be an indication of how much rampant the rage will be on January 30th.
 
Majmun

Majmun

Member
That struggling consoles chart....
I did't know Wii U was tracking behind the Dreamcast. I just can't believe it.
 
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