JB1981 said:
But it certainly won't take 1080p that long. Like I said before, 720p was and is a stop-gap resolution. By the time both of these consoles hit their stride 1080p will be everywhere.
It depends on what you mean by "everywhere". The problem is there wont be sufficient market forces in play to move 1080p TVs unless the prices are right.
For network TV, cable, and satellite, 1080p broadcasts will be virtually nonexistent. They don't have the plant capacity, and even if they did, they'd just use it to cram more channels in their respective line-up- like they do now. Considering that most people use their TV to watch broadcast content, I find it unlikely that this will be a prime mover for 1080p.
HD movies will be delivered at 1080p via disc, but it will take a while for Bluray and HD-DVD player prices to hit a price point that pushes mass market acceptance. That price certainly isnt $500-$1,000. Its more likely in the $199-$299 range and lower. Thus, 1080p HD movies wont be a real mover until players are attractive to the mass market. It could take upwards of two years for player prices to hit mass market acceptance.
If history tells us anything, its that HDTV adoption has been plodding. Most of the reason for this is a lack of broadcast content, and theyve simply been unaffordable for the majority of people. The best arrow in the 1080p quiver is how well CE manufacturers are able to manage pricing for 1080p sets- at least until analog broadcasts are shut down in 2009.
In the short term, I dont think that price will be low enough to move 1080p sets sufficiently. When one considers all of the people who havent jumped in at 720p/1080i thus far, I dont see how theyll suddenly want to buy into higher priced 1080p sets while *more affordable* 720p sets are sitting on store shelves. Without mass market pricing, or affordable content for two+ years, I just cant see how 1080p will become the standard anytime soon.