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[FTF]

When I predicted mid-70 million for IT, I forgot to adjust for inflation, so I actually meant $106 million.

lol nice try.

 

[Anth0ny]

The thing that's most crazy about It doing this well is the subject matter itself.

An R-rated Jesus movie? Sure.

An R-rated comic book movies? That's funny.


An R-rated horror movie with a creepy ass clown that will probably give a lot of people nightmares? How the fuck are there $100m+ worth of people willing to watch that on a Friday or Saturday date night? lol

box office never fails to surprise me

 

[Pagusas]

So is Dark Tower officially a bomb?

 

[kswiston]

Horror has always been popular with the younger crowds. I think that IT is one of those rare horror films that is also going to draw the olds.

 

[Random Human]

The thing that's most crazy about It doing this well is the subject matter itself.

An R-rated Jesus movie? Sure.

An R-rated comic book movies? That's funny.


An R-rated horror movie with a creepy ass clown that will probably give a lot of people nightmares? How the fuck are there $100m+ worth of people willing to watch that on a Friday or Saturday date night? lol

box office never fails to surprise me

You can look at it that way, but another way to look at it is: it's a horror movie, it's based on a really popular book by a really popular author, it hits the 80s nostalgia that is in right now, it's coming off the similar Stranger Things, it's got a bit of its own nostalgia from the miniseries, and its marketing has been very effective.

 

[Cvie]

So with the box office being down this year what are analysts attributing it to? Franchise fatigue? Other entertainment sectors taking money/attention?

Rotten Tomatoes.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1430423


well its execs and not analysts but close enough lol

 

[kswiston]

The box office was at record levels for the first 4-5 months this year. Summer just sucked in terms of bigger films that connected with audiences.

 

[Obliterator]

I am pretty sure mine was below $1 billion. I predicted $950 million WW and $350 million DOM and it looks like the end result will be $330 million DOM and $900 million worldwide.

Not that bad TBH.

The rest of GAF prediction as collected by BGE don't show easy $1B predictions.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=242526621&postcount=411

Damn if I put the WW total just a tad lower I would've nailed Spidey. I predicted $330 domestic, $900 WW

 

[RoboPlato]

The box office was at record levels for the first 4-5 months this year. Summer just sucked in terms of bigger films that connected with audiences.

The summer box office take is so bizarre to me because I think July was the strongest single month of releases in my lifetime.

 

[Discotheque]

The summer box office take is so bizarre to me because I think July was the strongest single month of releases in my lifetime.

It's the best summer for film in quite a while.

 

[Sgt. Kabukiman]

When I predicted mid-70 million for IT, I forgot to adjust for inflation, so I actually meant $106 million.

Yeah, I get you. My own prediction was in space dollars, I forgot to convert it.
I actually meant $106.1M.

 

[DarkLordMalik]

I will gladly eat crow over IT. My prediction was an opening above $55 million but less than or equal to 70 million at the best. Needless to say, it completely blew it away by a WIDE margin.

I am also getting hyped after all the good reviews and WOM for the movie. I have never watched IT completely, neither read the book. Although I do know the basic plot summary and have seen bits and pieces of it from the 2 parts that aired on TV. It is easily my most anticipated movie this month.

 

[kswiston]

The summer box office take is so bizarre to me because I think July was the strongest single month of releases in my lifetime.

What films are you referring to specifically? This July was oddly light on wide releases.

Spider-man and Dunkirk obviously did well. War for the Planet of the Apes came in under projections, and Valerian bombed. Girls Trip did really well for its budget. The Emoji movie and Atomic Blonde did alright.

Once you get past those 7, the next highest grossing film was Detroit (technically an August wide release) with less than $17M total. Wish Upon was the only other July film to see release in more than 600 venues.

The Top 10 July release cut off was The Inconvenient Truth sequel at less than $4M domestic total. The Top 10 cut off last year was BFG at $55M. The year before was Paper Towns at $32M.

Perhaps July would have compared more favourably if studios actually bothered to schedule films. April had more wide releases than July.

 

[broncobuster]

I guess September was due for a big OW at some point. October is still on the board.

If only Thor released a week earlier. January could do with a $100M OW, but I don't see that happening for quite some time.

 

[snap]

If only Thor released a week earlier. January could do with a $100M OW, but I don't see that happening for quite some time.

feel like the best chance for jan is a house of cards movie releasing same weekend as a presidential inauguration

 

[Sibersk Esto]

About to add to IT's huge gross I guess.

 

[ElBoxyBrown]

Final IT prediction: $105 million.

 

[kswiston]

Deadline's early Friday estimate for IT is $47M.

I am curious to see how things progress going into the evening shows.

 

[Anth0ny]

You can look at it that way, but another way to look at it is: it's a horror movie, it's based on a really popular book by a really popular author, it hits the 80s nostalgia that is in right now, it's coming off the similar Stranger Things, it's got a bit of its own nostalgia from the miniseries, and its marketing has been very effective.

I think you nailed it! Still blows me away that it looks like it'll be a $100m+ opening weekend. That's just crazy.

 

[Bobby Roberts]

Obvious question/Obvious Answer: That's counting Thursday previews in the overall total, correct?

An almost $50mil Friday is fucking nuts. That's probably translating to a $110+ opening weekend, yeah?

$20mil short of Deadpool's #

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Almost $50m on Friday? I am guessing $120m now.

 

[Nightwing123]

I'm happy to see IT doing great.

 

[kswiston]

Obvious question/Obvious Answer: That's counting Thursday previews in the overall total, correct?

An almost $50mil Friday is fucking nuts. That's probably translating to a $110+ opening weekend, yeah?

$20mil short of Deadpool's #

It counts Thursday, but it is still early, so that number could go up or down. Breakout films tend to be underestimated by Deadline.

Deadpool's opening night was $47M. But, its first Monday was a holiday, so Sunday was inflated.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Next week's thread title: IT floats to record opening. Competition looks into the Dead Lights.

 

[DarkLordMalik]

So this is potentially going to be the first film for Skarsgard brothers to open to $100 million considering how Alexandar failed with Tarzan.

 

[Random Human]

Next week's thread title: IT floats to record opening. Competition looks into the Dead Lights.

IT clowns the competition, floats to X

 

[PhoncipleBone]

So this is potentially going to be the first film for Skarsgard brothers to open to $100 million considering how Alexandar failed with Tarzan.

Yet they still can't match their dad being in a $200m+ opener.

 

[LordOfLore]

So this is potentially going to be the first film for Skarsgard brothers to open to $100 million considering how Alexandar failed with Tarzan.

Which was their father's first?

 

[Toa TAK]

We have a new champion of the people:

It

 

[DarkLordMalik]

Yet they still can't match their dad being in a $200m+ opener.

With all due respect to their dad, he wasn't the lead in that $200m opener.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

With all due respect to their dad, he wasn't the lead in that $200m opener.

And technically, neither was Bill Skarsgard.

 

[OrangeAtlas]

Remember that time Stellan Skarsgard got naked and ran across Stonehenge?

What movie was that again?

 

[Bobby Roberts]

Pretty sure that was Spinal Tap

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Where the demons dwell. And the banshees live, and they do live well.

 

[TARS]

Those are some huge numbers for IT. Horror is not my thing, but I might catch this in theaters. I really liked the first trailer.

Homecoming will have a big debut in China as well, and that led to Dunkirk falling hard from last Friday. I wonder if it will reach $50M now.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

IT is pretty safe even if you are not a horror fan. It was more of a fun ride with some scares throughout. The more I think about it, the more I like it. I think I might be seeing it again this weekend.

 

[DarkLordMalik]

And technically, neither was Bill Skarsgard.

Bill is IT. He is literally the lead character

Years after its release, no one will remember the kid actors unless one of them grows up to be the next Leo Di Caprio or Ryan Gosling, but they will still remember IT.

Just like Tim Curry was IT, I don't think it is unfair to discredit Bill as IT.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Bill is IT. He is literally the lead character

Years after its release, no one will remember the kid actors unless one of them grows up to be the next Leo Di Caprio or Ryan Gosling, but they will still remember IT.

Just like Tim Curry was IT, I don't think it is unfair to discredit Bill as IT.

Not discrediting him. He may be the title character, but he is not the lead in the film. But this is just getting into semantics.

 

[berzeli]

Remember that time Stellan Skarsgard got naked and ran across Stonehenge?

What movie was that again?

Stellan gets naked in so many films I can't even tell them apart at this point.

 

[Grizzlyjin]

Remember that time Stellan Skarsgard got naked and ran across Stonehenge?

What movie was that again?

Nymphomaniac Part 2

 

[broncobuster]

I recently saw a photo of Bill Skarsgard and dude has a creepy look to him. Like, I'd be more creeped out if I saw him in a dark house than his take on Pennywise. Wouldn't be surprised if his name is tossed around at Joker stand alone meetings.

 

[Buckle]

After the success of IT, I won't be surprised to see a REMAKE of it as well.

James Gunn as director please.

 

[Kenzodielocke]

I am pretty sure mine was below $1 billion. I predicted $950 million WW and $350 million DOM and it looks like the end result will be $330 million DOM and $900 million worldwide.

Not that bad TBH.

The rest of GAF prediction as collected by BGE don't show easy $1B predictions.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=242526621&postcount=411

That was way closer to release.

 

[DarkLordMalik]

That was way closer to release.

I don't know if any person would have been seriously predicting Spider-Man to gross $1 billion when the Rotten Tomatoes score wasn't even out. It was only after the movie received rave reviews that the average prediction improved.

 

[DriftingSpirit]

Just saw IT. I thought it was alright overall. I wanted more variety in the scares and more of Pennywise speaking/doing things. I enjoyed the latter half/ending. The opening was cool as well.

Just go harder with the clown stuff next time.

 

[Miles X]

Ok. NOW I'm hoping for half a bill WW for IT. If IT opens to $90/$100m domestically, I don't see why it can't hit $250m+, and then that abroad.

 

[Schlorgan]

I think my Spider-Man prediction was around $900m. I'd have to go look back at it though.

 

[kswiston]

Rth is saying $48M, maybe $49M for IT on Friday. There's still a showing or two on the west coast though, so we'll probably have a firm idea of IT's opening day in about 3 hours.

 

[Bobby Roberts]

How strong is the temptation for WB to just round shit up to $50

 

[PhoncipleBone]

I've been underestimating IT so far, except for my $17m preview ass pull. But let's give this another shot: This will come close to Deadpool's record, maybe even overtake it. Seems like perfect conditions for it.