I use this site, but is an italian site and is for the Europe.
http://www.vgnetwork.it/giochi-in-uscita/febbraio-2016/
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February 2016 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes March 8th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
I use this site, but is an italian site and is for the Europe.
http://www.vgnetwork.it/giochi-in-uscita/febbraio-2016/
Thanks, Chobel, now my bold prediction will come true!
Just to clarify again, I was referring to retail only without bundles. I don't think it's a stretch to think that Uncharted 4 will open at ~950K in May. It does have three weeks of tracking after all.
Not sure that's gonna happen mate. It's definitely bold though I'll give you that. I've no doubt it will absolutely curb stomp Halos first month sales WW but doing that in Murrica aka shooter land would be a different story altogether.
True but at the same time there is a lot of competition. In November 2011 U3 charted 7* in the cumulative chart. There were heavy hitters like Cod MW 3 , Skyrim and AC Revelations.
Anyway it will be interesting to see
Yeah, I keep forgetting that the bundle will release early so people can download the game. I could see a March Xbox win by a nose due to pre-order build-up.
I dont see Cyber Sleuth here.
Clearly you have made a mistake.
Please God, let the Digimans win one for the team
Blackleg-sanji1
Banned
U don't think naruto will chart? Hmm I figured it would
ethomaz
Banned
Yeap... I checked and Naruto 3 charted in last place.
1. Bioshock Infinite (360, PS3, PC)** Take 2 Interactive - 878K
2. Tomb Raider 2013 (360, PS3)** Square Enix Inc - Franchise high.
3. Gears of War: Judgement (360) Microsoft
4. God of War: Ascension (PS3)** Sony
5. Call of Duty: Black Ops II (360, PS3, PC, NWU)** Activision Blizzard
6. Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon (3DS) Nintendo - 365K (415K with digital, but the 415K number is an LTD)
7. MLB 13: The Show (PS3, PSV) Sony
8. NBA 2K13 (360, PS3, WII, NWU, PSP, PC)** Take 2 Interactive
9. The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct (360, PS3, NWU) Activision Blizzard
10. Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm 3 (360, PS3) Namco Bandai Games
I'm not sure.
I put Naruto out and it has better chance than Digimon.
Sorry I want to be wrong.
Edit - I put Naruto in again
My bold prediction is that Uncharted 4 will have the highest opening month of any Sony Published game ever. (Disk based games only, no bundles)
Notable Sony Opening Months
God of war 3-1100k
The Last of Us - 985k
God of War 2 - 833k
Uncharted 3 - 700k
Gran Turismo 3 - 720k with bundles
God of War Asension - 633k with bundles
Gran Turismo 4 - 620k
Honestly so long as the game has a metacritic score above 90, I would even say that it is a safe prediction. Especially if you compare it to what headlining Microsoft and Nintendo software did in their opening months.
Notable Sony Opening Months
God of war 3-1100k
The Last of Us - 985k
God of War 2 - 833k
Uncharted 3 - 700k
Gran Turismo 3 - 720k with bundles
God of War Asension - 633k with bundles
Gran Turismo 4 - 620k
Honestly so long as the game has a metacritic score above 90, I would even say that it is a safe prediction. Especially if you compare it to what headlining Microsoft and Nintendo software did in their opening months.
Gunslinger
Member
Same as last month with fire emblem at 5 and FCrimal around 6 or 7. Sfv failed. Ps4 top selling and Xbox second.
rimal around 6 or 7. Sfv failed. Ps4 top selling and Xbox second.
ethomaz
Banned
You be surprised how good Fire Emblem and FC: Primal sold I believeSame as last month with fire emblem at 5 and FC
If NPD puts FE together it could be first but if they use two positions then I guess it will be on middle.
slavesnyder
Member
Okay, bold predictions.
Cyber Sloth will chart
Minecraft will not chart (it has to stop one day)
PS4 will outsell XB1 2:1
We will have a PacMan pie, even if 3DS is included
MS PR statement will mention Rocket League and Gears of War
No GAF user will get banned in the prediction thread
Street Fighter will be 5th or worse
Ethomaz will make an incremental update to his avatar and finally take off his christmas hat
Cyber Sloth will chart
Minecraft will not chart (it has to stop one day)
PS4 will outsell XB1 2:1
We will have a PacMan pie, even if 3DS is included
MS PR statement will mention Rocket League and Gears of War
No GAF user will get banned in the prediction thread
Street Fighter will be 5th or worse
Ethomaz will make an incremental update to his avatar and finally take off his christmas hat
<3
It will stop when no man's sky takes its place.
Wow what do you reckon they'll sell then? I'm thinking PS4 will be ~400k so that's mean XB1 would have to be 200k which seems a bit low to me TBH.
So basically PS4 will absolutely dominate then. I could certainly see it with over 50%.
I'm hoping for cars demolished and goals scored myself.
Now that is bold but given the snails pace these threads have been moving at I could see it happening.
Yea that's pretty much guaranteed at this point. It might not even chart
Let's not go crazy now!
slavesnyder
Member
PS4 over 50% is doable, 2:1 is, too.
Xbox had nothing spectacular on the exclusive side, WiiU is dead, 3DS not much better.
PS4 had Street Fighter (a flop in Software sales, but could convince fans to jump into this gen) plus two great exclusive indies in Witness end january and FireWatch. I know these are no huge sales drivers, but they keep the console in the media and the momentum running.
And of course we had the CrapgamerGate, scaring off dozens of honest consumers from purchasing an XboxOne.
Nah, that's too harsh.
The Mad Draklor
Member
It would be interesting if Digimon outsold SFV for the month.
DriftingSpirit
Member
I would like it.
StrongBlackVine
Banned
I think it will chart, but not very high. It's not like February had a lot of competition.
Do you expect NPD to track both version of Fates?
Welfare
Member
With 3 versions, I think they will combine them in the Top 10 combined chart, but then have them separate in the individual chart.
ethomaz
Banned
What they did with Pokemon?
Welfare
Member
With Pokemon, they separate the versions in the Top 10, but with 3 versions, I think NPD will just combine all of FEF into one.
The bolded got me good.
I really dont see Firewatch and The Witness as hardware movers at all. Especially since neither were Retail titles (unless I'm mistaken?). These are titles that would mostly appeal to the core base that has already purchased a console. As far as Street Fighter goes... I think it has been absolutely bloodied by horrible WoM at this point which is a shame but I also think that it is partially their own fault for
- not marketing well enough to introduce consumers to the new game as a platform strategy they are taking with the game
- releasing it too early because they wanted the boon for their esport cup and their financial statement.
THe fighting community has known that SFV will be PS/PC exclusive for a long while now. I just dont see them pushing substantial numbers. Im sure many have already picked up their console knowing that it was the only one that would play SFV.
But hey thats just my gut feeling on it. I could, of course, completely wrong.
I usually am tbh. T_T
So you think they'll combine them just because there are three versions despite them being listed as separate SKUs at retail? Nah. I doubt that.
slavesnyder
Member
I think awareness and presence in the media is an important point for these downloadable indies.if you hear about games being exclusive for one console, and in the meantime nothing about the other it creates the image that one has all the games and One not.
Maybe in the long term when the next holiday season roles around they'll remember these sort of exclusives but I'm not really in agreement in their immediate appeal for would be purchasers.
spatenfloot
Member
First NON interesting month in over 2 years?
PS Store just listed Feb's top downloads, for those that put out software predictions for fun.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1193867
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1193867
Welfare
Member
Hey, I said Naruto on the PS4 would outsell SFV, so maybe the retail side will be similar.
slavesnyder
Member
Excellent. Thanks. Surprised not to see the witness. But Firewatch at #1 is great.
Guess the list is by numbers sold, would love to see one by money spent.
ConfusedGamer
Member
[PS4] 387k
[XB1] 258k
[3DS] 122K
[WIU] 62k
[XB1] 258k
[3DS] 122K
[WIU] 62k
ferrasvansen
Member
[3DS] 110k
[PS4] 390k
[WIU] 90k
[XB1] 265k
[PS4] 390k
[WIU] 90k
[XB1] 265k
archnemesis
Member
[3DS] 115k
[PS4] 395k
[WIU] 63k
[XB1] 255k
[PS4] 395k
[WIU] 63k
[XB1] 255k
slavesnyder
Member
I wonder if any rumours about incremental Xboxes will influence sales numbers. Not now of course, but if the plot thickens people could hold back purchases.
Fun thing is, we have no idea when, how and even if this will happen.
A few days ago I would have thought we will not see a next xbox-console at all. Now we might get one every other year...
Fun thing is, we have no idea when, how and even if this will happen.
A few days ago I would have thought we will not see a next xbox-console at all. Now we might get one every other year...
I don't think there would be a real difference in this vs. what happened in the past with rumors of a (typical) slim model; Especially if the "Xbox One.5" will share the exact same games as the original Xbox One.
(Continuation of discussion on page 51 of the January results thread.)
I still don't think this would be smart as the upgrades would be seen in the games and gaming features. Therefore, new models would more than likely attract both groups; People who like the latest devices/tech and people who are big gamers.
Keeping the Xbox name for each new model would give attention to the brand and help make it stay relevant in my opinion.
I still don't think this would be smart as the upgrades would be seen in the games and gaming features. Therefore, new models would more than likely attract both groups; People who like the latest devices/tech and people who are big gamers.
Keeping the Xbox name for each new model would give attention to the brand and help make it stay relevant in my opinion.
slavesnyder
Member
Rumours of a more powerful model that might be on par or surpass PS4 should make much bigger waves than a simple slim version in my opinion.
Oh, and thanks for moving over, Bgamer90.
It would but I don't think it would have a huge impact on console sales if these rumors wouldn't get going until (say) late April/May with the new model being released during June after a showing at E3.
Also, I would think the sales during the first month of the new model's launch would make up any previously lost sales of the older model due to rumors anyway.
Yep, no problem.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Obliterator says No Man's Sky is blowing expectations out of the water. It should serve as a nice buffer for PS4 in June.