Wyoming
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Lay of the Land
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Breakdown
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Delegates at Stake
12 Caucus + 6 Super Delegates. Two of which have endorsed candidate Barack Hussein Obama.
Caucus begins in the morning, last caucus location begins at 8 Eastern. Most will be finished before that time.
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Candidates
Hilliary Rodham Clinton
The Inevitable Nominee fresh from a successful firewall, still has fight in her and will do right by America, answering red phones one at time.
Barack Hussein Obama
Settle down America, It's about the delegates.
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Notes
Wyoming is a caucus vote surrounded by states that Obama has won convincingly. The African American population is under 1%. The population, while not necessarily rich, ranks 46th in terms of Unemployment. They are behind the curve technology wise, and have a big mining operation. Ranked 45th in post high school education (20.8%).
Personal prediction, Obama will beat her handily. Maybe the suffrage state will pull through for Clinton though. No polling available. Also note under 1% African American population statistic, always has done well by Obama in all contests.
Extra Note
Mississippi data will be added later.
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Wyoming Final Results
61% Obama
38% Clinton
01% Uncommitted
+23 Spread
Predicted Delegate Distribution
Obama 7
Clinton 5
Net gain of +2 delegates for Barack Hussein Obama. There is also an add-on delegate that gets decided later, but it goes to the person with the delegate lead in the state. So it could be said a +3 gain in delegates. Clinton gains on March 4th erased?
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Mississippi
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Lay of the Land
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Breakdown
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Delegates at Stake
33 Primary + 7 Super Delegates. 2 of which are committed to Barack Hussein Obama.
Polls open from 8AM-8PM EST.
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Polling Data
ARG 3/7/08
58% Obama
34% Clinton
05% Other
03% Undecided
+24 Obama Spread
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in Mississippi (461 Democrats and 139 independents and Republicans).
InsiderAdvantage 3/7/08
46% Obama
40% Clinton
14% Undecided
+6 Obama Spread
Republicans: 68/28 favor Clinton. 3 Undecided.
Independents: 53/23 favor Clinton. 24 Undecided.
An InsiderAdvantage survey of 412 registered voters who said they were likely to vote in the March 11 Mississippi Democratic primary shows, as expected, that Barack Obama leads. However, the poll also suggests that somewhere between 15% and 20% of the voter turnout for the open-primary contest will be Republicans and independents.
There is some good news for Clinton in this survey. First, she is winning independent voters. Second, we have heard rumors that Republicans voters might engage in the primary in higher than normal numbers, so that they can vote for Clinton, and thus keep the Democratic battle going. There is some evidence that this trend might be developing.
Rasmussen 3/8/08
53% Obama
39% Clinton
08% Undecided
+14 Obama Spread
Clinton leads among senior citizens but trails among younger voters. But, it is the racial divide that defines the campaign in MississippiObama leads 80% to 12% among African-American voters while Clinton holds a 47% advantage among White voters.
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Notes
According to news sources, over 70% of the Democratic registered voters are black. This will play into Obama's favor. What is going against him? Whites are just as overwhelmingly supporting Clinton. Huge racial divide. Also, Republicans are free to vote in this primary, and there has been a recent shift in Republican support for Clinton, in an attempt to drag out this race. The potential 50 spread bomb has been averted it seems.
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Mississippi Final Results
Obama
255,348 61% 19 Delegates
Clinton
155,477 37% 14 Delegates
100% Reporting
+24 Spread Obama
+99,871 Net Votes Obama
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Lay of the Land
*************
Breakdown
*************
Delegates at Stake
12 Caucus + 6 Super Delegates. Two of which have endorsed candidate Barack Hussein Obama.
Caucus begins in the morning, last caucus location begins at 8 Eastern. Most will be finished before that time.
*************
Candidates
Hilliary Rodham Clinton
The Inevitable Nominee fresh from a successful firewall, still has fight in her and will do right by America, answering red phones one at time.
Barack Hussein Obama
Settle down America, It's about the delegates.
***************
Notes
Wyoming is a caucus vote surrounded by states that Obama has won convincingly. The African American population is under 1%. The population, while not necessarily rich, ranks 46th in terms of Unemployment. They are behind the curve technology wise, and have a big mining operation. Ranked 45th in post high school education (20.8%).
Personal prediction, Obama will beat her handily. Maybe the suffrage state will pull through for Clinton though. No polling available. Also note under 1% African American population statistic, always has done well by Obama in all contests.
Extra Note
Mississippi data will be added later.
***************
Wyoming Final Results
61% Obama
38% Clinton
01% Uncommitted
+23 Spread
Predicted Delegate Distribution
Obama 7
Clinton 5
Net gain of +2 delegates for Barack Hussein Obama. There is also an add-on delegate that gets decided later, but it goes to the person with the delegate lead in the state. So it could be said a +3 gain in delegates. Clinton gains on March 4th erased?
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Mississippi
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Lay of the Land
***************
Breakdown
***************
Delegates at Stake
33 Primary + 7 Super Delegates. 2 of which are committed to Barack Hussein Obama.
Polls open from 8AM-8PM EST.
***************
Polling Data
ARG 3/7/08
58% Obama
34% Clinton
05% Other
03% Undecided
+24 Obama Spread
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in Mississippi (461 Democrats and 139 independents and Republicans).
InsiderAdvantage 3/7/08
46% Obama
40% Clinton
14% Undecided
+6 Obama Spread
Republicans: 68/28 favor Clinton. 3 Undecided.
Independents: 53/23 favor Clinton. 24 Undecided.
An InsiderAdvantage survey of 412 registered voters who said they were likely to vote in the March 11 Mississippi Democratic primary shows, as expected, that Barack Obama leads. However, the poll also suggests that somewhere between 15% and 20% of the voter turnout for the open-primary contest will be Republicans and independents.
There is some good news for Clinton in this survey. First, she is winning independent voters. Second, we have heard rumors that Republicans voters might engage in the primary in higher than normal numbers, so that they can vote for Clinton, and thus keep the Democratic battle going. There is some evidence that this trend might be developing.
Rasmussen 3/8/08
53% Obama
39% Clinton
08% Undecided
+14 Obama Spread
Clinton leads among senior citizens but trails among younger voters. But, it is the racial divide that defines the campaign in MississippiObama leads 80% to 12% among African-American voters while Clinton holds a 47% advantage among White voters.
***************
Notes
According to news sources, over 70% of the Democratic registered voters are black. This will play into Obama's favor. What is going against him? Whites are just as overwhelmingly supporting Clinton. Huge racial divide. Also, Republicans are free to vote in this primary, and there has been a recent shift in Republican support for Clinton, in an attempt to drag out this race. The potential 50 spread bomb has been averted it seems.
***************
Mississippi Final Results
Obama
255,348 61% 19 Delegates
Clinton
155,477 37% 14 Delegates
100% Reporting
+24 Spread Obama
+99,871 Net Votes Obama
