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PoliGAF 2016 |OT12| The last days of the Republic

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Boke1879

Member
Ohio was always going to be close this time around. We've also seen other polling showing her up. But we really don't need Ohio it would be a nice get though.
 

Zukkoyaki

Member
Leading by several points means some polls showing a tie or slight loss are expected. Last 3-4 Ohio polls had her ahead. Is what it is!

Let's talk about North Carolina!
 
In the previous 5 polls of OH, Clinton is up about an average of +5 according to 538.

Trump being up +1 when Hillary is truly up +5 isn't out of the norm. And if she's really +3 right now, a result of Trump +1 would definitely come up at times.

Don't overreact to any single poll. It could actually make a lot of sense, polling wise.
 
Ohio does have a big basket
http://www.roadsideamerica.com/story/10658
323.jpg
 

Joeytj

Banned
Mark Murray ‏@mmurraypolitics 23s23 seconds ago
NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of North Carolina
Clinton 45%
Trump 41%
Johnson 9%

2-way: HRC 48%, Trump 43%
(Oct 10-12, LVs)

Senate race tied

------------------


NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Ohio
Trump 42%
Clinton 41%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

2-way: HRC 45%, Trump 45%
(Oct. 10-12, LVs)

Portman +18

Yeah, weird poll out of Ohio, but hope it's not a trend.
 

Link

The Autumn Wind
Honestly, I see both Burr and McCrory pulling out wins in North Carolina. That state has repeatedly proven to be even more stupid than Florida.
 
In the previous 5 polls of OH, Clinton is up about an average of +5 according to 538.

Trump being up +1 when Hillary is truly up +5 isn't out of the norm. And if she's really +3 right now, a result of Trump +1 would definitely come up at times.

Don't overreact to any single poll. It could actually make a lot of sense, polling wise.

This thread is the Now Cast manifest.

Honestly, I see both Burr and McCrory pulling out wins in North Carolina. That state has repeatedly proven to be even more stupid than Florida.

McCrory has not led a high quality poll in months, what the fuck is going on here guys
 
I'm being sued for a crime. While I have evidence proving I'm innocent, I'm instead choosing to release the evidence at a better time. Like after I'm convicted.

Knowing Trump it'll probably be a memo from his lawyers saying that the women decided not to go to court because his high priced lawyers intimidated them and he'll present it to the media by saying "you see? If these women had a case they would have gone to court!"
 

Kangi

Member
If McCrory pulled it out North Carolina would be Worst Carolina forevermore.

He is not going to pull it out because North Carolina is the superior Carolina.
 

Cyanity

Banned
Jesus, haven't any of us in here heard of polling aggregation? You average the results of each poll and weight them based on how accurate they've been in the past. Stop bedwetting every time a bad poll comes out. It's childish.
 
Lisa Boyne, a health food business entrepreneur, described a disturbing episode in the mid-1990s: While at a restaurant with her and others, she said Trump paraded women in front of their table, looked under women’s skirts, and commented on whether they were wearing underwear.

“It was the most offensive scene I’ve ever been a part of,” Boyne told The Huffington Post on Thursday. “I wanted to get the heck out of there.”


...


One night that summer, Boyne said that Morgan, who was well-connected in New York’s elite social circles, invited her to dinner in Lower Manhattan with Trump and John Casablancas, the famed modeling agent who died in 2013. Trump and Morgan picked Boyne up at her apartment.

According to Boyne, Trump dominated the conversation in the limo, boasting of his sexual conquests and rating their attractiveness.

“He was constantly talking about himself, who he was dating, who he was sleeping with, who he was trying to sleep with,” Boyne said. “I just remember feeling very surprised and upset.”

Once at the restaurant, the group met up with Casablancas, who had brought along five or six models. It quickly became clear to Boyne that this was an opportunity for Trump to meet young, attractive women. Months earlier, Trump’s then-wife Marla Maples had allegedly been caught sleeping with a bodyguard. (Trump and Maples would officially divorce in 1997.)

According to Boyne, the group was seated at a semi-circular table, with the women in the middle and Trump and Casablancas flanking either end. The women couldn’t get out of their seats without one of the men getting up ― which they refused to do. Instead, Boyne said, Trump insisted that the women walk across the table, allowing him to peer up their skirts while they did so. Trump “stuck his head right underneath their skirts,” Boyne said, and commented on whether they were wearing underwear and what their genitalia looked like.

Boyne said that Trump never made any such advance on her. “I’m not a model. He wasn’t interested in me,” she said.


posted?
 
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