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PoliGAF 2017 |OT6| Made this thread during Harvey because the ratings would be higher

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Kusagari

Member
The endorsement list for Moore is like a list of the worst people on the planet.

Louis Gohmert, Steve King, Huckabee, Palin, Cuccinelli, Bannon, Coulter, Gorka, Hannity, Laura Ingraham, Roger Stone!
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Sam Stein: "I still think it passes."

???
 
CNN has to say that because, technically, Collins and Murkowski are undecided. Does anyone see a scenario where McCain votes no and they both vote yes? Rand is also not going to change since it’s assumed dead.

Cilizza said they have a chance of getting some Democratic votes in the next week, which, okay.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
Senate appointments typically only serve till the next statewide general election.(Depends on state but none allow for a full term)

correct. McCain goes next year, special would be in November 2018 to finish the term ending in 2022. McCain goes in 2019 or 2020, special is set for November 2020 to finish the term ending in 2022.
 
I read Cilizza's book several years ago when I first really started following politics, and I recall it being pretty good as a basic introduction to the functions of a two-party system.

Now that I know he probably has to remind himself to breathe every few minutes I might go back and see if it was actually shit and I didn't know any better.
 
No reason to trust Paul, he's got a history of talking one way and voting another.
It's worth noting he really didn't last time

It might seem the same to us but the skinny repeal was completely different. The graham bill was basically the same as the Ryancare that the FC revolted against. The skinny repeal was at least actually a repeal (to them)
 
With McCain having already killed this bill there's a good chance Paul sticks with his no.

Paul would definitely not be the third no. If Collins or Murkowski flip, which I'd lean towards not happening, but if it did, Paul would be a yes. He's not going to actually stand in the way of a repeal.

If Collins and Murkowski join McCain, Paul is free to pretend he's noble.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
It's worth noting he really didn't last time

It might seem the same to us but the skinny repeal was completely different. The graham bill was basically the same as the Ryancare that the FC revolted against. The skinny repeal was at least actually a repeal (to them)

Except I'm talking about a much broader history of his votes, not just healthcare.

Paul would definitely not be the third no. If Collins or Murkowski flip, which I'd lean towards not happening, but if it did, Paul would be a yes. He's not going to actually stand in the way of a repeal.

If Collins and Murkowski join McCain, Paul is free to pretend he's noble.

Exactly. The only way he's a no is if he knows that the bill is dead already, he won't actually cast the vote to kill it. He doesn't have the balls.
 
Paul would definitely not be the third no. If Collins or Murkowski flip, which I'd lean towards not happening, but if it did, Paul would be a yes. He's not going to actually stand in the way of a repeal.

If Collins and Murkowski join McCain, Paul is free to pretend he's noble.

Collins or Murkowski aren't going to flip after McCain publicly killed this bill in a way that gives everyone all the cover they could ever want. Rand Paul being the 3rd no is more likely than Collins or Murkowski voting yes after McCain outed himself as a no.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Right, but many took his last vote as the exact same as voting for this, which it was not

My point is he has a history of talking one way and voting another, so you can't really trust anything he says. If he decides he wants to look noble and votes against it good, if he votes for it then I'm the least surprised person on Earth.
 
I'm thankful he is saying this about Graham-Cassidy, but I am getting sick and tired of hearing republicans say the ACA was "rammed through" Congress.

I've noticed that McCain and other Republicans like Ben Sasse like to pull the "both sides" card when they have to criticize their own party.
 
Collins or Murkowski aren't going to flip after McCain publicly killed this bill in a way that gives everyone all the cover they could ever want.

If there's two Republicans I might secretly halfway begrudgingly trust to do the right thing, it would be those two. At least on this. But I will not take it for granted until it actually occurs.

And McCain is still suspect.
 
Collins or Murkowski aren't going to flip after McCain publicly killed this bill in a way that gives everyone all the cover they could ever want. Rand being the 3rd no is more likely than Collins or Murkowski voting yes after McCain outed himself as a no.

Yep. Murkowski has already proven she doesn't need to fear primaries and Collins wants to either keep her seat or become governor. Both have good reasons to object to the bill beyond just procedural ones.
 

JettDash

Junior Member
Paul would definitely not be the third no. If Collins or Murkowski flip, which I'd lean towards not happening, but if it did, Paul would be a yes. He's not going to actually stand in the way of a repeal.

If Collins and Murkowski join McCain, Paul is free to pretend he's noble.


Sure he would. He would get two wins out of voting against it. He would keep his ideological purity by voting against a bill he has slammed as "Obamacare-lite" without fucking over his state.
 
Man, it does get tiring having to reinforce the "nothingburger" belief that nothing will happen between the US and NK.

Logically it makes sense. But each time Trump talks big or threatens NK, it forces me to have to go through the stages of "fear" -> "it's nothing to worry about" once again. I abso-fucking-lutely hate doing this every other day.

Someone please get rid of that loud mouthed ass in the White House. Please.
 
Sure he would. He would get two wins out of voting against it. He would keep his ideological purity by voting against a bill he has slammed as "Obamacare-lite" without fucking over his state.

Paul isn't one of those doofuses in the HFC. He'll rail against it as not being enough, but if it comes down to it, he'll vote for it because he would prefer that versus keeping ACA in full.

He's the 4th no. Not the 1st, 2nd, and definitely not the 3rd.
 

JettDash

Junior Member
Paul isn't one of those doofuses in the HFC. He'll rail against it as not being enough, but if it comes down to it, he'll vote for it because he would prefer that versus keeping ACA in full.

He's the 4th no. Not the 1st, 2nd, and definitely not the 3rd.


Nah, if there was any realistic chance of him voting for it he wouldn't have been telling everyone that he is a hard no, that's its Obamacare lite, that he won't be bullied/bought. I'm sure he would love the opportunity to prove that he's the only "principled" right winger in the Senate.

And what can they do to him. He isn't up for reelection till 2022.
 
Nah, if there was any realistic chance of him voting for it he wouldn't have been telling everyone that he is a hard no, that's its Obamacare lite, that he won't be bullied/bought. I'm sure he would love the opportunity to prove that he's the only "principled" right winger in the Senate.

And what can they do to him. He isn't up for reelection till 2022.

Feel free to believe him. I certainly will not, as he hasn't earned it. Hopefully, it doesn't come down to him anyway.
 
Feel free to believe him. I certainly will not, as he hasn't earned it. Hopefully, it doesn't come down to him anyway.

I think if Paul were really planning on shifting positions, he would talk more about a bill he proposed making its way to the floor. Quid Pro Quo it up like last time. It doesn't even sound like they're giving him that option this time around.
 
McCain: "Best friend? More of an acquaintance really. In fact, I hardly know him."

McCain about Lindsay Graham:

mariah-carey-i-dont-know-her-jlo.gif
 

kirblar

Member
Damn, he really is that dense.
Kurtz was the "media reporter" guy at WaPo before Cillizza.

I don't think it's an accident that Kurtz jumped to Fox and that Cillizza has such crappy views. The people interested in the horse-race navel-gazing "reporting" the position requires are completely uninvested in policy outcomes.
 
I think if Paul were really planning on shifting positions, he would talk more about a bill he proposed making its way to the floor. Quid Pro Quo it up like last time. It doesn't even sound like they're giving him that option this time around.

Thing is, he got his up or down full repeal vote in the last round. It failed. McConnell can and will tell him to eat it, and he will if it comes down to it.
 
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