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PoliGAF 2017 |OT4| The leaks are coming from inside the white house

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I just cannot wrap my head around what McConnell's end goal is. Throw out every possible healthcare idea and hope one sticks? That'll just shine a big spotlight on how fucked up the GOP is right now.
 

Tamanon

Banned
I just cannot wrap my head around what McConnell's end goal is. Throw out every possible healthcare idea and hope one sticks? That'll just shine a big spotlight on how fucked up the GOP is right now.

I think at this point, he wants to get to a point where they can vote, and then vote it down, if need be. Just to say he tried.
 
I'm not about to play the "Candidate X can't win" game, but Delphi Analytica is a pollster with no track record with a website that's barely a month old. And by website, I mean amateurish blog riddled with grammatical errors. They don't even give enough information on their methodology to know if this is a real poll, and 44% undecided is not the sign of a quality poll.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
WTF is this poll

https://delphianalytica.org/kidrock-stabenow-michigan/

vsOntK5.png


44% undecided...haha

Need an explanation?


Right there. Trust me: this is a winnable race for Kid Rock. The primary is crowded, so the Trump effect could take place again. Rural voters will show up out of the woodwork for him. He's still huge everywhere north of Grand Rapids. It's bizarre.

Edit: I'd be saying this whether or not we had a poll at this point. Michigan is crazy.
 

Maxim726X

Member
So I'm assuming most here saw the most recent Trump tweet?

I always thought of a tweet like that to be the ace in his sleeve... i.e. try to rally his supporters to put pressure on the party. Can't imagine he will have any leverage with Republicans at all if his pleas are mostly ignored.
 
I'm not about to play the "Candidate X can't win" game, but Delphi Analytica is a pollster with no track record with a website that's barely a month old. And by website, I mean amateurish blog riddled with grammatical errors. They don't even give enough information on their methodology to know if this is a real poll, and 44% undecided is not the sign of a quality poll.

No link to actual poll.
No link to methodology.
No homepage, just Donald Trump picture.
Claims to do "Public policy polling" - actually has two polls, both with negative Dem results.
Appears to have been in business for a couple months.

Ya'll are going crazy in here.
 
If 2016 has any real, permanent lessons for us, it's that Republican primary voters everywhere but Virginia (where boringness is a virtue) will pick the worst candidate they can, and that the rest of the party will show up to vote for them in November, no matter how reluctantly that may be. So I'd expect Kid Rock to win that primary, and I'd expect basically on-par turnout with the rest of the country for him amongst Republicans.

Now, I don't think he'll WIN, but still.
 

Ogodei

Member
The problem is that Kid Rock will be running as someone closely tied to Trump in Trump's first midterm.

If Stabenow had been up in 2016, all bets are off. 2018?
 

royalan

Member
I think at this point, he wants to get to a point where they can vote, and then vote it down, if need be. Just to say he tried.

If that were the case, he would have brought it to a vote already.

Mitch wants this to come to a vote, and he wants this to pass, because he's a bitter and bullish old man aware that his reputation is now attached to the passage of this bill.

He will make his fellow Republicans walk the plank, vote on a bill that most of them want nothing to do with, and rob the people of his own state of their healthcare, all because of his fragile and pathetic ego.
 
Need an explanation?



Right there. Trust me: this is a winnable race for Kid Rock. The primary is crowded, so the Trump effect could take place again. Rural voters will show up out of the woodwork for him. He's still huge everywhere north of Grand Rapids. It's bizarre.

Edit: I'd be saying this whether or not we had a poll at this point. Michigan is crazy.

The obvious solution is to convince Violent J or Shaggy 2 Dope to enter the race and split the moron vote.
 

PantherLotus

Professional Schmuck
This is exactly what I'm thinking:

Mitch McConnell trying for a third time next week is the clearest evidence yet that they expect the Trump investigation to explode soon.

They've stopped even talking about tax reform and are desperate to pass this disguised tax cut before Mueller either reveals something catastrophic or actually files charges.

That and the sudden withdrawal of Koshliak makes me think something big is going down this week.

But then again I've expected this every week since the election so ... any day now!

Also:
|OT 5| Give me one treason to stay here, and I'll turn right back around
 
There is no evidence of a physical address for this company. No one's real name is attached to these blog posts, just "Delphi Analytica Team." Their blog, which is practically impossible to navigate, is one of the few pieces of evidence they even exist. No physical address, name, or phone number is provided for contact, only an email address. There's also a Twitter account that supposedly belongs to someone named Ben who works there. "Ben" gives no last name, but as least there is a location of Lubbock, TX. But searching for a Delphi Analytica in Lubbock (or just in Texas) doesn't seem to lead anywhere, and why haven't they done any polling of Texas (although their blog is so hard to navigate that it would be hard to find any such poll)? The Twitter account is also a month old and appears to consist entirely of retweets of the Drudge Report. Then there's a few Medium pieces attributed to them that are basically just copies of what's available on their blog.

But their website does have this insightful article on Partisanship and the Russia-Trump Investigation.

Reading Time: 1 minute
filler

Let me save you the click, that's the entirety of the article. There's also a link to a post titled "Majority of voters don't trust Special Counsel to be fair to President Trump" but it's broken.

Yeah, unless I see some solid evidence this firm even exists, I'm going to assume this poll is fabricated and Delphi Analytica is literal fake news.

EDIT: I missed the part where the blog post for the poll can't decide if the firm is "Delphi Analytica" or "Delta Analytica."
 

Maengun1

Member
The problem is that Kid Rock will be running as someone closely tied to Trump in Trump's first midterm.

If Stabenow had been up in 2016, all bets are off. 2018?


Yeah.

I live in Michigan, and I haaaaaate this, but right now it's less worry and more "oh my god when will this stop this is so embarrassing."

I'm not saying people shouldn't treat it seriously, they should. But....Trump won the state by the smallest margin of any state in the entire election, and 2018 will be in all likelihood a backlash against Trumpism (and if it isn't, as I've posted before, then it's truly over).
 
Need an explanation?



Right there. Trust me: this is a winnable race for Kid Rock. The primary is crowded, so the Trump effect could take place again. Rural voters will show up out of the woodwork for him. He's still huge everywhere north of Grand Rapids. It's bizarre.

Edit: I'd be saying this whether or not we had a poll at this point. Michigan is crazy.

I don't think the question is if Kid Rock should be treated seriously, but the poll posts no methodology and has 44 undecided and a sitting US Senator getting 26% of the vote. Cmon.
 

Teggy

Member
Yeah.

I live in Michigan, and I haaaaaate this, but right now it's less worry and more "oh my god when will this stop this is so embarrassing."

I'm not saying people shouldn't treat it seriously, they should. But....Trump won the state by the smallest margin of any state in the entire election, and 2018 will be in all likelihood a backlash against Trumpism (and if it isn't, as I've posted before, then it's truly over).

My in-laws (ex-military and weekly church goers) live in Michigan, and probably voted for Trump, but I just can't see them voting for Kid Rock. Maybe 3rd party or not voting at all, but Kid Rock?
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
This is exactly what I'm thinking:



But then again I've expected this every week since the election so ... any day now!
Nah, Mitch just doesn't have any alternatives. The healthcare plan is Phase 1 of their tax plan. If they don't pass it, they're screwed on not only a healthcare 'achievement', but also on taxes.
 
Also there's little to no way Stabenow loses even if she should take Kid Rock seriously. She's a brand, and a good one, and any Republican is up against serious headwinds.
 
I know I'm beating a dead horse at this point, but there's also an official company Twitter account. It has 27 followers and has already both tweeted a link to InfoWars and retweeted Nigel Farange.

But at least unlike "Ben" they actually link to the correct website.
 
I know I'm beating a dead horse at this point, but there's also an official company Twitter account. It has 27 followers and has already both tweeted a link to InfoWars and retweeted Nigel Farange.

But at least unlike "Ben" they actually link to the correct website.
Bad news for Debbie Stabenow.
 

Teggy

Member
I know I'm beating a dead horse at this point, but there's also an official company Twitter account. It has 27 followers and has already both tweeted a link to InfoWars and retweeted Nigel Farange.

But at least unlike "Ben" they actually link to the correct website.

Do you mean the "support" one? It's my understanding that they goofed and lost that one by mistake.
 
It's also crazy how many swing states there might be in 2020 when you add Maine, Minnesota, Arizona, and Georgia to the traditional pile. Just a lot of ways to get to 270.
 
It's also crazy how many swing states there might be in 2020 when you add Maine, Minnesota, Arizona, and Georgia to the traditional pile. Just a lot of ways to get to 270.

Honestly, I'm just terrified of the thought of what happens when/if Trump loses. He may not accept the results, shit he might just fortify himself in the White House or some crap.
 

Zolo

Member
Honestly, I'm just terrified of the thought of what happens when/if Trump loses. He may not accept the results, shit he might just fortify himself in the White House or some crap.

Not really worried about that. He'll be properly taken away if needed. I'm more worried about voter suppression efforts.
 

gaugebozo

Member
Need an explanation?



Right there. Trust me: this is a winnable race for Kid Rock. The primary is crowded, so the Trump effect could take place again. Rural voters will show up out of the woodwork for him. He's still huge everywhere north of Grand Rapids. It's bizarre.

Edit: I'd be saying this whether or not we had a poll at this point. Michigan is crazy.
I'm going to agree that everywhere north of Grand Rapids is crazy. I have in-laws in Kalkaska, which recently had a Muslim protest. (No, not the good kind).

I wonder if Young has any skeletons in his closet. I went to high school with his son, who kept asking girls if they wanted to make a movie with him. It turned out it was going to be a porno staring himself as Bat Man.
 
If Trump loses and it's not a close loss (like Obama 12), I don't worry about him having no choice but to leave.

This. Also, guys, Kid Rock is absolutely winning the primary. Maybe even the whole damn thing.
He'll probably win the primary but I don't see a world in which he beats Stabenow in 2018.
 

Wilsongt

Member
Not really worried about that. He'll be properly taken away if needed. I'm more worried about voter suppression efforts.

Considering they have been working on that since November 9th... You can expect voting to be very difficult for some people next year and in 2020.
 
Honestly, I'm just terrified of the thought of what happens when/if Trump loses. He may not accept the results, shit he might just fortify himself in the White House or some crap.

I hope he does, but in Trump Tower instead. I've had some great dreams about him getting dragged out by the NYPD at the order of the NY AG. Bonus if they taze him or his idiot sons (not Barron of course).
 

Random Human

They were trying to grab your prize. They work for the mercenary. The masked man.
I can't tell if it's good or bad that he seems to be going after Republicans more. Maybe it will help them develop a spine?
 
Trump at 50-47 in Arkansas.

http://katv.com/news/local/president-trumps-job-approval-in-arkansas-50-47

February: 60-35
April: 53-39
July: 50-47

I wonder where his numbers are going up to keep the overal US numbers from sliding, cuz if he's consistantly bleeding out in places like AR and TX, than it has to be.

Mitch McConnell trying for a third time next week is the clearest evidence yet that they expect the Trump investigation to explode soon.

They've stopped even talking about tax reform and are desperate to pass this disguised tax cut before Mueller either reveals something catastrophic or actually files charges.

That and the sudden withdrawal of Koshliak makes me think something big is going down this week.

This is the Summer of Chaos, it's not if but how much Something Big is going down in a week, and if it's good for us.


At this rate he'll be going after the Agriculture Department for KFC not tasting as good as it did before.
 

royalan

Member
Hypothetical:

Nov 9, 2020.

Kamala Harris wins in a landslide.

"VOTER FRAUD! I will NOT accept these results when MILLIONS of illegals are voting! #MAGA" Is the Trump response.

What happens next?
 
Hypothetical:

Nov 9, 2020.

Kamala Harris wins in a landslide.

"VOTER FRAUD! I will NOT accept these results when MILLIONS of illegals are voting! #MAGA" Is the Trump response.

What happens next?

You move on and do everything without him. Roberts swears in Kamala.
 

Mario

Sidhe / PikPok
|OT5| Less Spice, More Smoke


And a little anecdote out of New Zealand, we just hired a Senior Programmer out of Russia and one out of the US. We are just going through the visa stuff for them now. Seems like the US programmer will take a lot longer to get in than the Russian because the vetting process takes more time through US channels.
 
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