I think this talk of a second referendum is political posturing by Nicola Sturgeon. The opinion polls indicate that independence is still a minority cause; certainly not favourable enough to risk a second referendum, because if the SNP lost again it would kill off the issue for many years. Timing is everything here. There may be a chance of independence, if Brexit goes spectacularly wrong, but the window of opportunity will be quite precise and it hasn't arrived yet. The SNP shouldn't push for a referendum unless they are confident they will win, because a defeat would be a fatal disaster for their cause. If Theresa May was more of a chancer, she might profit from calling the SNP's bluff and forcing a second referendum on Scotland when independence sags in the polls; but she won't, mainly because that kind of gamble could easily backfire, but also because she's a particularly risk-averse Home Office breed of politician. No second referendum while she's in office, I guarantee you that.
Independence would be very costly for Scotland. It's hard to see how it could work. Scotland does most of its trade with the UK, not the EU, and the issues of currency, passports, customs, and oil revenues can't really be answered.
Progressives cheering for this act of economic self-mutilation just to "fuck the Tories" and "fuck Brexit" are not looking at the numbers. Scotland very much depends on Britain and would face severe austerity if it left. I'm not saying that because I hate Scots and want to talk them down; I'm saying it because I earnestly believe it's the most objective and plausible interpretation of the situation. Independent Scotland would be facing severe austerity, worsened further by the slump in oil prices.
If you genuinely support independence and think it would be a success for Scotland, I disagree but I can respect your position. But if you previously opposed independence and have now changed your mind purely to spite leave voters - what are you thinking?
Considering I'm utterly ashamed with what the UK has done I would be happy for Scotland to leave, if they let me move there away from the hellhole what is Britain.
Hellhole - seriously? We voted to leave an international organisation that doesn't dramatically effect the lives of most Brits. Rwanda was a hellhole. Yugoslavia was a hellhole. Syria was and is a hellhole. Britain's a first-world country having a pretty big hiccup. Again, I can respect that it's a big deal to you and that you're very upset by the outcome. It's unpleasant, but words do matter and life goes on, so let's have some perspective.
Europeans would love Scotland and be welcoming. All of this EU difficulties talk is a farce to scare Scottish people into thinking this current tory controlled union is the best they can have.
The EU isn't this alturistic utopian government that some progressives seem to think it is. It's a messy bureaucracy, made up of 28 utterly self-interested countries, and it moves slowly. Accession to the Union is complex and takes a long time. And it only takes one member to veto. Spain is doing everything it can to stamp down Catalonian secessionism and will want to make life difficult for Scotland if it can. Scottish membership would not be obtained easily and it certainly wouldn't be obtained in a heart-warming display of European solidarity.
The difference is everyone knows that's not true. With North Sea Oil production/revenues in freefall, Scotland now gets transfers from Westminster like the other devolved nations.
~10 percent difference in votes and you label England (and Wales) racist. There'll be economic difficulties coming up, but the strength of the UK's economy will still largely remain intact, ask any economist. It won't drag anyone down, whereas independence will, as Westminster would not cover deficits of an independent country.
People are jumping on you for saying unpopular things but I just wanted to say that I respect your posts and agree with you. I think we were probably on opposite sides of the Brexit referendum but I like seeing reason and logic applied to a debate.