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Bar MAFIA |OT| There's Gonna Be Shots

*Splinter

Member
if you think he's town, you're arguing against his lynch, if you cared about the result

it being day 1 doesn't make a difference. You seem to just want this lynch to be over with rather than make the best attempt at an accurate result
I'll argue against his lynch if people argue for his lynch
 

kingkitty

Member
i'm not in favor of thunderdome, sorry splinter. i don't think forcing us to choose between two people on day 1 will give us a much better result compared to voting at will.

especially when neither of their names rhyme with blusk boulder
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
thunderdome is shit tier strategy. no idea why anyone thinks it will work, especially when the only serious thunderdome from a PR ended up being town on town and ended up with a powerful town PR have to bullshit his way out of a terrible result
 

*Splinter

Member
Yes. It's been a pretty average day 1; our chances of hitting scum were probably marginally better than random which is the best you can ask for from day 1.
Better than random? You think we have >20% chance today? Because I wouldn't think that even on a good day.
 

cabot

Member
VOTE TALLY:


wherearemahdragonz (2)
hyperactivity 205 (335)
catvoca 655 (703)
timetokill 656
tomakasatnav 910 (913)
tomakasatnav 913

mattyg (0)
batsnacks 222 (626)
ourobolus 245 (300)
ourobolus 624 (714)

hyperactivity (1)
kingkitty 224 (474)
dusk soldier 253 (641)
a human becoming 264
timeaisis 459 (678)
wherearemahdragonz 693 (1030)

batsnacks (1)
ourobolus 300 (417)
ourobolus 433 (490)
theexodu5 1050

ourobolus (2)
salvapot 327 (857)
hyperactivity 335 (360)
mattyg 644
salvapot 948

crab (0)
hyperactivity 360 (614)

theexodu5</b> (0)
barrylocke 377 (383)

wherearemahdragonz </b> (0)
barrylocke 383 (779)

stackpoleh (0)
ourobolus 417 (433)
timetokill 472 (656)

dusk soldier (2)
kingkitty 474
stackpoleh 557 (923)
batsnacks 733 (943)
timeaisis 869

timeaisis (0)
ourobolus 490 (624)
dusk soldier 641 (1035)

theexodu5 (4)
batsnacks 626 (682)
timeaisis 692 (869)
barrylocke 813 (815)
barrylocke 815
*splinter 1054
wherearemahdragonz 1055
kyanrute 1057

salvapot (1)
*splinter 650 (835)
euphemism 654

kyanrute (1)
nin1000 653

theexodo5 (0)
timeaisis 678 (692)

euphemism (0)
batsnacks 682 (733)

catvoca (0)
ourobolus 714 (716)

timetokill (1)
ourobolus 716 (864)
hyperactivity 994 (1000)
stackpoleh 1096

no lynch (1)
theexodu5 828 (1050)
salvapot 857 (948)
retroid 858

tomakasatnav (0)
*splinter 835 (1054)

retroid (1)
ourobolus 864
kyanrute 877 (1057)

absolutbro (3)
catvoca 1018
dusk soldier 1035
crab 1046 (1069)
batsnacks 1053

exodu5 (0)
stackpoleh 1068 (1096)

*splinter (2)
crab 1069
hyperactivity 1085
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Better than random? You think we have >20% chance today? Because I wouldn't think that even on a good day.

why? Nobody is steering us (aside from your efforts to do so), so mafia can't be leading us to a worse than random position; nobody really seems to be co-ordinating, so mafia can't be wagoning. People seem to have a wide variety of reasonably good reads. This is a good day 1; you are making it worse.
 

*Splinter

Member
why? Nobody is steering us (aside from your efforts to do so), so mafia can't be leading us to a worse than random position; nobody really seems to be co-ordinating, so mafia can't be wagoning. People seem to have a wide variety of reasonably good reads. This is a good day 1; you are making it worse.
If I agreed with you I'd still be sat on toma getting no support, and any one of the multiple disinterested townies would be getting lynched at ~4 votes.

I disagree, so I'm trying something - anything - else.

And reasonably good reads are you kidding me? Earlier you townread me for saying "neutrals wouldn't lead". Yeah it's true but so what?
 
iirc WAMD's top three suspects before now were me, timetokill, and dusk soldier

Yes. Voted Exodu5 because I don't think a ttk or a lynch on you are happening today. It's also why I asked about Dusk, because he is another viable option that I think people would go for.

Also Exodu5's last post about being intentionally MIA doesn't sit right with me.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
If I agreed with you I'd still be sat on toma getting no support, and any one of the multiple disinterested townies would be getting lynched at ~4 votes.

I disagree, so I'm trying something - anything - else.

And reasonably good reads are you kidding me? Earlier you townread me for saying "neutrals wouldn't lead". Yeah it's true but so what?

What, you mean like the disinterested townie that is Exodu5, who your vote currently sits on? Wow, such a good job you're doing there. The reason you sat on toma with no support is because you made a terrible case and nobody was convinced. You can't blame town for that.

People's reads are fine for it being day 1. What did you think was going to happen, someone was going to rock up and provide a great logically valid and conclusive argument for the entire scum team and the what colour their underwear is?
 

batsnacks

Member
This is how I usually look at stuff:

(1) mafia splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

(2) town splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

Crab and Hyperactivity think it's (2). I think it's interesting to look at situations this way.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
This is how I usually look at stuff:

(1) mafia splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

(2) town splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

Crab and Hyperactivity think it's (2). I think it's interesting to look at situations this way.

I think you have my position wrong. I am quite firmly (1).
 

*Splinter

Member
What, you mean like the disinterested townie that is Exodu5, who your vote currently sits on? Wow, such a good job you're doing there. The reason you sat on toma with no support is because you made a terrible case and nobody was convinced. You can't blame town for that.

People's reads are fine for it being day 1. What did you think was going to happen, someone was going to rock up and provide a great logically valid and conclusive argument for the entire scum team and the what colour their underwear is?
Blending, dropping in activity when not in danger, and being ignored by multiple people is a bad argument?

Can you show us a good argument then? Because I haven't seen one today.
 

TheExodu5

Banned
All you guys are going to do is force me to reveal my role. Who wins then? Scum.

Playing right into their hands. Again, out of all the games I've played, scum always come out on top with the day 1 lynch.
 

*Splinter

Member
VOTE: Tomakasatnav

First half of the day Tomakasatnav was completely under my radar. He was posting fine ish but I never really built a strong impression of him, even forgetting he was playing at times.

More recently he's been posting less, or even stopped altogether? But so far I don't think anyone has mentioned him. I'd even say that Ouro skipped over him for timetokill (inactivity argument) and Dusk skipped over him for batsnacks (no suspicion argument). Obviously one or both of those could be honest mistakes, but we'll cross that bridge after toma flips scum.

As far as day 1 lynches go, I'm feeling pretty good about this choice and will be pushing for others to join me on it. For now I'd like counterarguments from anyone, and a reads list from Tomakasatnav.
I'm referring to his. Timeaisis was the only one to really argue against it. Most didn't respond, a few gave vague agreements without a vote.
 

cabot

Member
Then why is Cabot serving me drinks?

kingsley-mascot-partick-thistle-sns_3317986.jpg


Who said I served you drinks? I serve you witty retorts damn it.
 

TheExodu5

Banned
yeah, this list is pretty bullshit Ono, and I'll tell you why:

A. it rewards all of the players who have just played safe, posting non controversial opinions for predicting what should happen on the standard, terrible GAFIA day 1

B. for 4/5 of those members, we get fuck all from their lynches, and while this is sorta WIFOM, I know TheExodu5 knows what low key and towny looking scum should act like, that was his greatest asset to us in Harry Potter, when he was scum. I doubt he seriously makes the no lynch and I'm going away attempt, he's not new scum, he has played a great day 1 scum before

C. They are easy lynches to hide behind

D. Given the lower activity levels from them, their save me post is probably going to be either them claiming their or revealing that they were ordinary, or just not posting because they are out of the thread. Which again, tells us fuck all compared to more active players trying to fight against their lynch more, and deliberately timing any revelations to only when it's absolutely necessary

Pretty much.
 

cabot

Member
VOTES:

wherearemahdragonz (2)
hyperactivity 205 (335)
catvoca 655 (703)
timetokill 656
tomakasatnav 910 (913)
tomakasatnav 913

mattyg (0)
batsnacks 222 (626)
ourobolus 245 (300)
ourobolus 624 (714)

hyperactivity (1)
kingkitty 224 (474)
dusk soldier 253 (641)
a human becoming 264
timeaisis 459 (678)
wherearemahdragonz 693 (1030)

batsnacks (1)
ourobolus 300 (417)
ourobolus 433 (490)
theexodu5 1050

ourobolus (2)
salvapot 327 (857)
hyperactivity 335 (360)
mattyg 644
salvapot 948

crab (0)
hyperactivity 360 (614)

theexodu5</b> (0)
barrylocke 377 (383)

wherearemahdragonz </b> (0)
barrylocke 383 (779)

stackpoleh (0)
ourobolus 417 (433)
timetokill 472 (656)

dusk soldier (2)
kingkitty 474
stackpoleh 557 (923)
batsnacks 733 (943)
timeaisis 869

timeaisis (0)
ourobolus 490 (624)
dusk soldier 641 (1035)

theexodu5 (4)
batsnacks 626 (682)
timeaisis 692 (869)
barrylocke 813 (815)
barrylocke 815
*splinter 1054
wherearemahdragonz 1055
kyanrute 1057

salvapot (1)
*splinter 650 (835)
euphemism 654

kyanrute (1)
nin1000 653

theexodo5 (0)
timeaisis 678 (692)

euphemism (0)
batsnacks 682 (733)

catvoca (0)
ourobolus 714 (716)

timetokill (1)
ourobolus 716 (864)
hyperactivity 994 (1000)
stackpoleh 1096

no lynch (1)
theexodu5 828 (1050)
salvapot 857 (948)
retroid 858

tomakasatnav (0)
*splinter 835 (1054)

retroid (1)
ourobolus 864
kyanrute 877 (1057)

absolutbro (3)
catvoca 1018
dusk soldier 1035
crab 1046 (1069)
batsnacks 1053

exodu5 (0)
stackpoleh 1068 (1096)

*splinter (2)
crab 1069
hyperactivity 1085

12 votes for majority.

gre_1465678800.png
 

TheExodu5

Banned
I'm not king. I don't know what king is. I'm just the bartender.

Given that I've called the most obvious role in this game, and I've breadcrumbed it, I would think that should be considered pretty iron clad as I'm not going to be getting any counter claims.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
i took a nap accidentally, luckily i woke up before day end

splinter what are you doing

also did exodu5 just claim

as for AB the only problem i have with him is that we get practically nothing from the lynch considering how much in the background he has been
 

*Splinter

Member
i took a nap accidentally, luckily i woke up before day end

splinter what are you doing

also did exodu5 just claim

as for AB the only problem i have with him is that we get practically nothing from the lynch considering how much in the background he has been
Trying
 

batsnacks

Member
i took a nap accidentally, luckily i woke up before day end

splinter what are you doing

also did exodu5 just claim

as for AB the only problem i have with him is that we get practically nothing from the lynch considering how much in the background he has been

Dusk called out AB, Catvoca sheeped dusk. That's something.

but yeah 45 minutes. yep.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
Dusk called out AB, Catvoca sheeped dusk. That's something.

but yeah 45 minutes. yep.

yeah, i know, but it's still much less than going after someone that has been far more active

i mean if we really are doing #thunderdome (which is rather a dumb idea this early on) then my vote would go to AB
 
i took a nap accidentally, luckily i woke up before day end

splinter what are you doing

also did exodu5 just claim

as for AB the only problem i have with him is that we get practically nothing from the lynch considering how much in the background he has been
AB is either going to appear or be replaced by day 2, mark my words.


Here's my problem right now.

For one, there are too many damned long posts here. I don't have the time to read through all the fluff and overly verbose posts. I want facts, hypothesis, and voting patterns. All we've got so far are weak "reads" scattered throughout massive walls of text. I don't have the time or patience to sift through all of this. This is why I'm inactive at this point. I also feel like it's much easier for scum to hide within active posters than inactive ones at this point.

Right now, barrylocke and batsnacks have twice tried to get a bandwagon started against me. Barrylocke failed the first time and went back on me. Now batsnacks is calling to go back against me. Batsnacks is also being quite active, which I find more suspect than anything day 1. In all the games I've been in, scum have tried to take lead of the conversation...Hyper did it in HP, and I feel like Batsnacks is doing it here.


I was content with a no lynch on day 1, but I'd rather not take the inevitable vote train lying down.

Vote: batsnacks

Unvote: TheExodu5

If exodu5 hadn't cracked I would have unvoted him with the bold, it screamed "I have a role, leave me alone".
 

cabot

Member
VOTE COUNT:

wherearemahdragonz (2)
hyperactivity 205 (335)
catvoca 655 (703)
timetokill 656
tomakasatnav 910 (913)
tomakasatnav 913

mattyg (0)
batsnacks 222 (626)
ourobolus 245 (300)
ourobolus 624 (714)

hyperactivity (1)
kingkitty 224 (474)
dusk soldier 253 (641)
a human becoming 264
timeaisis 459 (678)
wherearemahdragonz 693 (1030)

batsnacks (1)
ourobolus 300 (417)
ourobolus 433 (490)
theexodu5 1050

ourobolus (2)
salvapot 327 (857)
hyperactivity 335 (360)
mattyg 644
salvapot 948

crab (0)
hyperactivity 360 (614)

theexodu5</b> (0)
barrylocke 377 (383)

wherearemahdragonz </b> (0)
barrylocke 383 (779)

stackpoleh (0)
ourobolus 417 (433)
timetokill 472 (656)

dusk soldier (2)
kingkitty 474
stackpoleh 557 (923)
batsnacks 733 (943)
timeaisis 869

timeaisis (0)
ourobolus 490 (624)
dusk soldier 641 (1035)

theexodu5 (3)
batsnacks 626 (682)
timeaisis 692 (869)
barrylocke 813 (815)
barrylocke 815 (1134)
*splinter 1054
wherearemahdragonz 1055
kyanrute 1057

salvapot (1)
*splinter 650 (835)
euphemism 654

kyanrute (1)
nin1000 653

theexodo5 (0)
timeaisis 678 (692)

euphemism (0)
batsnacks 682 (733)

catvoca (0)
ourobolus 714 (716)

timetokill (1)
ourobolus 716 (864)
hyperactivity 994 (1000)
stackpoleh 1096

no lynch (1)
theexodu5 828 (1050)
salvapot 857 (948)
retroid 858

tomakasatnav (0)
*splinter 835 (1054)

retroid (1)
ourobolus 864
kyanrute 877 (1057)

absolutbro (3)
catvoca 1018
dusk soldier 1035
crab 1046 (1069)
batsnacks 1053

exodu5 (0)
stackpoleh 1068 (1096)

*splinter (2)
crab 1069
hyperactivity 1085
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
why do we already have a d1 claim? jesus tits am i disappointed in y'all
 

*Splinter

Member
Barry I don't understand? Looks like he's just attacking the people that attack him?

Exo you said you have a breadcrumb, can you link it please
 

batsnacks

Member
Am considering sheeping hyperactivity. He said some stuff I agree with that I wasn't considering before.

(1) mafia splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates (TheExodu5, AbsolutBro) picked by me, catvoca, and himself.
(2) town splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates (TheExodu5, AbsolutBro) picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

30 minutes though. Is it majority or plurality lynch?
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Am considering sheeping hyperactivity. He said some stuff I agree with that I wasn't considering before.

(1) mafia splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates (TheExodu5, AbsolutBro) picked by me, catvoca, and himself.
(2) town splinter wants everyone to vote between two candidates (TheExodu5, AbsolutBro) picked by me, catvoca, and himself.

30 minutes though. Is it majority or plurality lynch?

it's plurality or I'm going on strike
 

Catvoca

Banned
Well this is really shitty. Man, when I saw some of your breadcrumbed posts the first time Exod5 I thought they were a little strange but I just shook it off and never gave it a second thought. Damn.

This has helped me further my thoughts on Dragonz though. I've always sort of been in this place where I'm not sure whether she's just a pretty agreeable townie posting a lot, or whether she was scum trying to fit in. I posted this http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=206236899&postcount=65 pretty detailed post earlier showing all the ways her reads were just parroting other peoples posts. I ended up switching my vote since I thought her response to my accusation was strong, one that wasn't too defensive and acknowledged her playstyle, while I also thought we should focus on less active players.

But here we are with the less active player-strategy backfiring, and I feel I need to go back to my scummy read of WhereAreMahDragonz as once again she is on a bandwagon, here one that we pretty much know is against a townie. She is also conveniently away for the deadline and is unlikely to be changing her vote. I know his might look bandwagony since I think others have tried to start votes against her before, but this is my strongest scum read, and gives us a lot of information if she is lynched.

Vote: WhereAreMahDragonz

What do you guys think?
 

*Splinter

Member
I trust WAMD less than anyone, and starting to think I ruled her out too easily. She has the most padded post count (ignoring Ouro), and so many scummy posts. I think I was wrong about Timeaisis, and TTK has only ever been a weak read.

nin's vote on me is opportunistic as fuck, I think he's scum for that alone

Still thinking
 
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