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July 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes August 12th

Danthrax

Batteries the CRISIS!
[360] 45k
[3DS] 120k
[PS3] 30k
[PS4] 205k
[WIU] 100k
[XB1] 110k

Things are generally flat, if not a little down because it's mid-summer and nothing exciting has come out. The people who held off on buying an Xbox Three in May bought it in June, so those numbers return to normal (I don't think the price drop + Kinect removal has changed its popularity). The Wii U continues riding its popularity wave a bit longer, although it's died down a bit.


[360] 50K
[3DS] 120K
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 215K
[WIU] 90K
[XB1] 170K

edit: going with last months weeklies, with a small bump to XB1 for its first full month at $399

Last month's Wii U weeklies would put it at 112k. You've lowballed that one by about 5,500 per week.
 
Thanks as always Aquamarine and Abdiel.
Any numbers for ps3/wii/360 first july?

[360] 49K
[3DS] 111K
[PS3] 28K
[PS4] 213K
[WIU] 99K
[XB1] 137K

[PSV] 8K

Subject to change obviously, as I'm lowballing a lot so far. Shame WiiU isn't included for points.

First July (NPD):

PS1 - 109K (July 1996)
PS2 - 352K (July 2001)
PS3 - 159K (July 2007)
PS4 - TBD (July 2014)

Xbox - 154K (July 2002)
360 - 207K (July 2006)
XBO - TBD (July 2014)

N64 - 189K (July 1997)
GC - 138K (July 2002)
Wii - 425K (July 2007)
Wii U - 29K (July 2013)
 

Javier

Member
Sure, I'll give it another bite this month.

[360] 45K
[3DS] 130K
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 205K
[WIU] 115K
[XB1] 130K

In general, everything will drop from June. Wii U will keep some momentum this month due to plenty of last minute impulse buys for the free game promo.
 
First ever prediction. Kind of nervous. Sure to be laughably wrong.

[PS4] 221k
[XB1] 135k
[3DS] 119k
[Wii U] 125k
[360] 57k
[PS3] 40k

My logic:
  • 4-week reporting period so down 20% overall.
  • PS4 up slightly from Last of Us and Destiny/E3 momentum
  • XB1 down slightly after pent-up demand Kinectless sku satiated last month
  • Wii U up slightly from E3 momentum and Mario Kart
  • 3DS down slightly with no big software
 

Eolz

Member
First July (NPD):

PS1 - 109K (July 1996)
PS2 - 352K (July 2001)
PS3 - 159K (July 2007)
PS4 - TBD (July 2014)

Xbox - 154K (July 2002)
360 - 207K (July 2006)
XBO - TBD (July 2014)

N64 - 189K (July 1997)
GC - 138K (July 2002)
Wii - 425K (July 2007)
Wii U - 29K (July 2013)

Thanks a lot !
 

Bgamer90

Banned
First July (NPD):

PS1 - 109K (July 1996)
PS2 - 352K (July 2001)
PS3 - 159K (July 2007)
PS4 - TBD (July 2014)

Xbox - 154K (July 2002)
360 - 207K (July 2006)
XBO - TBD (July 2014)

N64 - 189K (July 1997)
GC - 138K (July 2002)
Wii - 425K (July 2007)
Wii U - 29K (July 2013)

Cool stats. Thanks.
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
Best Buy observations July:


Ps4 remained consistent, as it seems it will stay. It's kind of interesting seeing that we've gotten more Destiny bundle preorders, but the system hasn't really lost any steam.

XB1 is not setting the world on fire, but at least the districts I checked it's still selling, even if it's not really great numbers. We're getting fewer shipments that last longer. Most of my stores are still working off their first shipments of the kinectless bundle.

WiiU is hard to gauge... it feels like it is doing better in some stores, but it's not a universal upswell.

Vita remains mostly impossible to get solid stock... but it sells out as soon as it arrives! I asked our Sony rep, and he was noncommittal about a straight answer, as though even he's not sure.

Hm interesting. You find the Wii U is doing better in some stores compared to before MK8? Better than June? I'm wondering how the $260 M&L Wii U deal worked out for Best Buy. I at least know 2 friends who got a Wii U because of the deal, and the third found it sold out for that price.

[360] 55k
[3DS] 125k
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 210K
[WiU] 105K
[XB1] 125K
 

Road

Member
I'm really curious about The Last of US remaster sales.

If US PSN ratings are anything to go by (as of this writing):

ISS: 20,596
BF4: 18,972
WD: 16,914
TLOUR: 16,667 <--

maybe people are more compelled to rate it due to its status.

----------------

Obligatory Amazon watch, for July:

11. PS4
(24. PS4 + Destiny bundle pre-order, doesn't count for NPD)
46. XBO

48. Vita + Borderlands bundle
59. Wii U + NSMBU + NSLU bundle
78. 360 4GB

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-07/videogames/

I don't think there's any doubt PS4 > XBO, but there's always that guy...
 
I'm really curious about The Last of US remaster sales.

If US PSN ratings are anything to go by (as of this writing):

ISS: 20,596
BF4: 18,972
WD: 16,914
TLOUR: 16,667 <--

Huh that seems really high for only having released like 5 or 6 days ago
 

robo

Member
Here we go third time lucky!!


[360] 39K
[3DS] 61K
[PS3] 41K
[PS4] 228K
[WIU] 104K
[XB1] 143K

[PSV] 32K
 
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