JimmyRustler
Gold Member
It's not going to be more successful than the WiiU.
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Betting time: Do you think the Switch will be a success?
- Thread starter Gurish
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Emotions play a big role in early adoption rate too.
Alcoholikaust
Member
Not this year
onemanasylum
Banned
No.....devs clearly are not on board, the price is bbad, and the lineup is thin as i've ever seen.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Yes, a moderate success for 2 reasons:
1. Steady stream of first-party software eliminating droughts.
2. SCDs are assuredly coming (my guess is 2018) and will boost the power over time.
Also, I feel like 1, 2 Switch is going to end up big like Wii Sports if marketed correctly. There is absolutely nothing on the market like it.
1. Steady stream of first-party software eliminating droughts.
2. SCDs are assuredly coming (my guess is 2018) and will boost the power over time.
Also, I feel like 1, 2 Switch is going to end up big like Wii Sports if marketed correctly. There is absolutely nothing on the market like it.
Define success. If they want Wii sales, no. If they want slightly better than Wii U, eventually. If they want slightly better than 3DS+Wii U... I don't see that happening.
Psyrgery ES
Member
Nuh huh
1 NES or SNES game per month. lol
Already Torn
Banned
The reveal trailer was very smartly made.
The event made all the mistakes that the trailer avoided and then dropped bad news.
MisterR
Member
Price, price of peripherals, way underpowered, extremely limited storage, no evidence of any strong 3rd party support, barren launch lineup. You can just go on and on.
I'm sticking by my inital prediction. Switch will do modestly well, enough to be considered a success, but because it isn't a Wii level success/helps nintendo win the "console war"/doesn't get a new metriod game or whatever game fanboys want, GAF will continue to spin it as a failure and continue the Nintendoom/should go third party arguements.
Ambition
Member
Just like the Wii U amirite
Not a lot of people - casual or not- are going to buy this when there's more powerful and cheaper alternatives lol
Linkstrikesback
Member
At the current pricing and announced lineup, not a snowballs chance in hell.
I wish I didn't think that, but with what they showed so far today, it ain't happening.
Absolutely best case scenario, I think 30m units.
I wish I didn't think that, but with what they showed so far today, it ain't happening.
Absolutely best case scenario, I think 30m units.
Yep, all this. It all combines for a clusterfuck of a situation that honestly makes you wonder if Nintendo isn't a floundering company at war with itself for them to come up with.....this, after leaving the Wii U to rot for 2 years.
Judging from that presentation last night, my guess is that it's going to be a colossal flop - at least at the beginning. Between the price, launch lineup, and specs, there's absolutely nothing enticing about it besides Zelda. It's pathetic at this point that Nintendo still continues not to get it. I see no reason why someone wouldn't choose a PS4/Xbox One + mobile gaming over something with 2.5-3 hour battery life on the go with higher end games.
Also people saying it's not going to be $300 forever - the Wii U sold horribly and did they ever drop the price? I know they had bundles, but did the standalone console ever drop in price besides getting one refurbished?
Also people saying it's not going to be $300 forever - the Wii U sold horribly and did they ever drop the price? I know they had bundles, but did the standalone console ever drop in price besides getting one refurbished?
airmangataosenai
Member
Define success. 50 million? No. 40 million? Maybe but not as likely as it should be.
onemanasylum
Banned
Who are? Same demographics as wii-u?
Already Torn
Banned
You get to rent a NES/SNES game for a month.
It also gives you the ability to talk to your friends on your phone.
No chance, it's not a pack in. It also seems like it can be easily copied using smartphones.
If it was a pack-in. It would be well received. Never Wii Sports level, but could attract a certain market. But an extra £50 for it...that cuts it short. Markets won't respond to £320 to play that.
Indeed
Tal Shiar Agent
Member
Too many things working against it. A loss of trust and respect for Nintendo after 10 years of shit. A completely inane pricing model and generally bad decisions doesn't help it either.
Majmun
Member
Then who is???
There are better and cheaper alternatives out there for the casual market...
WhiteWaterM00se
Member
Its DOA. Currently anyway. But I think Nintendo knows that actually.
kamineko
Does his best thinking in the flying car
oh, I agree, the people who were going to buy it no matter what still will. I think both of us are wondering about everybody else.
Initial launch window will be fine and after that I think it will go the 3DS route, meaning poor sales until a significant price change (and new Pokémon) will turn the tables. I think because of it's portable aspects, it will at the very least have a larger crowd than the WiiU (and GC). This machine will probably do fine in Japan as well due to that. But yes, the pricepoint is disappointing.
AyaisMUsikWhore
Member
Holla at me when the Switch is $250 which at this point, it feels like it was definitely designed to be. The console itself isn't worth the price but they put so much into the controller to justify this....it's insane and I really do wish the best for Nintendo but I'm gonna pass.
forknknife
Banned
Only if they would relaunch the thing during the holidays at a lower price but I'm sure that, even then, the price of the games and accessories is not going to sit well with a lot of parents and casuals so the impulse buy Christmas gift angle is out of the question, I'm afraid.
I think it'll do better than Wii U but not by much.
Why did you not focus on price and simplicity Nintendo? Why did you have to resurrect all the waggle from Wii's times? Without that shit the switch would've cost 250 at most and the joycons 25 a piece. People would've bought them without hesitation. Now it's this thing that ends up costing as much as a ps4 pro. That's just crazy. Couple that with the TERRIBLE launch line up of games and it is absolutely clear that this console had been rushed as fuck.
I think it'll do better than Wii U but not by much.
Why did you not focus on price and simplicity Nintendo? Why did you have to resurrect all the waggle from Wii's times? Without that shit the switch would've cost 250 at most and the joycons 25 a piece. People would've bought them without hesitation. Now it's this thing that ends up costing as much as a ps4 pro. That's just crazy. Couple that with the TERRIBLE launch line up of games and it is absolutely clear that this console had been rushed as fuck.
Iriscomeback
Member
I think that will depend on what they are going to show at E3.
If they make up on their 3rd party promise and announce a bunch of new 1st and 2th party titles, yes it will do well.
If not, WiiU all over again.
If they make up on their 3rd party promise and announce a bunch of new 1st and 2th party titles, yes it will do well.
If not, WiiU all over again.
kraspkibble
Permabanned.
After this morning I have to say no and that really is disappointing. I want it to do well but I'd say it's dead in the water. The price is expensive (£280/$300!!), it has abysmal battery life (2.5-6hrs), and the launch games are dreadful. The only game I would buy is Zelda. I just can't see many people dropping that amount of money for any of the announced games.
The price to me isn't much of an issue. I could live with the poor battery life. But I am not going to buy a GAMING device when it has only 1 game I am interested in. I was looking forward to Mario but Odyssey looks awful. If we get a Pokemon game it will probably be just similar to Sun/Moon and I am already playing that. I don't see myself getting a Switch for a long time.
The price to me isn't much of an issue. I could live with the poor battery life. But I am not going to buy a GAMING device when it has only 1 game I am interested in. I was looking forward to Mario but Odyssey looks awful. If we get a Pokemon game it will probably be just similar to Sun/Moon and I am already playing that. I don't see myself getting a Switch for a long time.
WAR recon zero
Banned
the core demographics is the casual crowd and the millenial crowd.
you know, what sold the original wii
you know, what sold the original wii
CrazedProfessional
Member
It will be successful. Nintendo is slow out the gate but a unified software pipeline will force it to be successful.
Are you saying Nintendo pulled a HP and intentionally threw out their latest hardware project just to die?
Swass
Member
Reminds me a lot of the 3DS when it launched.. came out about $50 too expensive and received a price cut fairly quickly.. that said the paid multiplayer is going to really hurt adoption I think.. Microsoft started this trend but had a network that was heaps better than the competition, Sony only started charging after proving themselves for years and catching up to Microsoft, but Nintendo really feels like they have no business putting a paywall on their network which is a decade behind the competition..
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