It's Nintendo's game to lose. They seem wobbly and unable to keep momentum with the Switch but I'll chalk that up to COVID panic.
Same thing happened to Wii. By year 4, they were spiking the football. I hope Switch doesn't share the same fate. A mid-gen refresh and a 7-9 year lifespan would be aces. Heck, 3DS got 7+ solid years. Switch deserves at least as much.
But imagine having sex while counting Switch sales in your head
I posted this in another thread, i think the Switch will endure far more then the Wii.
" A little bit different though, after the casuals had got bored there was little market left for the Wii U, which was a major reason why the Wii U bombed, Nintendo just expected all those casual gamers to still be there and rush out and buy a Wii U, when in reality they had already jumped ship to smart devices and tablet devices.
Nintendo pretty much admitted to making a mistake by courting the casual gamers too much, just look at the sales of the two Mario Galaxy games, the first game sold around 12 million copies while the second title only manages 7 million or so, this indicates the more casual Wii user thought the first game was an easy motion controlled affair, when in reality it was as core as any previous 3-D Mario game, second time around the casuals were not going to get burned, also outside of the more motion orientated games the more traditional titles did not sell massive numbers, with the exception of the all mighty Mario kart, despite the Wii having a big 100 million or so install base.
Compare this to the Switch and the more traditional core games like Mario and Zelda are performing much better despite having a much smaller install base, Nintendo seem to have a much better balance with the Switch, so this time I do not predict a sudden decline in sales, but only time will tell. "