120k is still dogshit though
Depends on your perspective, i wouldn't call it dogshit but definitely life support the last 2 months.
Since we now have leaks again and all sales numbers for certain, i would like to address the current sales performance of Xb1 and Ps4 in the US and also add some future outlook.
In May i had an argument with this onemanasylum guy about Ps4 sales being up YoY, but Xb1 heavily down, thanks to all the Ps4 exclusives early in the Year and other reasons. My stance was, that nothing major changed so far and both performed similar to last year. No huge discrepancy that would indicant any big shift.
January - May 2017
Ps4 up 4.1% YoY or 55k units
Xb1 down 6.5% YoY or 58.5k units
So that was right, but boy changed that in June and ongoing into July
Sony released a new special edition Ps4 Slim with more HDD space and also reduced the price by $50 for the launch of that SKU. They also had Crash a huge over performing exclusive titel.
Meanwhile Microsoft told their customer base, that they have something better in stores later the Year to buy. They also have no games to sell consoles (not even huge third party multiplats to drive sales).
June + July 2017
Ps4 up 51.2% YoY or 202.5k units
Xb1 down 27.8% YoY or 106.5k units
Ps4 is 4 times as many units up for just this last 2 months vs the first 5
Xb1 is 2 times as many units down for just this last 2 months vs the first 5
This is a real shift in sales performance, very noticeable and can also be explained by different events caused. A low single digit YoY change is normal fluctuation on the other hand.
Now talking about some Outlook:
I continue to see Xbox One being down significantly over the next 3 Months.
Last year in August Microsoft released the Xbox One S, that gave a noticeable sales boost.
This year in August, Microsoft has nothing.
Not even a Madden Bundle. (okay there is a Madden bundle for 2 Days in August and it will sell the most units in September)
September is the Month, where some big games start to hit and that will drive consoles sales, but that should not be enough to match last years Xbox One S release numbers.
October will have new Shadow of War Bundles, the limited Minecraft Bundle, and the first high profile exclusive for Xbox One. But overall for the 3 Months, that will only lessen the YoY decline, not match last years performance. But i do expect the YoY decline to be below this Summer drought in June, July and August. Something between
15 and 25% for the next 3 Months combined.
Between August and October 2016 Xb1 - including the S -
sold 936.5k units.
I expect this year to be between
700k and 800k at best
Ps4 on the other hand should continue its momentum. The next 3 Months won't be as strong as June and July. But the initial Ps4 Slim release was very mute last year and this year on the other had, Sony has its full Ps4 Pro and Slim Lineup, new Bundles and marketing deals for Destiny 2 and Fifa 18. Between
20 and 30% YoY growth for the next 3 Months combined is possible.
Between August and October 2016 Ps4 - including the Slim- sold
680.5k units.
I expect this year to be between
800k and 900k
Holiday season and November + December is another topic, i will address later when we have more information about Xb1 X preorders and Ps4 holiday bundles.
It's a totally different ball game, as proven over and over again