• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Kutaragi seems a bit frustrated with Sony

Status
Not open for further replies.
monkeymagic said:
And we'd be stuck with a shitty format for the next 6-7 years.

We have PS2 for that.

As usual people can't think beyond a few months at the long term picture.

downgrade already a average gpu from 10% of potential for next 6-7 years to put psu internal?
 
Arde0 said:
You are right in that BR cannot even be compared to DVD but you are wrong about BR being in a bad position.....unless you mean it delays the PS3 launch and the price. BR is in a good position versus HDDVD and everyone knows it.

Blu-Ray is on life support waiting for PS3. Without it, Blu-ray would be the outsider. With it, they are the favourites
 

Zaptruder

Banned
Amir0x said:
WHINEY is just bitching for bitching sake. I clearly have all my positions well thought out and voiced. If you dislike them, you are free to debate the points as anyone else is doing.

And, you'll note, I certainly leave the door open for someone OTHER than Ken to be blamed - I just said that if it's not Ken, then whoever did it should be fired. All this ties into the "playstation brands" diminished/declining importance, as discussed in the article.

Expounding on what I said; consider the reaction if things had gone right; if the manufacturing was on target, with no component supply problems. How about we take it one step further and say it was going so well, they managed to cut costs significantly and drop the PS3 some $50.

Neither of those elements can really be directly attributable to the Sony we talk about when concerning gaming; they're not directly involved with manufacturing.

But the decisions about the PS3 made by KK/SCEI hasn't changed, and yet, undoubtedly, we simply wouldn't see or hear nearly as many people whining about BD as we currently are.

Shit happens; things go wrong - especially on a smaller scale. The erroneous AND hyperbolic attribution of error is something I particularly detest.

I mean... look at the flipside; imagine the scenario that would occur if Sony/KK decided to swap out the BD for a DVD drive in light of the diode shortage.

Not only would GAF implode... no one is going to put a positive spin on the issue, even if the alternative is a shortage of BD equipped PS3s at launch.
 
Amir0x said:
But it's not analgous, that's what we're trying to explain!

There was no vicious format war for DVD.
The component was much cheaper.
Sony knew, DVDs were going to be 100% relevant in both the movie market AND the games format for decades or more.
Even if the blu-ray format fails as the nextgen movie format, it still will be useful for Sony's consoles. The success of Blu-Ray as a movie format will have little impact on the cost of the technology and manufacturing process that makes Blu-Ray. The price of Blu-Ray will go down over time regardless.

It could honestly hardly be called a risk, though they should be commended. There's no remote comparrison to the position Blu-Ray is currently in, which is bad.
Is blu-ray in that much trouble? I don't have any clue what sales of blu-ray movies and hardware vs. HD-DVD moves and hardware is at this point.
 

Ajax

Banned
PepsimanVsJoe said:
Sorry I was only answering the annnnnnnndddddddddd????
I'm no good at catching stealth edits.

Anyway I'd rather see one unified format and so far all I'm seeing is a handful of studios backing their own format. If things don't change I'd have to actually buy two players to see movies from every studio(Which isn't happening because Blu-ray will dominate...right?).

But you're right I have an agenda. I wish you'd tell me what it is because I can't seem to figure it out on my own. :)

5 out of 6 studios back Blu-ray. Almost every electronics company supports Blu-ray. You're trying to make it look worse than it is. But it's pretty clear what's going on. Like you said: VHS vs Betamax.
 

DenogginizerOS

BenjaminBirdie's Thomas Jefferson
What I find interesting is that a few months ago, if you posted on this board that Bluray was a stupid decision for PS3, it was considered more of a troll comment. Now, it seems, that saying Bluray is DOOMED is ok. And yet, nothing has really changed.
 
Amir0x said:
BR is in a bad position, and HDDVD is a bad position. I didn't mean to say it was alone there. It's in a bad position because it's in this vicious HD format war. It's also in a bad position because as I mentioned, they've come off the starting gate with terrible everything - players, movies, etc.


Yeah they are in a bad position coming out of the starting gate, for NOW. But in March of next year, when there are 6 million BR players (if all the PS3s sell, and they will) in homes they will not be in such a bad position.
 
Ajax said:
5 out of 6 studios back Blu-ray. Almost every electronics company supports Blu-ray. You're trying to make it look worse than it is. But it's pretty clear what's going on. Like you said: VHS vs Betamax.

You've obviously put more work into this than I have(I just looked on wikipedia). So I'll hand you the win. Not exactly sure what you won but hey it has to be good right?

FirstInHell said:
I love you.

::bows::
 

Ajax

Banned
firefoxsux said:
downgrade already a average gpu from 10% of potential for next 6-7 years to put psu internal?

The "average" GPU is helping MGS4 to run. So I'd say your point is wrong.
 

Amir0x

Banned
Zaptruder said:
Expounding on what I said; consider the reaction if things had gone right; if the manufacturing was on target, with no component supply problems. How about we take it one step further and say it was going so well, they managed to cut costs significantly and drop the PS3 some $50.

Neither of those elements can really be directly attributable to the Sony we talk about when concerning gaming; they're not directly involved with manufacturing.

But the decisions about the PS3 made by KK/SCEI hasn't changed, and yet, undoubtedly, we simply wouldn't see or hear nearly as many people whining about BD as we currently are.

Shit happens; things go wrong - especially on a smaller scale. The erroneous AND hyperbolic attribution of error is something I particularly detest.

We can blame whoever we want but the end result is Kutaragi is head of game division, and he has to take responsibility for what happens. That's life.

I cannot imagine how they didn't realize this would have gone bad by late 2005 - I read articles at the time predicting these very things, and it's impossible for me to believe Sony didn't have an even closer insider eye into how the format was gonna pan out in 2006.

But, in the end, the shit did go wrong... and this is where we are. If this is 'hyperbole', then there needs to be a new word for actual exaggeration - because the reality is, not much has gone good for Sony since the day they held their E3 conference.
 

gofreak

GAF's Bob Woodward
DenogginizerOS said:
What I find interesting is that a few months ago, if you posted on this board that Bluray was a stupid decision for PS3, it was considered more of a troll comment. Now, it seems, that saying Bluray is DOOMED is ok. And yet, nothing has really changed.

The Hyperbole Police need to arrest some people..

Quelle surprise, this thread is spiralling out of all proportion.
 
gofreak said:
The Hyperbole Police need to arrest some people..

Quelle surprise, this thread is spiralling out of all proportion.

I expect a lock soon. And I'll take the blame for part of this. If I'm in the wrong I'll gladly take a week off to cool my jets.

Amir0x said:
So, do you guys think Blu-Ray is gonna succeed or something?

I'll admit Blu-ray has the support. Thing is though that HD-DVD and Blu-ray are also competing with DVD. Until prices drop on players I don't see the mass-market buying into it. PS3 is supposed to change that but....ah who am I kidding it will...Sony wins again.

/thread.
 

Ajax

Banned
PepsimanVsJoe said:
You've obviously put more work into this than I have(I just looked on wikipedia). So I'll hand you the win. Not exactly sure what you won but hey it has to be good right?

I want a PS3 for free. If you live in US I want it in November too.
 
gofreak said:
The Hyperbole Police need to arrest some people..

Quelle surprise, this thread is spiralling out of all proportion.

Not really, this thread is remarkably empty of the usual trolling. Some good debate.
 

DenogginizerOS

BenjaminBirdie's Thomas Jefferson
One more point on the relevance of Betamax versus VHS. Those of us that are old enought to remember this and are now in a financial position to buy a BD or HD-DVD player cannot rinse the bad taste that Betamax left out of our heads. Sure, local news stations still use Betamax and it was blah blah blah, but VHS won the war hands down, and Sony's record on releasing a media format that emerges as a market leader is very poor. BD is superior to HD-DVD. But Betamax was superior to VHS. And consumers typically buy cheaper when the difference between the two is indistinguishable in the one area it will be used the most - MOVIES.
 

MrSardonic

The nerdiest nerd of all the nerds in nerdland
i hope ps3 fails just so that blueray dies with it. i dont want a new format, go away, and stop using your console as a trojan
 

Sweedishrodeo

the smegma spreader
i think "don ken" should just be his neo gaf name from now on

and **** you kutaragi this is you ****ing fault. talk about reaping what you sew.
 
since i got bottom fed...

it's not about blu ray vs hd dvd it's about both vs DVD. remember laserdisc? that didn't have any competition and it failed.

as long as blu ray and hd dvds are more expensive without more *content* they will not over take DVD sales. dvd is the one they have to beat. trying to beat each other just makes that all the less likely.

but yeah, the ps3 will have a nice large drive, but it's certainly hurt the ps3 up to this point. they banked on technology that wasn't ready and have had to delay in two major markets. if blu ray had been a year further on, Wii would have a lot of catching up to do in Japan, and america and europe would be getting plenty of PS3s this christmas.
 

Pimpwerx

Member
I don't see how this is all KK's problem. Sony's dominance in the hardware sector has been on the decline for a decade now. KK's division is the only consistent breadwinner there. The only hardware devices since the Walkman that posted reliable sales. IIRC, it's also KK who kept pushing heavily for convergence, only to be met with resistance at each turn. Wasn't he all in favor of open standards and combining the gaming and media side of things? He's not the reason Sony is in the poor house. Hell, he's the reason they haven't mailed it in already. All IMO. I thought it was odd that he was passed over for Stringer, and I can only imagine that the recent missteps have him wondering why he stayed on board. He's gonna end up being the fall guy for any problems with SCE. PEACE.
 

Wollan

Member
Amir0x said:
So, do you guys think Blu-Ray is gonna succeed or something?

I think Blu-ray has the chance to take off on the DVD scale in about five years from now.
Before that it will sell steadily increasing for each year with people investing in HDTVs, PS3s (and god forbid, standalone players).
I personally will be enjoying the fruits that HD movie playback gives and not least the advantages Blu-ray gives games.
 

Zaptruder

Banned
Amir0x said:
We can blame whoever we want but the end result is Kutaragi is head of game division, and he has to take responsibility for what happens. That's life.

I cannot imagine how they didn't realize this would have gone bad by late 2005 - I read articles at the time predicting these very things, and it's impossible for me to believe Sony didn't have an even closer insider eye into how the format was gonna pan out in 2006.

But, in the end, the shit did go wrong... and this is where we are. If this is 'hyperbole', then there needs to be a new word for actual exaggeration - because the reality is, not much has gone good for Sony since the day they held their E3 conference.

See, that's the funny thing about hindsight; it seems so damn obvious once it's happened.

Would there be much validity to those articles if the opposite had been true? If there had been smooth launches with BD.

Would articles exhorting BDs advantages be similarly seen as accurate prophecy?

But more importantly, what can we say about the future? We can only speculate at this point; despite the difficulties that BD has faced thus far, it is still a leap to say that it is doomed completely. Indeed, at this point in time, BD still has a very good chance to succeed, in spite of launch difficulties.

So in 5 years from now, if BD turns out to be very popular, and well recieved... will you be saying, it's fortuitous, it's the prowess of KK to stay with BD, despite these early difficulties?
 
Amir0x said:
So, do you guys think Blu-Ray is gonna succeed or something?


Compared to what? HDDVD?...it already has. There is just no way (unless the PS3 bombs...not gonna happen) that HDDVD can beat BR in the marketplace. Now another format coming along to beat them both is a distinct possibility.
 
DenogginizerOS said:
One more point on the relevance of Betamax versus VHS. Those of us that are old enought to remember this and are now in a financial position to buy a BD or HD-DVD player cannot rinse the bad taste that Betamax left out of our heads. Sure, local news stations still use Betamax and it was blah blah blah, but VHS won the war hands down, and Sony's record on releasing a media format that emerges as a market leader is very poor. BD is superior to HD-DVD. But Betamax was superior to VHS. And consumers typically buy cheaper when the difference between the two is indistinguishable in the one area it will be used the most - MOVIES.


CD and DVD say hi.
 

Ajax

Banned
MrSardonic said:
i hope ps3 fails just so that blueray dies with it. i dont want a new format, go away, and stop using your console as a trojan

If you don't like bluray don't buy it. But wishing it would die is kinda stupid.
 

Tellaerin

Member
loosus said:
So if they want good performance, at an acceptable price, and want it released this year, they should've just cut something from the system.

Yes, that would have gone over incredibly well, especially considering how people kept posting about 'TEH LIESTATION 3!!!!11!!one' because ports on the back of the prototype were removed for the production model. Or how many people keep insisting that the system is 'Six! Hundred! Dollars!' when they have no need for HDMI out (the lack of an HDMI port certainly isn't stopping people from buying X360's or Wiis, is it?) and would be served perfectly well by the less-expensive model that Sony... wait for it... cut something from in order to make more affordable without compromising its ability to play games.
 
one last time.

they don't need to beat each other, they need to beat DVD and that is far from a given.

if hd-dvd didn't exist, blu ray would STILL have an uphill struggle to topple DVD.
 

Amir0x

Banned
Wollan said:
I think Blu-ray has the chance to take off on the DVD scale in about five years from now. Before that it will sell steadily increasing for each year with people investing in HDTVs, PS3s (and god forbid, standalone players). I personally will be enjoying the fruits that HD movie playback gives and not least the advantages Blu-ray gives games.

Well, I think an HD movie format would have been more viable in 5 years certainly. I think the key problem here is timing, not that it's the wrong direction to head in. It's just that it was not the right time.

Zaptruder said:
So in 5 years from now, if BD turns out to be very popular, and well recieved... will you be saying, it's fortuitous, it's the prowess of KK to stay with BD, despite these early difficulties?

Of course, there's room for the format to succeed, and everything to go rosey from here on out, and PS3 to sell 80,000,000 units and all bang and bash. And if that happens, you're absolutely right, I'd be like 'well... at least it worked out in the end. Sagely Kutaragi ftw.' But there's gonna be a lot of convincing to be done, and I doubt anyone honestly has the confidence in Sony anymore that is required for this thing to ultimately be a success.

We'll see, time will tell.

Arde0 said:
Compared to what? HDDVD?...it already has. There is just no way (unless the PS3 bombs...not gonna happen) that HDDVD can beat BR in the marketplace. Now another format coming along to beat them both is a distinct possibility.

I don't agree with the assertion that it already won, I'm sorry.
 
Zaptruder said:
but if the people in charge were as simple minded and short sighted as some of you seem to be... then the playstation brand itself might not even have come about.

Yeah they're really kicking ass and takes names with all these smart decisions.....:lol
 
Arde0 said:
Compared to what? HDDVD?...it already has.

Seriously, check your facts. At the moment HD-DVD is outselling Blu-Ray in players and movies. Videophiles are turning away from Blu-Ray. This may change with PS3.
 
Amir0x said:
I don't agree with the assertion that it already won, I'm sorry.

Well we will all see next year...maybe I will eat crow, but I dont think so. I am only stating that it has won versus BR btw. It DOES have an uphill battle against the DVD format...no question.
 

Pimpwerx

Member
MrSardonic said:
i hope ps3 fails just so that blueray dies with it. i dont want a new format, go away, and stop using your console as a trojan
Random access aside, how did you feel about VHS after DVD came out, and completely clowned VHS in picture quality? After a while, renting VHS copies of a movie became unbearable. I'm sure when HD sets become the norm in the next decade that watching movies in SD will become equally unbearable. And unlike HD-DVD, BD is plenty future-proof. But like any new media format, wait a year or two to start buying media en masse, b/c they'll need time to get efficient quality. PEACE.
 
ChrisAllenFiz said:
Seriously, check your facts. At the moment HD-DVD is outselling Blu-Ray in players and movies. Videophiles are turning away from Blu-Ray. This may change with PS3.


I mean it has won in the sense that after PS3 releases it will not matter how many HDDVD players have been sold, it will be eclipsed by the influx of BR players via the PS3. And do you have a link for how Videophiles are turning away from BR? I read AVS all the time and it would be the first I have heard of a mass exodus.
 

DenogginizerOS

BenjaminBirdie's Thomas Jefferson
Arde0 said:
CD and DVD say hi.

No single company "owns" DVD. The official specification was developed by a consortium of ten companies: Hitachi, JVC, Matsushita, Mitsubishi, Philips, Pioneer, Sony, Thomson, Time Warner, and Toshiba. Representatives from many other companies also contributed in various working groups.
 

Zaptruder

Banned
Arde0 said:
Compared to what? HDDVD?...it already has. There is just no way (unless the PS3 bombs...not gonna happen) that HDDVD can beat BR in the marketplace. Now another format coming along to beat them both is a distinct possibility.


Why would you say that?

There was a good reason for a format jump... HD.

Given how much time it takes to change video standards... that the technology has to mature, that the market has adopt it... it's safe to say it's a format that won't be changing for a good while. Probably at least 2 decades.

Why not stick with DVD? well, the main issue would be the hundreds of millions of DVD players that... while able to read the information on a DVD, will not be able to process a HD stream.

So you'd have to release a bunch of new players with updated firmware and hardware... but if you're going to do that, why not just go with a whole new disc standard in order to maximize the use of the format, as well as reducing the needs to upgrade the format in later years (like VHS to DVD).

After BDs or HDDVD... what is there? 200GB? But why? Why would the people in the money bother supporting a new format, when there's no need; even the longest of their movies will fit on a DL BD (which will become very common place in a couple years) at full specs? Why would they do it, when format transition is so costly, and so much money has already been spent? They wouldn't.
 
DenogginizerOS said:
No single company "owns" DVD. The official specification was developed by a consortium of ten companies: Hitachi, JVC, Matsushita, Mitsubishi, Philips, Pioneer, Sony, Thomson, Time Warner, and Toshiba. Representatives from many other companies also contributed in various working groups.


jesus.....and Sony completely owns BR?



Zaptruder said:
Why would you say that

Because something else could always come along, thats all. An HD formate is needed, I agree.
 
Arde0 said:
I mean it has won in the sense that after PS3 releases it will not matter how many HDDVD players have been sold, it will be eclipsed by the influx of BR players via the PS3. And do you have a link for how Videophiles are turning away from BR? I read AVS all the time and it would be the first I have heard of a mass exodus.

If you read AVS all the time you would have to be blind to not see people questioning blu-ray. HD-DVD is half the price and has better PQ. Blu-Ray is catching up in PQ. Now HD-DVD has lossless audio, and a second gen cheaper HD-DVD player is expected in october. Meanwhile the only blu-ray player has so many returns it has a restocking fee, and other players are being delayed all over the place.
 
Zaptruder said:
After BDs or HDDVD... what is there? 200GB? But why? Why would the people in the money bother supporting a new format, when there's no need; even the longest of their movies will fit on a DL BD (which will become very common place in a couple years) at full specs? Why would they do it, when format transition is so costly, and so much money has already been spent? They wouldn't.

Earmarked for future Playstation 5 vs Xbox1080 discussion.

"200GB is required to get the most out of games these days."
 

Pimpwerx

Member
ChrisAllenFiz said:
Seriously, check your facts. At the moment HD-DVD is outselling Blu-Ray in players and movies. Videophiles are turning away from Blu-Ray. This may change with PS3.
PS3 will sell more players by next March than all HD-DVD player sales combined. I'm almost sure of this. HD-DVD is outselling BD right now, but peanuts outselling peanuts means nothing when one system alone will tilt the userbase scale so disproportionally in BD's favor. PS3 would have to be a bigger bomb than the DC...like a 3D0-level bomb for it not to decide the HD war.

It's like if there was a MP3 vs. OGG war, and the hardware made a difference, iPod is the Playstation of the mobile music world. It's immense success means that mp3s are gonna be the preferred format of choice. There's just nothing else that'll drive that userbase. HD-DVD lost the war when the 360 came with a DVD drive. End of story. I don't even know why this continues to be debated. Even 10% of a shitty set of sales (50M units) would still give BD 5M units just from the PS3 in 5 years. That's assuming only 10% of the userbase actively buys movies, which is probably low-balling. The HD movie war is a non-factor. The only question is if BD can even dream of competing with DVD. That's the battle I see them losing handily. PEACE.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom