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Canadian PoliGAF - 42nd Parliament: Sunny Ways in Trudeaupia

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mo60

Member

That happened last night actually. I seriously don't know what Allan Hallman was doing at the convention? I wonder if someone in the kenney camp knew that he was going to the convention? It's nice to hear that he at least he was dealt with properly by the authorities. Starke also got booed early during his final convention speech for saying things that the delegates that were at the convention did not like.
 

SRG01

Member
That happened last night actually. I seriously don't know what Allan Hallman was doing at the convention? I wonder if someone in the kenney camp knew that he was going to the convention? It's nice to hear that he at least he was dealt with properly by the authorities.

Oh was that last night? Must've read the article incorrectly.
 

mo60

Member
wut. Seriously the hate for the AB NDP is stupid, no matter your leanings you cant really fault them for too much. They seem to be fairly competent. though if yall want to educate me im fine with that

They aren't bad but they could be doing better. They could have handled things like Bill 6 better. I'm still going to vote for them in the next provincial election because I don't want a united conservative party anywere near power and I think they are doing fine in power. I find it kinda insane kenney actually said something like that. He really needs to clarify what he meant by that statement.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Jason Kenney won on first ballot: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calga...berta-pc-leadership-on-first-ballot-1.4031408

By the way, the Edmonton Journal's Graham Thompson put out a really interesting article about a recent unite the right poll... Kenney is fourth place in popularity, behind (in order): Brian Jean, Someone Else, and Not Sure. http://edmontonjournal.com/news/pol...-lead-to-win-albertas-race-to-unite-the-right

Insert usual caveat about polling the general population about a party leadership question here.
 

SRG01

Member
Insert usual caveat about polling the general population about a party leadership question here.

That, and a lot can happen in the coming months.

Some people were also speculating that there would be a snap election called soon... not sure about the chances of that happening.
 

mo60

Member
That, and a lot can happen in the coming months.

Some people were also speculating that there would be a snap election called soon... not sure about the chances of that happening.

There's like a zero percent chance of that happening.The Alberta NDP knows what happened in the last snap election. I don't think the Alberta NDP is in the mood to call an election before 2019.
 

SRG01

Member
There's like a zero percent chance of that happening.The Alberta NDP knows what happened in the last snap election. I don't think the Alberta NDP is in the mood to call an election before 2019.

I agree; it's better to let the two right parties possibly self-implode.

So, where will the centrist vote go now? Alberta party? NDP?
 

mo60

Member
I agree; it's better to let the two right parties possibly self-implode.

So, where will the centrist vote go now? Alberta party? NDP?

AB NDP, AB Liberals, AB Party.The NDP will pick up a lot of these centrist voters.So will the AB Party and I am not sure about the AB Liberals.

Also lol at people already predicting that the eventual united conservative party will obliterate the Alberta NDP.
 

mdubs

Banned
Anyone have any thoughts on why Brian Pallister hasn't come to a healthcare agreement with the Feds, and what he expects when the other provinces have already agreed to deals? Just grandstanding for his base? It's an awfully small population to have any real leverage.

Too busy enjoying Costa Rica to check his emails
 

maharg

idspispopd
Ablib is dead. Especially with this. People who would have considered voting for them pre-unification will probably go either ndp to keep the left 'united' or go to the Alberta party with the surge of support it's probably going to get from centrists fleeing the PC party.
 

mo60

Member
Ablib is dead. Especially with this. People who would have considered voting for them pre-unification will probably go either ndp to keep the left 'united' or go to the Alberta party with the surge of support it's probably going to get from centrists fleeing the PC party.


Even with that surge of support I don't think the AB Party will overtake the two conservative parties or the eventual united conservative party in polls.I just don't want centrists to be divided between the AB NDP and the AB Party.At least the good thing is that greg clark plans to run candidates in all the provincial ridings in the next provincial election.
 
heads goign to roll on the aftermath of mishandling of the snow storm.
911 operators hanging up on people, Qc Transport Minister snapping at journalists asking poignant questions after spending an entire night disconnected from reality, complete lack of communication between municipal and provincial police and the Transport Ministry. Toeing fees!!!

praise goes to Firefighters who took the initiative to bring rescue buses onto the highway to rescue 300 drivers stranded on the highway for over 13 hours.

Transport Ministry only woke up the next morning going derp derp what?

I usually don't paraphrase form TVA but Luc Lavoie had a good point ''we spend years of paying taxes for contingency plans to be prepared for that day; well that day happened and they weren't prepared.'' then making parallels on the bungling of the 98 Ice Storm.

------
http://montreal.ctvnews.ca/couillar...ation-into-hwy-13-snowstorm-debacle-1.3327322

Premier Couillard launches external investigation into Hwy. 13 snowstorm debacle

Well they arrested one of the two truckers now http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/montreal/trucker-arrested-highway-13-1.4031452

By the sound of it they should have done that 20 minutes into the traffic jam.
 
I agree; it's better to let the two right parties possibly self-implode.

So, where will the centrist vote go now? Alberta party? NDP?

Even better option: this leads to the Alberta right splintering further, so you have the new party, the PC holdouts, and a Wildrose splinter group too.

Because -- as I think you/Alberta's Chief Electoral Officer pointed out -- the PCs have to retire to retire that massive debt before they can go anywhere, and if Wildrose wants to join in Kennedy's new party, they need to dispose of their millions in assets too.
 

SRG01

Member
Even better option: this leads to the Alberta right splintering further, so you have the new party, the PC holdouts, and a Wildrose splinter group too.

Because -- as I think you/Alberta's Chief Electoral Officer pointed out -- the PCs have to retire to retire that massive debt before they can go anywhere, and if Wildrose wants to join in Kennedy's new party, they need to dispose of their millions in assets too.

Not only that, but the assets can't be transferred between the two parties either, so it's not like they can use WR's assets to pay off the PCs.

I haven't checked the news this morning, but there's some speculation online that Kenney won't even seek a seat until the new party is formed.
 
I'm not well versed in Albertan provincial politics, but LOL at Kenney repackaging Trump's slogan

"We want Alberta back!"

LOL

it's just a Province, Kenney
 
the bachelor is talking live on CBC News World;

he brought up the Canadian Alliance merger with the PC Federally as an example.

LOL, the mic is broken
 
I feel like I've lost touch with Alberta politics in general. I still don't understand why we threw out Allison Redford.

The PC party threw her out over expense controversies and probably more for being a woman. A lot of criticism of her was very gendered. That also helps illuminate all the hate Notley gets for being a Woman with power in Alberta.
 
Kevin O'Leary, deciding that the best way for the Conservatives to rebound from losing all their seats in Atlantic Canada is to...say something that will make his party even more unpopular in Atlantic Canada:

“Equalization payments are not a form of subsidy in perpetuity, that’s never going to happen anymore. Not when I’m prime minister.”
He says he will cut transfers to New Brunswick and Nova Scotia if they refuse to lift the moratorium on natural gas development.

“I’m not going to be doing transfer payments to support a lack of growth. It’s like providing a child with an allowance and assuming they’ll never get a job.”
 

gabbo

Member
Kevin O'Leary, deciding that the best way for the Conservatives to rebound from losing all their seats in Atlantic Canada is to...say something that will make his party even more unpopular in Atlantic Canada:

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I literally cannot think of how he manages those mental gymnastics
 

lupinko

Member
I got a letter from Premier Clark this morning, very pleasant and was surprised she took the time to write back. I'm amused the official provincial letter has a photo of her for I have no idea why.

So far two letters and kudos from the Van Consulate. I guess it just takes a long time. Incoming dual Prime Minister packages coming then I guess. lol
 
The PC party threw her out over expense controversies and probably more for being a woman. A lot of criticism of her was very gendered. That also helps illuminate all the hate Notley gets for being a Woman with power in Alberta.

Its always been nice to see the federal cons at least pride themselves a tad on their women membership. hell Rona has a degree in gender studies if im not mistaken
 
Leitch is second now while Bernier slips to third: http://ipolitics.ca/2017/03/21/leitch-rises-bernier-slides-tory-leadership-poll/

What exactly is the appeal of Leitch? With other far-right wing nuts like Trump and Farage and La Pen, they at least have charisma, personality and authority.... but Leitch just comes off as extremely awkward every time she talks, she seems "faker" than Clinton if that makes any sense.

I know Conservatives in Alberta who wanted Ben Carson to be the President. They seem to think that "Surgeon" is somehow a path to being a good Politician.
 

Futurematic

Member
Because he's 'business-y' despite all evidence to the contrary.

I've literally tried explaining this to people, but they never listen.

A lot of people spend their time in large Anglo-American corporations whose structure is similar to a feudal state with a CEO / King, a Board of Directors / Nobles, managers / minor aristocracy, and various serfs and slaves working with no or limited union protection.

No great leap for them to misunderstand democratic politics as a feudal relationship.

(Note that actual performance does not matter, Kings can have bad days.)
 

Sean C

Member
How the fuck does Kevin O'Leary lead?
He plays a successful businessman on TV, and is loud and obnoxious in a manner that many partisans find appealing.

Now, O'Leary also has high negatives, which matters in a ranked balloting scenario, so his first-round polling doesn't necessarily convey his odds as the lesser contenders are dropped.
 

bremon

Member
Of all the CPC panhandling emails I get Leitch ones are the funniest. Those ones consistently say "Dear ," because my name is never filled in like the ones from the rest of the candidates.
 
Leitch is second now while Bernier slips to third: http://ipolitics.ca/2017/03/21/leitch-rises-bernier-slides-tory-leadership-poll/

What exactly is the appeal of Leitch? With other far-right wing nuts like Trump and Farage and La Pen, they at least have charisma, personality and authority.... but Leitch just comes off as extremely awkward every time she talks, she seems "faker" than Clinton if that makes any sense.

I heard a CPC strategist explain it this way last night: the bulk of Conservative members are white men over the aged of 60, and they've been waiting for years for a candidate to say the stuff Leitch has been saying. Now that they have that candidate, they're going for her, even if she's a terrible politician in pretty much every way imaginable.

I think the most interesting thing about the new poll is that O'Leary's accusations seem to have hurt Bernier without rebounding to O'Leary's benefit. Without being able to see the second/third/last choice numbers, it'd be really interesting if this drove up Bernier's negatives as well, because until now his last choice numbers were really low. If he's suddenly up in Leitch/O'Leary territory of being as objectionable as he is popular, that makes it harder for him to win. I still think he's the frontrunner thanks to Quebec's structural advantage in this race, but going from second/third to first becomes a lot harder if voters dislike him as much as the candidates ahead of him.

How the fuck does Kevin O'Leary lead?

Name recognition. There are a lot of studies that show that voters will go for whoever they've heard of, even if it's in a negative context. In a field of 14 people, he has an advantage over a bunch of candidates no one outside of hardcore political junkies have ever heard of.

Of course, as Sean pointed out, his negatives dwarf everyone else's in the race. In a race that'll be determined by second/third/fourth choices -- because it's pretty much guaranteed this is going about 10 rounds -- being broadly hated by the electorate makes it almost impossible to go from 22% to 50%+1.

Of all the CPC panhandling emails I get Leitch ones are the funniest. Those ones consistently say "Dear ," because my name is never filled in like the ones from the rest of the candidates.

The attack ads write themselves: "She can't figure out mail merge. How can she figure out immigration?"
 

Pancake Mix

Copied someone else's pancake recipe
Leitch is second now while Bernier slips to third: http://ipolitics.ca/2017/03/21/leitch-rises-bernier-slides-tory-leadership-poll/

What exactly is the appeal of Leitch? With other far-right wing nuts like Trump and Farage and La Pen, they at least have charisma, personality and authority.... but Leitch just comes off as extremely awkward every time she talks, she seems "faker" than Clinton if that makes any sense.

Three Canadians out of four believe immigrants to this country should be tested for ”anti-Canadian" values, a survey conducted for Radio-Canada suggests.

The findings of the survey, carried by the CROP polling for the French-language service of the CBC, indicate that despite criticism from the media and within political circles, the controversial position taken by Conservative leadership candidate Kellie Leitch that immigrants be tested for an appreciation of ”Canadian" values has traction with 74 per cent of Canadians. Inside Quebec, support for testing immigrants stood at 75 per cent.

The poll also suggests that 60 per cent of Canadians — and 67 per cent of those polled in Quebec — believe immigrants should put aside their own cultures and adopt that of Canada once they settle here.

http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/canadian-politics/most-canadians-favour-values-test-for-immigrants-while-23-per-cent-think-muslims-should-be-banned-poll

Some European countries have something equivalent to a values test in many ways, just as part of a citizenship process rather than immigration, so it's not exactly something new. The thinking of the vast majority of those survey takers, and possibly a rather large portion of Canadians, is that if you were to somehow fail that test, you likely have very strong feelings against some socially liberal value that most Canadians hold, which gives the idea of that sort of test much broader appeal across ethnic and age groups than you may expect if you didn't bother to ask Canadians.

I find it hard to believe the number is anywhere near 74 percent but as we all know you only need 35-40 percent of voters to win a general election.
 

bremon

Member
Jason Kenney is on Alberta@noon today. I'm glad people are calling in with criticism to contrast the softballs being tossed at our "next premier".
 

mo60

Member
Jason Kenney is on Alberta@noon today. I'm glad people are calling in with criticism to contrast the softballs being tossed at our "next premier".

Kenney also criticized my former MLA thomas lukaszuk at one point during an appearance on the ryanjespersen show earlier today and said that he had a temper tantrum because he left the PCAA because kenney was now leading it. The castledowns PCAA association also gave a huge amount of money to charity recently.Even though I don't like some of the things lukaszuk has done in the past I appreciate that he's not scared of criticizing Kenney.
 
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