Segata Sanshiro said:
Ehn, it's time for me to head to sleep. I'll tag stump in, I'm sure he'll satisfy your guys' bloodlust.
Basically the key point to take here is that if you're looking at a
top <x> list, you're missing the damn point. What's the sales of a product ranked #20? Hell, I'll go a step further--based on publicly available data,
the limit for a game ranked #10 for the month per console tends to vary from 30k to 70k depending on the console.
Here's a great example. Look at that
Nerf rail-shooter for the Wii. Have you heard of it? Nope. Of course you haven't. I've seen it in stores. I don't know much about it. EA published it. Without lighting the charts on fire, it sold
500,000 units by NPD figures. It'll continue to sell. 500,000? That's more than Dead Space. That's more than Mirror's Edge. I'd say that's more than both SKUs combined of each.
Or another EA example.
MySims. IGN accidentally leaked some NPD figures last month (oops! then they tried to cover it up by claiming their source was LOLCHARTZ which is hilarious given that LOLCHARTZ numbers didn't match any of the leaked numbers--secondary sources with NPD access confirmed that the numbers were NPD). MySims 1 is at
750,000 units. Where is it in the top 10? Where is it in the top 20? Well?
Let's try
Madden. IGN leaked numbers for Madden 09 as well. Madden 09 sold 100k first month on the Wii. Pretty shitty. It's now at
650,000 by IGN's leaked numbers. I'm not saying that's unbelievable. It's not. It's over a million on both HD platforms. But it still points to the fact that software you assume stopped selling... software that didn't chat in any manner... wracked up a half-million sales months after release.
Mario Sluggers. Another great example, because we also have a leaked figure for it--I can't remember if this one is an IGN leak, confirmed by Nintendo, or leaked on any of the other public websites! Hooray! What's it at?
600k. What did it do in the only month it charted according to public NPD data? 90k.
Boom Blox--Bomba -> 450k.
Family Ski -- past a million worldwide. I have no idea what it is in North America, but
I'd ballpark anywhere from 300-600k. Have you seen it chart?
I have no access to NPD, but using only public data it's pretty inarguable that major sales get wracked up outside the Top 20, or even the per-console top-10. I'm not just talking about the Wii either. It's not like all these "flavour of the month" 360 games (Say... Vegas, Vegas 2, The Darkness, Army of Two) stop selling after a month. Most more than double their initial month's sales.
Hell, wasn't there a leaked number from some public site that confirmed Uncharted around a half a million sold in the US? I can't remember which site. It might have been a jvm article. If not, I'm sure someone here could refresh my memory.
I know
jvm confirmed that Resistance was at 757k having done most of that off-charts LOOOOOONG after its release. BioShock launched at 600k--I'd hazard a guess it's around or over a million by now.
Or DS games; look,
Mario Kart DS--more than three years after its release... spontaneously shows up in an end-of-year chart having some
more than a million units without ever appearing in any kind of top ten or top twenty list--three years after release.
I'm not saying Wii sales are fantastic. I'm not saying they're terrible. I don't know how many of the top 100, top 200, top 500 games were Wii versus PS3 versus 360 versus DS versus PSP. I don't have NPD access and I'm not aware of any robust full-sheet NPD leaks.
I'm saying that just based on public information... the crumbs... the scraps... we know that dialmydrive's argument is silly.
dialmydrive clearly has NPD access. I know that doesn't mean he's able to leak data and I wouldn't expect him to leak data. But substantiated your argument with "THE TOP X IS JUST Y RANDOM NUMBER", divorced of context to individual games, game budgets, expectations, what's happen under the top x, the performance of other consoles, or the historical performance of previous consoles, it's kinda hard to tell.
I'm not saying there aren't bombs on the Wii. I hardly imagine Sega Superstars Tennis or Battle of the Bands put a smile on anyone's face. I'd be surprised if 5000 people bought Opoona, let alone hundreds of thousands. But let's not be stupid and claim the number and combined sales of games in the top 20 for a month means... well, anything.
(sorry for the lol selective bolding but i'm sure people will skip this post and i really don't mean this to be OMG QFT LISTEN 2 DA MADMEN, i mean it to genuinely argue that dialmydrive's point here is off-base.)