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PoliGAF 2017 |OT6| Made this thread during Harvey because the ratings would be higher

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Zukkoyaki

Member
Yeah, they used poor wording. Their chart shows 18 million gone in 2018/2019, 21 million gone 2020-2026, and then like 30 million gone after.

Note in the report that they actually say they are underestimating the actual losses. This is insanity.

Yeah they need to edit that.
 
How does this man have a job!?

He might just be an idiot.

jj50PYP.png
 

Hopfrog

Member
Yeah, they used poor wording. Their chart shows 18 million gone in 2018/2019, 21 million gone 2020-2026, and then like 30 million gone after.

Note in the report that they actually say they are underestimating the actual losses. This is insanity.

Yeah, just gave it a read, they should edit that bit. Still catastrophic totals, mind you, but not as much of a mindfuck as 147 million.
 

Wag

Member
Hahaha. The Mooch is co-hosting the View today- they had Mario Cantone impersonate him for 5mins right to his face. lol
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Daily Beast is reporting that Mike Lee was assured there would be no bribe for Alaska in the G-C bill.
 
Might? That ship sailed so long ago they made a movie about an old lady thief who travelled on it that launched the career of Leonardo DiCaprio and Kate Winslet, and gave Celine Dion her biggest hit selling over 15 million copies.
 

Blader

Member
Daily Beast is reporting that Mike Lee was assured there would be no bribe for Alaska in the G-C bill.

It's not like he wouldn't vote for the bill if it included Alaska bribes anyway. He's as pliable as the other supposedly principled conservatives.
 

Hopfrog

Member
More of the "power to the states, unless the states actually want to help people, in which case..."

This time, from the Heritage Foundation.

MxGvzKK.png


http://heritageaction.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/memo-re-Graham-Cassidy.pdf
https://twitter.com/danholler/status/911232839370379264

That has been the standard Republican position on federalism since, well, forever basically - not sure why anyone still gives it credence.

"We love states' rights so long as they do things we like, if they don't let's use the federal government to bar them from doing them."
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
He'll vote for it even if it does have a bribe.

This is down to Rand and McCain, IMO

It's not like he wouldn't vote for the bill if it included Alaska bribes anyway. He's as pliable as the other supposedly principled conservatives.

Right--the real news there is there is nothing for Murkowski.
 
More of the "power to the states, unless the states actually want to help people, in which case..."

This time, from the Heritage Foundation.

MxGvzKK.png


http://heritageaction.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/memo-re-Graham-Cassidy.pdf
https://twitter.com/danholler/status/911232839370379264

So, uh... if states aren't allowed to use the money to:

1) Expand Medicaid

2) Pay providers directly for uncompensated care

3) Form high-risk pools

What exactly could they spend the money on? Those are... basically the only 3 options here; it has to be spend on Healthcare, you can't turn it into a Guns & Police Defense fund.
 
So, uh... if states aren't allowed to use the money to:

1) Expand Medicaid

2) Pay providers directly for uncompensated care

3) Form high-risk pools

What exactly could they spend the money on? Those are... basically the only 3 options here; it has to be spend on Healthcare, you can't turn it into a Guns & Police Defense fund.

We should stop assuming the GOP or their fascist base want to "solve" healthcare issues. They want people scared and/or dead. They're fucking terrorists and should be treated as such. Burn down their villages and then salt the Earth.
 
So, uh... if states aren't allowed to use the money to:

1) Expand Medicaid

2) Pay providers directly for uncompensated care

3) Form high-risk pools

What exactly could they spend the money on? Those are... basically the only 3 options here; it has to be spend on Healthcare, you can't turn it into a Guns & Police Defense fund.

Just give the money to insurance companies for no reason.
 
I guess states will just have to do tax cuts.

No, because suddenly getting a pile of money you can't actually use to cover your existing cuts wouldn't cause a tax cut, just a spending decrease. Or tax increase in blue states I guess.

We should stop assuming the GOP or their fascist base want to "solve" healthcare issues. They want people scared and/or dead. They're fucking terrorists and should be treated as such. Burn down their villages and then salt the Earth.

Well yeah, but this is dumber than usual.

Just give the money to insurance companies for no reason.

This could be it tbh.
 
So, uh... if states aren't allowed to use the money to:

1) Expand Medicaid

2) Pay providers directly for uncompensated care

3) Form high-risk pools

What exactly could they spend the money on? Those are... basically the only 3 options here; it has to be spend on Healthcare, you can't turn it into a Guns & Police Defense fund.

It would become a slush fund for conservatives to abuse.
 

Ernest

Banned
From Roy Moore, the possible future Senator for Alabama:

DKSFgV9XUAA-2DQ


What an asshole.

Per capita nationwide, violence and crime rates, along with teen and unwanted pregnancies and abortion rates are all at historic lows. But then it doesn't further his idiot agenda if he painted an accurate picture of how progressive policies have actually helped things.
 

CCS

Banned
From Roy Moore, the possible future Senator for Alabama:

DKSFgV9XUAA-2DQ


What an asshole.

Per capita nationwide, violence and crime rates, along with teen and unwanted pregnancies and abortion rates are all at historic lows. But then it doesn't further his idiot agenda if he painted an accurate picture of how progressive policies have actually helped things.

Sodomy?

Hello the 1960s, how I've not missed you.
 
No, because suddenly getting a pile of money you can't actually use to cover your existing cuts wouldn't cause a tax cut, just a spending decrease. Or tax increase in blue states I guess.

For red states that didn't expand Medicaid in the first place, this is extra money not already in the budget. The odds they'll use it for the good of the people: nil.
 

Kai Dracon

Writing a dinosaur space opera symphony
Liberty and justice for all, except the long list of people previously cited who aren't heterosexual male christians.
 
For red states that didn't expand Medicaid in the first place, this is extra money not already in the budget. The odds they'll use it for the good of the people: nil.

Yeah, I hadn't thought through the logical train that if you turn it into a cover for existing services you can "spend" the freed funds on cutting taxes.
 

Valhelm

contribute something
If you think that Hillary was losing marginal voters to Trump on policy... lol

This election showed how little policy actually matters to a scarily large number of people.

Policy and its messaging was overwhelmingly the biggest reason why Hillary lost.

Had she positioned herself as a more proactive candidate interested in seriously combatting America's social and economic problems, rather than just combatting Trump, turnout in key states would have looked more like 2008 and she'd be president.

Barack Obama had a "hope and change" campaign and a slate of policy proposals that would make the US a much more livable country. Hillary avoided discussing policy, particularly by the end of the campaign, and thought it better to list the times that Trump was rude.
 
Sodomy?

Hello the 1960s, how I've not missed you.

Sodomy was illegal here in Mississippi until the early 2000s. They got rid of it after a bunch of people (mostly straight even) flooded courthouses with confessions that they did it up the butt the night before.
 
From Roy Moore, the possible future Senator for Alabama:

DKSFgV9XUAA-2DQ


What an asshole.

Per capita nationwide, violence and crime rates, along with teen and unwanted pregnancies and abortion rates are all at historic lows. But then it doesn't further his idiot agenda if he painted an accurate picture of how progressive policies have actually helped things.

I'm sure the piece of shit has no qualm with all the thing trump has done though.
 

Valhelm

contribute something
Do you see any difference between these two statements?

Go ahead and think it over. I'll wait.

Can you name a bigger reason for depressed Democratic turnout vs 2008 and 2012?

GOP/media smears definitely played a major role, but I don't know if that's enough to convince 100,000 Obama voters to stay home. Obama was also smeared viciously by the right, but he had an appeal that overcame these unfair portrayals.
 

Blader

Member
Hillary avoided discussing policy, particularly by the end of the campaign, and thought it better to list the times that Trump was rude.

Hillary did not avoid discussing policy, the media just flat out did not cover policy.

Messaging was the biggest reason why Trump won over Hillary. But it sure as hell wasn't because Trump had more fleshed out policy positions and Hillary had next to none.

Can you name a bigger reason for depressed Democratic turnout vs 2008 and 2012?

GOP/media smears definitely played a major role, but I don't know if that's enough to convince 100,000 Obama voters to stay home. Obama was also smeared viciously by the right, but he had an appeal that overcame these unfair portrayals.

There's a world of difference between a 25-year public smear campaign and a 20odd-months public smear campaign. Particularly when one candidate is inherently charismatic and the other is not.
 

pigeon

Banned
Can you name a bigger reason for depressed Democratic turnout vs 2008 and 2012?

So in your model here, Republicans only get elected based on Democratic actions, because Republican voters are essentially a natural disaster with no volition or moral responsibility.

This seems like a pretty good model if your primary goal is to absolve white people!
 

Valhelm

contribute something
Hillary did not avoid discussing policy, the media just flat out did not cover policy.

Messaging was the biggest reason why Trump won over Hillary. But it sure as hell wasn't because Trump had more fleshed out policy positions and Hillary had next to none.

Hillary's commercials were generally devoid of policy. While she did discuss her policy prosals during the debates, and ran laps around Trump, her campaign didn't properly broadcast the practical benefits of a Clinton presidency.

With language like "America is already great" and her attempts to win over moderate Republicans, I think it's pretty inarguable that Hillary's campaign was meant to be a conservative force meant to prevent Trump's monstrous changes, rather than propose any necessary changes to our society. And this didn't work.
 
Hillary did not avoid discussing policy, the media just flat out did not cover policy.

In large part because of Hillary's emails. We liked to downplay it last year, but it turns out that nominating someone with a never-ending scandal that continuously eats up air time can be crippling to a campaign.
 

Ogodei

Member
So, uh... if states aren't allowed to use the money to:

1) Expand Medicaid

2) Pay providers directly for uncompensated care

3) Form high-risk pools

What exactly could they spend the money on? Those are... basically the only 3 options here; it has to be spend on Healthcare, you can't turn it into a Guns & Police Defense fund.

CSRs and tax subsidies are my guess.
 

Valhelm

contribute something
So in your model here, Republicans only get elected based on Democratic actions, because Republican voters are essentially a natural disaster with no volition or moral responsibility.

This seems like a pretty good model if your primary goal is to absolve white people!

Trump ran a revanchist and racist campaign that appealed to both legitimate and illegitimate grievances in America, connecting them through comfortable lies that promised to repair our society to its former prosperity without taking anything from any slice of white America. This definitely led to increased turnout on the Republican side, because many white people support white supremacy. But the 2016 Trump vote still didn't match Democratic turnout for 2012 Obama, and is dwarfed by turnout for 2008 Obama.

If Hillary had run a campaign as successfully as Obama did twice, she would be president. What of the above do you disagree with?
 

pigeon

Banned
Trump ran a revanchist and racist campaign that appealed to both legitimate and illegitimate grievances in America, connecting them through comfortable lies that promised to repair our society to its former prosperity without taking anything from any slice of white America. This definitely led to increased turnout on the Republican side, because many white people support white supremacy. But the 2016 Trump vote still didn't match Democratic turnout for 2012 Obama, and is dwarfed by turnout for 2008 Obama.

If Hillary had run a campaign as successfully as Obama did twice, she would be president. What of the above do you disagree with?

I don't disagree with any of the above. I disagree with your original thesis, which is not supported by the above argument!

The overwhelmingly biggest reason Hillary lost was the white supremacy thing. That doesn't seem hard to understand or to see. But somehow you keep forgetting until I remind you again!
 

kirblar

Member
So in your model here, Republicans only get elected based on Democratic actions, because Republican voters are essentially a natural disaster with no volition or moral responsibility.

This seems like a pretty good model if your primary goal is to absolve white people!
The associated argument is that Dems/Leftist policies would always naturally win except for Dems fucking it up (and if it's a leftist policy, the Dems cheated, didn't support it, are shills,etc.)

It's not even just white people, it's trying to avoid the fact that a large number of people are terrible.
 

Valhelm

contribute something
I don't disagree with any of the above. I disagree with your original thesis, which is not supported by the above argument!

The overwhelmingly biggest reason Hillary lost was the white supremacy thing.

So your argument is that Trump's white supremacist rhetoric convinced 100,000 Obama voters to not vote for Hillary? I don't think that's plausible, especially because Hillary is white and Obama is black.

Remember that 2016 Trump won three million fewer votes than 2012 Obama. Trump's boost in white GOP turnout wasn't enough to eclipse the status quo. Democrats had to falter for him to win.

The associated argument is that Dems/Leftist policies would always naturally win except for Dems fucking it up (and if it's a leftist policy, the Dems cheated, didn't support it, are shills,etc.)

It's not even just white people, it's trying to avoid the fact that a large number of people are terrible.

"People are terrible" is a really bad takeaway from the inability of the Democrats to recapture Obama-levels of turnout. When millions of people from marginalized communities don't think it's worth it to vote against a white supremacist, something is seriously wrong with the opposition.
 

kirblar

Member
So your argument is that Trump's white supremacist rhetoric convinced 100,000 Obama voters to not vote for Hillary? I don't think that's plausible, especially because Hillary is white and Obama is black.

Remember that 2016 Trump won three million fewer votes than 2012 Obama. Trump's boost in white GOP turnout wasn't enough to eclipse the status quo. Democrats had to falter for him to win.
And there it is.
 
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